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Trouble for CRE Or Media Clickbait & Investor Opportunities?

Trouble for CRE Or Media Clickbait & Investor Opportunities?

FromReal Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast


Trouble for CRE Or Media Clickbait & Investor Opportunities?

FromReal Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast

ratings:
Length:
4 minutes
Released:
Apr 7, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

Commercial real estate is feeling the impact of high interest rates, slower rent growth, and the banking turmoil, but is that asset class really set to implode? Many of the headlines you see today would lead you to believe that that’s going to happen but some real estate insiders say: “Not so fast. We could be in for a buying opportunity.”   Hi, I'm Kathy Fettke and this is Real Estate News for Investors. Please remember to subscribe to this podcast and leave us a review.   First, let’s take a look at what’s happening with apartment sales. Commercial real estate data company CoStar just released a preliminary report on first quarter sales that shows a 74% year-over-year drop. That’s the biggest slowdown since 2012 except for the second quarter of 2020, when the pandemic shut down the economy. From the start of the year to March 17th, sales were around $10.6 trillion. If the quarter finished with another $2.8 billion in sales, the total would be equal to the second quarter of 2020. (1)   Apartment Sale Slowdowns   In 2020, apartment sales fell because of the pandemic. Now, sales are slowing down because the Fed has been pushing up interest rates to fight inflation and investors can’t make the numbers work. Alex Horn of CoStar News says: “The value of multifamily assets across the United States has started to decline” over the last six months. And he expects valuations to fall further.    As dour as that sounds, CoStar reports that multifamily sales are doing better than other kinds of commercial real estate, such as office and industrial. CoStar’s Jay Lybik says that multifamily is “still the preferred sector to invest in.” But this kind of data is looking at a “national” snapshot, which doesn’t say much about the submarkets, and places where things aren’t quite so bad.   The Basic Tenets of Real Estate    Eric Brody of ANAX Ventures is one of those optimists. ANAX is a real estate developer and lender that provides funding to distressed real estate projects. Brody spoke with Benzinga about the current situation and said: “What are the basic tenets of real estate? Location, location, location and hyper-local markets. Now you have the mainstream media making projections based on a macro scale.” He says that the media should be asking about what asset class in which market and how they structured the deal. (2)   He also objects to stories about a big slowdown in construction that’s impacting values. According to Brody, you don’t count a half built building as worth only half of it’s value. He says the values are still there and there’s “a lot of stuff under construction right now.”   Maturing Debt Creates Investor Opportunities   In December, he forecast big buying opportunities in commercial real estate because of all the debt that’s maturing. He told GlobeSt.com that a report by Newmark shows “over $1 trillion in loans are coming due in the next two years, and due to rising interest rates, it is expected that repayment conditions will become more challenging, with bridge financing, office, and retail loans being the most at risk.” He said: “In addition to the rising rates because of increased construction costs, rent growth, and political headwinds, real estate will need an infusion of capital to either refinance assets at a lower rate, pay down existing debt, or complete current projects.” (3)   But what does that mean for investors with capital? Brody told Benzinga that this creates an opportunistic environment for investors with cash on hand. He says: “It’s an incredible moment in time if you have the capital and the expertise.”   That’s it for a more positive view of the commercial real estate market. You’ll find links to the stories I mentioned at newsforinvestors.com. You can also join RealWealth for free while you are there, if you haven’t already done so. As a member, you have full access to our website, with data on individual rental markets, sample properties, and experienced investment counselors who can answer quest
Released:
Apr 7, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Don’t get caught off guard by market crashes that can take all your money down with them. And don’t miss out on markets where you can build wealth practically overnight. Real Estate News for Investors with Kathy Fettke is the premiere source for savvy real estate investors who want the edge. Stay up-to-date on new laws, regulations, and economic events that affect real estate. Topics include: market trends, economic analysis that affects housing prices, updates on the best rental markets for investing in single-family rentals or multi-unit rentals, turn-key housing standards, the fate of the highly revered 1031 exchange and other tax law affecting investors, self-directed IRA investing and 401k changes, where rents and property values are rising or falling, flipping risks, new Dodd-Frank rules regarding private lending and financing standards, areas with job losses vs job growth, areas that are overbuilt or over-supplied versus areas with low supply and high demand, and how to avoid real estate scams. We'll bring you the latest reports from organizations like the National Association of Realtors, Realty Trac, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Zillow, Trulia, Redfin, Rent Range, Property Radar, the Norris Group, Peter Schiff, Robert Kiyosaki’s Rich Dad, Suse Orman, Bigger Pockets, Dave Ramsey and more. And we'll help you interpret the data in terms that make sense for your real estate goals, and portfolio. Grow and protect your wealth by staying on the forefront of economic data analysis, expert opinions, innovative investing strategies and profitable investment opportunities. We'll share all the top real estate news stories and the best trade secrets investors should know, so you can stay ahead of the curve and make fully informed real estate decisions. Host Kathy Fettke is Co-CEO of the Real Wealth Network, author of Retire Rich with Rentals and host of the Real Wealth Show on iTunes. She brings decades of media and real estate investing experience, offers her own viewpoints on particular topics, and taps into her network of real estate experts for real world news updates created just for investors like you. Get the real news on real estate on The Real Estate News For Investors Show!