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The Real Estate News Brief: Fed’s Next Move, Investor Q3 Pullback, Rent Growth Slowdown

The Real Estate News Brief: Fed’s Next Move, Investor Q3 Pullback, Rent Growth Slowdown

FromReal Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast


The Real Estate News Brief: Fed’s Next Move, Investor Q3 Pullback, Rent Growth Slowdown

FromReal Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast

ratings:
Length:
6 minutes
Released:
Nov 28, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

In this Real Estate News Brief for the week ending November 26th, 2022... what the Fed is expected to do next, what investors did not do in the third quarter, and a new rent growth report.     Hi, I'm Kathy Fettke and this is Real Estate News for Investors. If you like our podcast, please subscribe and leave us a review.      Economic News     We begin with a light week for economic news as most of us enjoyed a day with family and friends for Thanksgiving. But there are a few things to report. The Federal Reserve released the minutes of its last meeting which shows that most of the voting members feel it’s appropriate to reduce the size of the rate hikes. They feel that aggressive measures are still needed, but that smaller hikes will give them an opportunity to evaluate the economic impact. They are hoping to avoid what they call a “hard landing” as they tighten the reigns on the money supply. Economists are now expecting a half point rate hike at the meeting in December. That’s after four consecutive three-quarter point hikes. (1)     The Fed is hoping to control inflation without hurting the job market and causing layoffs. This last week, jobless applications jumped up a little, to 240,000 initial claims, but that’s still near a low point. Continuing claims were also up by 48,000 to 1.55 million. Economists do see this slow creep higher as a result of Fed policy. Ian Shepherdson at Pantheon Economics told MarketWatch: “We are increasingly inclined to think that the trend in claims is now rising gently, as firms come under increasing pressure from the Fed’s aggressive tightening.” (2)     The Commerce Department released the latest report on new home sales. It shows a 7.5% increase to a seasonally-adjusted rate of 632,000 in October. And that’s with a record-high median price of $493,000. It was $455,000 in September. Some analysts say that home buyers may be rushing to close a sale before homes get any more expensive. As reported by MarketWatch, they also say the report doesn’t include data on a high number of cancellations. They expect the housing market will continue to be a drag on the economy for several more quarters. (3)     Consumer sentiment sank a bit more in November. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey shows a drop to 56.8 because consumers are worried about inflation and the risk of recession. It was 59.9 in October and 73.6 in October of last year. When asked about inflation, participants said they expect inflation to run at an average of 4.9% next year, and drop down to 3% over the long run. The Fed pays attention to consumer expectations because it can influence future price trends. (4)     Mortgage Rates     Mortgage rates deflated a bit more last week. Freddie Mac says the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was down 3 basis points to 6.58%. The 15-year was down 8 points to 5.9%. (5)     In other news making headlines...     Investor Buying Activity Falls 30%     There’s really never a bad time to buy real estate, so long as you find the right deal. And right now, it’s a bit more difficult to find those deals. So much so, that the investor purchase of residential property dropped a whopping 30% in the third quarter. The Redfin study tracks 40 markets, and the results show that investors purchased around 66,000 homes in Q3 compared to 94,000 in Q3 of last year. But the report also shows that nationally, investors accounted for 17.5% of all home sales in the third quarter. That’s a higher percentage than at any time before the pandemic. (6)     While investors are facing the same economic headwinds as any home buyer, they are also waiting on the sidelines to jump back in. JPMorgan Chase recently announced that it plans to spend $1 billion on build-to-rent homes. The plan will launch with the purchase of 250 new rental homes in three communities in Atlanta.     Rent Growth Slow to 18-Month Low     One of the headwinds that investors are facing is a slowdown in rent growth, but it’s also important to
Released:
Nov 28, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Don’t get caught off guard by market crashes that can take all your money down with them. And don’t miss out on markets where you can build wealth practically overnight. Real Estate News for Investors with Kathy Fettke is the premiere source for savvy real estate investors who want the edge. Stay up-to-date on new laws, regulations, and economic events that affect real estate. Topics include: market trends, economic analysis that affects housing prices, updates on the best rental markets for investing in single-family rentals or multi-unit rentals, turn-key housing standards, the fate of the highly revered 1031 exchange and other tax law affecting investors, self-directed IRA investing and 401k changes, where rents and property values are rising or falling, flipping risks, new Dodd-Frank rules regarding private lending and financing standards, areas with job losses vs job growth, areas that are overbuilt or over-supplied versus areas with low supply and high demand, and how to avoid real estate scams. We'll bring you the latest reports from organizations like the National Association of Realtors, Realty Trac, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Zillow, Trulia, Redfin, Rent Range, Property Radar, the Norris Group, Peter Schiff, Robert Kiyosaki’s Rich Dad, Suse Orman, Bigger Pockets, Dave Ramsey and more. And we'll help you interpret the data in terms that make sense for your real estate goals, and portfolio. Grow and protect your wealth by staying on the forefront of economic data analysis, expert opinions, innovative investing strategies and profitable investment opportunities. We'll share all the top real estate news stories and the best trade secrets investors should know, so you can stay ahead of the curve and make fully informed real estate decisions. Host Kathy Fettke is Co-CEO of the Real Wealth Network, author of Retire Rich with Rentals and host of the Real Wealth Show on iTunes. She brings decades of media and real estate investing experience, offers her own viewpoints on particular topics, and taps into her network of real estate experts for real world news updates created just for investors like you. Get the real news on real estate on The Real Estate News For Investors Show!