Summary of Nomad Century By Gaia Vince: How Climate Migration Will Reshape Our World
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Summary of Nomad Century By Gaia Vince: How Climate Migration Will Reshape Our World
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Global migration has doubled in the past decade, on track to see billions displaced in the coming decades. Gaia Vince tells us how the changes already in play will transform our food, our cities, our politics, and much more. Her findings are answers we all need, now more than ever.
Willie M. Joseph
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Summary of Nomad Century By Gaia Vince - Willie M. Joseph
The Storm
A 3–4°C-hotter world is the stuff of nightmares and yet that's where we're headed within decades. Polls show that most people around the world are now convinced that we are facing a 'climate emergency'. The world has thus far failed to respond to the triple crises of poverty, climate change and ecosystem collapse. In 2015, the world reached 1°C of global warming above pre-industrial temperatures. We are continuing to chart a path towards a 4°C rise this century.
Anyone who argues that decarbonizing the world and fixing global warming is easy is either a fool or a charlatan. Carbon dioxide levels today are more than 50 per cent higher than the pre-industrial average. To keep below 1.5°C of heating, we'd have to halve global emissions by 2025. Most countries are not making anywhere near enough progress to meet their pledged emissions reductions. An entirely feasible planetary heating figure of 4°C by the end of the century is more likely than most people realize.
Climate modellers predict temperature rises based on various future emissions scenarios. There are four different economic pathways that we might take globally over the century. At least 28 trillion tonnes of land ice have been lost in the past twenty-five years – enough to put an ice sheet 100 metres thick across the UK. A loss of bright ice exposes darker rock or ocean, speeding up further heating as sun's heat is absorbed rather than reflected. The tipping point for the Amazon could well be triggered by deforestation.
High humidity will cause intolerable heat stress across most of tropical Asia, Africa, Australia and the Americas. Deserts will stretch from the Sahara right up through south and central Europe. A world at 4°C above pre-industrial temperatures will be far more hostile and dangerous than the one we are now living in. Heat will make large areas of the globe uninhabitable, and we will struggle to feed ourselves, many of the places where people grow food will no longer be suitable. The global water cycle is speeding up at twice the rate predicted by climate