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The Real Estate News Brief: GDP Turnaround, Mortgage Rate High Point, Faltering Rent Growth

The Real Estate News Brief: GDP Turnaround, Mortgage Rate High Point, Faltering Rent Growth

FromReal Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast


The Real Estate News Brief: GDP Turnaround, Mortgage Rate High Point, Faltering Rent Growth

FromReal Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast

ratings:
Length:
7 minutes
Released:
Nov 4, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

In this Real Estate News Brief for the week ending October 29th, 2022... a turnaround for the U.S. GDP, a new high point for mortgage rates, and faltering rent growth.Hi, I'm Kathy Fettke and this is Real Estate News for Investors. If you like our podcast, please subscribe and leave us a review.Economic News We begin with economic news from this past week, and an encouraging report on the U.S. GDP. The government reported a 2.6% growth rate in the third quarter. It was better than the Dow Jones forecast of 2.3%, but is also thought to be a rebound from two quarters of negative growth. According to CNBC, the upside came from a decline in the trade deficit, along with stable consumer spending, higher government spending, and a rise in nonresidential fixed investment. (1)A positive GDP isn’t eliminating concerns about a recession, especially if the Fed continues to aggressively raise interest rates to fight inflation. The PCE, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows a .5% increase in September, to an annual rate of 5.1%. That’s for the core rate, which eliminates food and gas. The core rate for the well-publicized CPI, shows an annual rate of 6.6%. (2)(3)Initial jobless claims rose slightly last week. The Labor Department says they were up 3,000 to 217,000. The number of people already collecting benefits was up 55,000 to 1.44 million. (4) Economists are expecting a gradual increase in jobless numbers as the Fed continues to hike the Federal Funds rate.The housing market is feeling the impact of the slowdown. The Case-Shiller index shows that home prices were down for a second straight month. The 20-city index dropped 1.3% in August, while the national index was down 1.1%. The biggest price drops are happening along the West Coast, but the index shows they’ve gone down for every one of the 20 cities in the index. Year-over-year gains are still in the double digits however, at 13.1%, with Miami, Tampa and Charlotte topping the list for annual gains. (5)Sales are also down for both new and existing homes. The Commerce Department reports that new home sales were down 10.9% in September to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 603,000 homes. The drop follows a surprise surge in home sales the month before. Year-over-year, home sales are down 17.6%. (6) For existing homes, the National Association of Realtors says they were down 10.2% in September. MarketWatch says that buyers have become hesitant because of high home prices and interest rates. Sellers are also less likely to list, because they want to hold on to their low-interest loans. (7)Mortgage RatesAlthough some lenders hit the 7% mark weeks ago, Freddie Mac says the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate loan is now 7.08%. For the 15-year, it’s 6.36%. (8)In other news making headlines...Big Drop in Mortgage DemanLenders are taking a big hit because of high rates. The Mortgage Bankers Association says that home loan demand is close to half of what it was a year ago, and has fallen to its lowest level since 1997. Demand was down 2% last week, and was 42% lower than the same week last year. (9)There was a slight increase in demand for FHA loans thanks to lower rates and lower down payment requirements. Many borrowers are also choosing a riskier adjustable-rate loans because payments are lower at first. There are about four times the number of those loans right now compared to the start of the year. The National Association of Homebuilders also reports a jump in the number of people paying all cash for new homes. That number has been increasing for the last three quarters, and hit a 20-year high of 9.5%, or 14,000 sales, for the current quarter. (10)Rent Growth at a Standstill in Some MarketsRent growth has stalled for a second straight month, and has even declined slightly in some areas. The Real Deal reports that any drops are minimal, but after the rip-roaring growth we saw during the pandemic, the pullback might feel severe for people. (11) Data from Zumper shows tha
Released:
Nov 4, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Don’t get caught off guard by market crashes that can take all your money down with them. And don’t miss out on markets where you can build wealth practically overnight. Real Estate News for Investors with Kathy Fettke is the premiere source for savvy real estate investors who want the edge. Stay up-to-date on new laws, regulations, and economic events that affect real estate. Topics include: market trends, economic analysis that affects housing prices, updates on the best rental markets for investing in single-family rentals or multi-unit rentals, turn-key housing standards, the fate of the highly revered 1031 exchange and other tax law affecting investors, self-directed IRA investing and 401k changes, where rents and property values are rising or falling, flipping risks, new Dodd-Frank rules regarding private lending and financing standards, areas with job losses vs job growth, areas that are overbuilt or over-supplied versus areas with low supply and high demand, and how to avoid real estate scams. We'll bring you the latest reports from organizations like the National Association of Realtors, Realty Trac, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Zillow, Trulia, Redfin, Rent Range, Property Radar, the Norris Group, Peter Schiff, Robert Kiyosaki’s Rich Dad, Suse Orman, Bigger Pockets, Dave Ramsey and more. And we'll help you interpret the data in terms that make sense for your real estate goals, and portfolio. Grow and protect your wealth by staying on the forefront of economic data analysis, expert opinions, innovative investing strategies and profitable investment opportunities. We'll share all the top real estate news stories and the best trade secrets investors should know, so you can stay ahead of the curve and make fully informed real estate decisions. Host Kathy Fettke is Co-CEO of the Real Wealth Network, author of Retire Rich with Rentals and host of the Real Wealth Show on iTunes. She brings decades of media and real estate investing experience, offers her own viewpoints on particular topics, and taps into her network of real estate experts for real world news updates created just for investors like you. Get the real news on real estate on The Real Estate News For Investors Show!