Keeneland Winning Trainer Patterns: 2012 Fall Meet edition

By All Star Press

2012 FALL MEET Edition

Understanding the tendencies of trainers is one vital key to success for winning horseplayers. All Star Press is pleased to announce the 3rd edition of the Keeneland Winning Trainer Patterns – new for the 2012 Fall Meet. Again, this meet’s release is bigger and better than ever with great nuggets on all the winning trainers.

This valuable handicapping guide is based on the extensive database of handicapper and author Art Parker, a regular contributor to AGameofSkill.com.

In this book Parker analyzes the winning patterns of the most successful horsemen that race at Keeneland. With this guide you will know how each and every trainer prepares his runner for success. Keeneland Winning Trainer Patterns covers every Keeneland horsemen that has saddled two or more winners over the past five meets, dating back to the spring of 2010.

This is why you need to know these trainers better than they know themselves:

* Keeneland held 750 thoroughbred races collectively in the Spring and Fall meetings of 2010, the Spring and Fall meetings of 2011, plus the Spring meeting of 2012.
* Trainers winning at least 2 races totaled 96.
The 96 multiple winners won a total of 656 races collectively or 87.5% of all races.
* Of the 96 multiple winners, 42 trainers won at least 5 races.
* Those 42 trainers collected a total of 526 wins or 70.1% of all races.

“Keeneland Winning Trainer Patterns” includes these bonus features:
> Alphabetical and Numerical list of every winning trainer over the past 5 meets.
> Special Trainer analysis by Rich Nilsen.
> Keeneland – Turf to Synthetic surface switch
> The Key Factor that handicappers need to know about the Polytrack surface

• Language: English
• Publisher: All Star Press
• Release date: Sep 23, 2012

All Star Press

All Star Press is the publisher of several books including: "Quiet Spaces: Hearing God's Voice in a Noisy World" by author James Hale; "The Eye Floater Solution" by Chantal Romy; "The Road to Recovery: Overcoming & Moving Beyond Your Grief" by Rich Nilsen; "Sleep Great for Life" by Rich Nilsen. Founded in 2010. Based in Tarpon Springs, Florida.

Book preview

KEENELAND WINNING TRAINER PATTERNS

- 2012 FALL MEET EDITION

By Art Parker

Published by All Star Press at Smashwords

© Copyright 2011 All Star Press

All Rights Reserved

Discover other titles from All Star Press at Smashwords.com

Cover photo by Rich Nilsen, AGameofSkill.com

Trainer Patterns

A review of all Keeneland Meetings, Spring and Fall,

in 2010, 2011 and 2012.

It is a sensible and accepted practice to review historical data before making investments. If you ever purchased shares of a mutual fund from a securities representative, you were probably drowned with information about the great past performance of the fund, which is the best weapon the representative has to sell you on the quality of the investment. Naturally, among all of the investment warnings and small legal fine print, you are warned that past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

The same is true in Thoroughbred racing. Those of us who frequent the races know that past performance is no guarantee of future results. But just like in the financial world, we are better equipped to make good decisions about the future when we have an abundance of reliable information about the past.

Few horse players pay attention to trainers and what they actually do. Most players try to turn their brain into computer mode as they throw themselves into the details of the running lines found in past performances. They crunch numbers and inhale speed and pace figures as if there is no tomorrow, and all of that is important. Many players worry about jockeys and for some reason view these diminutive athletes as race car drivers. Many players believe jockeys are solely responsible for the performance of their horses in races, and this logic is very, very weak. The best horse players will tell you that when it comes to the human factor in thoroughbred racing, it is the trainer that plays the most critical role. Trainers are business people that manage employees and have fiduciary responsibilities since they are also managing the assets of thoroughbred owners. The best trainers are successful because they are excellent managers of anything to do with their business. They have to plan and execute to be successful. In addition to business talent they must know thoroughbreds and know as much about them as possible. A trainer is not only a conditioner but is part veterinarian. And when the trainer is not taking good physical care of his horses then he tries to be an equine psychologist and figure out what makes a horse tick upstairs. And, on top of all that, the trainer needs to be a good handicapper if he wants to succeed. They have to know how to place their horses in the right spots.

Being human, trainers are creatures of habit and it often shows in preparing a horse for a race. Becoming familiar with trainers and what they do to win is just as important as understanding all of the information in the running lines.

When one makes a list of the few special horse tracks in the world, Keeneland is bound to be on the list, maybe even at the top of it. The Lexington, Kentucky track is open for racing a few weeks in the spring and a few weeks in the fall. Both Keeneland meetings immediately precede the spring and fall meetings of Churchill Downs in Louisville. In addition to excellent timing, Keeneland also offers race meetings rich with quality and high purses.

Keeneland is one of the great challenges for horse players. The meetings are short and horses ship from many locations. The best way to describe playing Keeneland can be found in one word: Tough. Something else that makes Keeneland a great challenge is the quality of the horseplayers. The racing is tough to handicap and the pari-mutuel competition is tough as well. A player that wants to win needs all the help available when Keeneland is the chosen battleground.

