Aaron Judge is the San Francisco Giants' top target, but at what point should they bow out and pivot to other targets? Aaron Judge is expected to command an eight, nine, or 10-year deal worth north of $300 million. If his deal is for eight years, over $40 million per year would probably be "too high". An eight-year deal for $40M per year would be $320M. If it's nine years, the SF Giants probably wouldn't want to go higher than $37M per season (which would come out to $333M in total). If Judge gets 10 years, the Giants might want to pivot to other options, but assuming they'd be willing to pay Aaron Judge through his age-40 season, anything north of $340M total would arguably be too high.
Is it Aaron Judge or bust for the San Francisco Giants? What should they do if the miss out on Judge? There are lots of other good options out there, but none would be as big of a splash as Judge. Carlos Correa should be their next-highest target, with Trea Turner also in the conversation (but we have it on pretty good authority that he won't want to come to San Francisco). Brandon Nimmo, Xander Bogaerts, and Dansby Swanson are other good options, as are the top starting pitchers such as Jacob deGrom, Justin Verlander, and Carlos Rodón.
Why all the talk of free-agent shortstops when the SF Giants already have top prospect Marco Luciano? And what about Thairo Estrada, who would theoretically block one of the free-agent SS from playing second base? The Giants believe Estrada can move all over the diamond if need be, and most scouts believe Luciano won't be able to stick at shortstop and will end up at third base or in left field. Speaking of Luciano, whom is he worth trading for? Rafael Devers, who could theoretically be available this winter? Shohei Ohtani? Corbin Burnes? All this and more discussed on today's Locked On Giants podcast.
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The best daily San Francisco Giants podcast. Whether the Giants are winning championships or retooling for another title run, Locked On Giants host Ben Kaspick—a lifelong Giants fan and former contributor for RotoGraphs and Beyond the Box Score—breaks down every game, rumor, and transaction in a way that's data-driven and rational but also simple, passionate, and accessible to all.
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