Assessing the Quality of Agricultural Market Information Systems: A Self-Assessment Guide
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To date, however, these private services, while usually being more efficient than the government-run ones, have also largely depended on donor support for their continued operation. It has proved difficult to develop a profitable business model as many of the clients are small farmers and traders.
Agricultural market information systems or services (MIS) can cover staples, horticultural crops, livestock, and export commodities. They are generally designed to collect, process, and disseminate or distribute data of relevance to farmers, traders and other buyers, such as processors, but the data they generate can also be used for a variety of purposes by governments, donors, international organizations and others.
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
An intergovernmental organization, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has 194 Member Nations, two associate members and one member organization, the European Union. Its employees come from various cultural backgrounds and are experts in the multiple fields of activity FAO engages in. FAO’s staff capacity allows it to support improved governance inter alia, generate, develop and adapt existing tools and guidelines and provide targeted governance support as a resource to country and regional level FAO offices. Headquartered in Rome, Italy, FAO is present in over 130 countries.Founded in 1945, the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) leads international efforts to defeat hunger. Serving both developed and developing countries, FAO provides a neutral forum where all nations meet as equals to negotiate agreements and debate policy. The Organization publishes authoritative publications on agriculture, fisheries, forestry and nutrition.
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Assessing the Quality of Agricultural Market Information Systems - Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
1
Introduction
Assessing the quality of Agricultural Market Information Systems (AMIS) A self-assessment guide
¹
Over approximately the past 40 years, many developing countries invested in the establishment of agricultural market information systems or services (MIS). These systems or services were initially run by government agencies, but since the turn of the millennium private organizations have shown interest in providing data on a commercial basis. To date, however, these private services, while usually being more efficient than the government-run ones, have also largely depended on donor support for their continued operation. It has proved difficult to develop a profitable business model as many of the clients are small farmers and traders.
Agricultural market information systems or services (MIS) can cover staples, horticultural crops, livestock, and export commodities. They are generally designed to collect, process, and disseminate or distribute data of relevance to farmers, traders and other buyers, such as processors, but the data they generate can also be used for a variety of purposes by governments, donors, international organizations and others. They are usually set up to meet two different requirements: (a) the provision of data that will enable participants in agricultural value chains make short-term commercial decisions; and (b) the provision of longer time series of data that can help farmers plan their production and assist policymakers, donors and other stakeholders. The first MIS tended to concentrate on monitoring and disseminating prices, primarily to assist farmers, however, in recent years, there has been a tendency to broaden the scope of many such services, particularly the private ones, through the provision of stock and trade data, the matching of buyers and sellers and by moving beyond market
data to provide weather forecasts and by giving planting and other extension advice.
Short-term data, primarily relating to prices, can be used by farmers to help them in negotiating with traders. For many crops, data should preferably be collected and disseminated daily. This is less important for grains, pulses and oilseeds than it is for perishable products. While it is impracticable for MIS to attempt to disseminate farm-gate prices, farmers can monitor prices in major markets and negotiate on the basis of price trends in those markets. They can also use price levels in urban areas to decide when to harvest or even, in some cases, when prices of perishable crops are very low, whether to just leave their crops in the ground without harvesting them. To effectively use price data in this way, an understanding of the structure of marketing channels is required, particularly with regard to the costs faced by traders in moving products from the farm gate to urban areas. An earlier FAO publication aimed to help extension officers provide such advice to farmers².
In some cases farmers have several options for selling their products. Depending on the crop, they could perhaps sell to others in their village, sell to visiting traders, sell to a local processor, such as a rice mill, or take the product to an urban market. The decision regarding where to sell is often a complex one, which requires both access to market data and research by the farmer in his or her locality.
Traders can benefit from knowledge about prices around a country or region in order to exploit opportunities for arbitrage that result from different prices in different locations. While they are unlikely to make decisions about where to sell simply on the basis of a MIS report, they can use such reports to identify potentially profitable opportunities to move products around a country, or even into a neighbouring country, which could be followed up with phone calls to the relevant markets.
Longer-term data usually involves the compilation of several years of prices that may be averaged on a weekly or monthly basis. It is very important that such data are presented in easy-to-understand charts but, even then, farmers who are not familiar with such graphs may need assistance in interpreting them. From graphs or charts, farmers can most easily highlight the times of the year when prices are at their highest and lowest. Prices of products that cannot be stored are often low because most farmers plant and harvest at the same time, leading to gluts. However, there are often possibilities to stagger planting and harvesting of horticultural crops, while staple farmers can store grains and other staples until prices can be expected to rise. Making such decisions requires good advice: farmers need to know the feasibility and costs of off-season production or the costs of storage. They also need to be aware that price patterns in previous years are only indicative; there is no guarantee that a particular price pattern will be repeated every year. Finally, studying price graphs may suggest to farmers that there are other products they could invest in, either to replace their existing crops or to diversify. Again, they will need reliable advice about yields and production costs.
Governments and donors generally have no need for data that are provided daily. However, they do need reasonably up-to-date data about trends, at least on a monthly basis. This can be used to identify potential food security problems or to confirm problems that have been identified in other ways, such as through reports of poor harvests. This up-to-date data must be compared with time series of data covering several years in order to check whether apparently unusual trends are in fact out of the ordinary. Ways in which MIS data can be useful for such purposes are when (a) there is a significant decline in prices of livestock in markets, which could indicate farmers are selling animals to raise money to buy food because their crops have failed; (b) when the price of the main staple(s) around the country is significantly higher than in previous normal
years, after taking into account inflation; or (c) when differences in staple prices are more pronounced between markets than is normal, which could indicate localized crop failures or disruptions to transport (reducing the incentive for traders to carry out arbitrage).
To assess the food security situation, governments can also use MIS data in combination with a variety of other sources, such as price surveys for the consumer price index (CPI), official import and export data and cross-border trade surveys, and surveys of stocks. Collection of such data is not normally the responsibility of a MIS and, in general, it is undesirable that a service designed to provide timely commercial data to participants in a value chain be mixed with systems designed to gather data for more of a statistical purpose. Nevertheless, the different data sources available to many governments can provide important checks and balances for food security and agricultural planning purposes. This data can also be used to help governments to comply with their international reporting obligations, such as to FAOSTAT or to the international Agricultural Market Data System (MIS) set up as a result of the Group of Twenty (G-20) Ministerial Declaration entitled Action Plan on Food Price Volatility and Agriculture
, which was adopted by the Meeting of G20 Agriculture Ministers, held in Paris on 22 and 23 June 2011³.
Over the years, agricultural market data services have often experienced major problems of sustainability. In many cases, this has been because of a lack of government resources to continue activities