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The Real Estate News Brief: Fed’s Latest Rate Hike, The Impact on Banks, Tenant Migration Destinations
The Real Estate News Brief: Fed’s Latest Rate Hike, The Impact on Banks, Tenant Migration Destinations
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Length:
6 minutes
Released:
Mar 31, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
In this Real Estate News Brief for the week ending March 25th, 2023... the Fed’s latest rate hike, the impact of high rates on banks, and the top states for tenant migrations. Hi, I'm Kathy Fettke and this is Real Estate News for Investors. If you like our podcast, please subscribe and leave us a review. Economic News We begin with economic news from this past week. The Federal Reserve hiked the short-term rate once again by a quarter point. The benchmark rate is now 4.75% to 5%. There had been speculation that we’d see a half point rate hike because inflation hasn’t been coming down fast enough, but the failure of Silicon Valley Bank forced the central bank to be more cautious. (1) Fed Chief Jerome Powell said he was surprised at how quickly Silicon Valley Bank collapsed and even admitted that committee members considered a pause in rate hikes. Federal Reserve data shows that almost $100 billion were pulled from accounts during the week that ended March 15th. Most of that money came from small banks, while larger banks saw more of an inflow. Although depositors have been yanking money from smaller banks, Powell says the deposit drain from small banks has slowed down and the U.S. banking system is “sound and resilient.” He says the Fed set up a powerful backstop for banks, allowing them to tap into an emergency loan program. (2) It’s important to remember that FDIC-insured banks will guarantee deposits up to $250,000 and $500,000 for couples. If you have more than those amounts, you can protect yourself by keeping the maximum-insured amounts at different banks. Moving on to the job market… The weekly unemployment report shows another drop in claims for new benefits. Those applications declined to a three-week low of 191,000. That indicates that companies are not laying off employees in any great numbers, and that higher interest rates have “not” hit the job market, yet. (3) New home sales are up for a third month in a row, thanks to a dip in mortgage rates. They rose 1.1% to an annual rate of 640,000 in February. (4) And for the first time in 13 months, existing home sales were higher. According to the National Association of Realtors, they surged 14.5% last month to an annual rate of 4.58 million. NAR says the sale of single-family homes is the highest ever since the association began tracking those sales in 1999. As reported by MarketWatch, there’s clearly a pent-up demand for homes as the spring home-buying season gets underway. (5) Mortgage Rates Mortgage rates slid closer to the 6% level this last week. Freddie Mac says the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was down 18 basis points to 6.42%. The 15-year dropped 22 points to 5.68%. (6) In other news making headlines... Small Bank Impact on Real Estate Pressure on small banks could make it harder to get a real estate loan. According to Goldman Sachs, there are about 4,800 small and mid-sized banks in the U.S. and they are often the go-to lenders for real estate loans, including a high percentage of construction loans. These smaller banks are responsible for 67% of commercial real estate loans and 37% of all residential real estate loans. (7) As reported by Axios, small banks had already started tightening their lending standards by the end of last year, but now economists are expecting more tightening. CoStar says about 40% of loan officers had tightened their lending standards for commercial real estate loans by Q4 of last year. Only about 5% said they were doing that in Q4 of 2021. Commercial real estate could face the biggest impact as property owners deal with low-interest loans that are maturing, and a whole lot of half-empty office space. Those loans will need to be renegotiated at higher rates, making it tough on property owners and their lenders loans become unaffordable. Study: 190 Small Banks Could Collapse One study projects the failure of 190 smaller banks if depositors decide to withdraw even half their uninsured amounts. The
Released:
Mar 31, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
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