Now, let’s put trainers, Keeneland, and the past five meetings together to try and have the best results possible for the fall meet, 2012. Our concentration will be the trainers that do more than show up and win a race. We have detailed the trainers in the last five meetings that were multiple winning trainers. In other words, a trainer had to collect at least two victories to be recognized.

How good were the multiple winning trainers? Here are a few facts

that validate the importance of these few trainers.

Keeneland held 750 thoroughbred races collectively in the Spring and Fall meetings of 2010, the Spring and Fall meetings of 2011, plus the Spring meeting of 2012.

Trainers winning at least 2 races totaled 96.

The 96 multiple winners won a total of 656 races collectively or 87.5% of all races.

Of the 96 multiple winners, 42 trainers won at least 5 races.

Those 42 trainers collected a total of 526 wins or 70.1% of all races.

The details of all 95 trainers and their corresponding victories over the past five seasons at Keeneland are presented to handicappers in this book.

Legend for trainer patterns

L-1: First race after layoff of at least 45 days

L-1 extended: First race after layoff of at least one year

L-2: Second race after layoff

C-1: First race after claim

C-2: Second race after claim

Debut: First career race

D2: Second career race

T-1: First start with Trainer

2YO: Two year old

3YO: Three year old

Back in: The number of days since last race, unless the race is an L-1 or Debut.

Shipper: Track where horse last ran a race if not Keeneland

Repeat: Won last race

Equip Chg.: A blinkers change, either blinkers on or blinkers off

Route-to-Sprint: Last race route, today’s race a sprint. A route is a race of at least one mile.

Sprint-to-Route: Last race sprint, today’s race route. A sprint is a race less than a mile.

Main-to-Turf: Last race on main track, today’s race on turf

Turf-to-Main: Last race on turf, today’s race on main track

Hot: A workout that appears fast by most standards

Slow: A workout that appears slow by most standards

Long: A workout of 5 furlongs or longer

Short: A workout less than 5 furlongs

Gate: A workout from the gate

Up in Class: Going to a higher class

Same: Remaining in same class

Class Drop: Going to a lower class

TF= Represents the total furlongs worked and/or raced within 30 days of race day

Odds: Final closing odds

Owner: The owner of the horse

Jockey: The rider of the horse

(Day): The day of the race in the meeting.

S/10 = Spring 2010. F/10= Fall 2010. S/11=Spring 2011. F/11=Fall 2011. S/12 = Spring 2012.

Winning Trainers at Keeneland

Spring/Fall 2010 – Spring/Fall 2011 - Spring 2012

2010 – 2012 (5 Race Meets)

Alpha List with number of wins noted

Albertrani, Thomas (2)

Amoss, Tom (14)

Anderson, Susan (2)

Arnold, George (22)

Asmussen, Steve (7)

Atkins, David (1)

Attfield, Roger (12)

Avila, A.C. (1)

Baird, Michael (1)

Baker, James (5)

Barnes, Bart (1)

Bennett, Dale (1)

Benzel, Seth (1)

Bischoff, Clay (1)

Block, Chris (4)

Boggess, Lawrence (1)

Booker, John (1)

Borel, Cecil (2)

Bradley, William (3)

Brown, Chad (11)

Bush, Thomas (1)

Calhoun, Bret (4)

Carroll, David (4)

Carroll, Josie (2)

Carwood, Gerry (2)

Casey, Stephen (1)

Casse, Mark (2)

Cassidy, James (1)

Catalano, Wayne (21)

Cesare, William (1)

Cheeks, Joseph (3)

Clarkson, Alex (2)

Clement, Christopher (18)

Coatrieux, Eric (1)

Coyle, Vernon (1)

Cox, Brad (2)

Crumley, Jevon (1)

Crupper, Allen (1)

Cunningham, Ronan (1)

Deegan, Joe (1)

Delacour, Leigh (1)

Demeritte, Larry (1)

Desormeaux, Keith (1)

Divito, James (5)

Dodgen, James (2)

Dollase, Wallace (1)

Domenosky, Tammy (1)

Drury, Thomas (1)

Dyer, John (2)

Evans, Bart (1)

Ewing, Michael (2)

Fernandez, Jose (2)

Fletcher, Kevin (2)

Fletcher, Mauk (1)

Flint, Bernard (2)

Foley, Greg (4)

Foley, Vicki (2)

Frederick, Edward (1)

Frostad, Mark (2)

Gabriel, Leo (1)

Glenney, John (1)

Good, John (1)

Gorder, Kellyn (1)

Gray, Gary (1)

Hackworth, Robert (1)

Hall, William (2)

Hamm, Timothy (2)

Hancock, John (1)

Harty, Eoin (2)

Heitzmann, Eric (1)