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Ep 155: A Crash or Correction? Let’s Look at 2023 Housing Market Predictions

Ep 155: A Crash or Correction? Let’s Look at 2023 Housing Market Predictions

FromHow to Buy a Home


Ep 155: A Crash or Correction? Let’s Look at 2023 Housing Market Predictions

FromHow to Buy a Home

ratings:
Length:
30 minutes
Released:
Jan 19, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

Headlines are saying that this will be the year of the housing market crash. But are they saying that because it’s true, or just because they want you to read their content? 
In the first part of his multi-episode series, David Sidoni analyzes data and reports from industry experts to give you the real scoop on what 2023 holds for home buyers. Taking a look at rent, mortgage rates, home sales, prices and more, David bypasses the pessimism of the newspapers to tell you the truth: this year, the market will be getting back to normal instead of spiraling toward disaster.
Here are the biggest takeaways from today’s discussion:
Why housing market will likely return to normal in 2023
What the experts mean when they say it’ll be a “slow year”
How first-time home buyers should navigate the slowing market
How skyrocketing rent prices will influence the housing market

Episode Highlights:
[01:48] Here’s What The Experts Are Saying
To help form his predictions for 2023, David tuned in on what industry experts are forecasting. According to his research, economists and notable real estate publications are sharing a relatively cynical perspective on the housing market in the upcoming year. Some even report that there’s a “real estate reckoning at hand.” While that sounds scary — and it could be for those who are working in the industry — it’s actually really good news for you as a home buyer. 
And, while some sources are projecting doom and gloom for 2023, don’t fall prey to that sort of thinking. Instead, it’s most likely that the housing market will simply return to normal. After a red-hot market the past two years, real estate has gotten over the peak and it is settling back into normalcy. 
[10:00] How the Patterns in 2022 Set Up the 2023 Market 
David discusses how some experts’ predictions show that it won’t be a buyer’s market, but instead there will be a better balance between buyers and sellers: AKA a normal market. Home prices and mortgage rates peaked in 2022, meaning that home buyers need to reset their expectations in 2023 as home sales slow down… Some even go so far as to say it will be nobody’s market. 
 
Despite all the uncertainty that will come this year, if you’re ready to buy a house, buy a house! Learning how to navigate this kind of market can turn this potentially sticky situation into an amazing opportunity.
[20:40] Rent Is Going Through the Roof
According to an article from Bloomberg, 1.4 million renters reported a $1200 increase in their bill over the past year. Everyone (and David means everyone) is experiencing a staggering increase in rent from all over the country. Some headlines are reporting that rent is decreasing, but don’t be fooled. They’ve already doubled in the past 5 years, so it’s a stretch to pay the bill even if your rent cost is starting to plateau. As vacancy rates hit an all-time low, landlords will be afraid to keep raising rent in case fewer and fewer people decide to rent over buying a house. So, rent will see a subtle decrease, but nothing to shake a stick at.
Economists say it will take one of two things to tame the insane rent costs:
The government raising rates to force a recession, OR
An increase in housing supply that can sufficiently meet the demand
Unfortunately, there is no way that housing supply will meet demand, so that leaves the market with one option. Believe it or not, this is actually a great time for renters to consider buying a home.
Resources Mentioned:
https://www.bankrate.com/real-estate/housing-market-predictions-2023/ 
https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/2023-the-year-of-the-homebuyer-our-bold-predictions-on-home-prices-mortgage-rates-and-more/ 
https://www.inman.com/2022/12/28/the-2023-housing-market-a-real-estate-reckoning-is-at-hand/
Released:
Jan 19, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Looking for answers - Can I buy a home? How do I even do this? When should I start planning? Where should a first-time home buyer start? Right here. Real information from a real expert with clear answers to end your confusion. Guidance from industry insider, me, David Sidoni, the #HowtoBuyaHomeGuy. I’ll give you the playbook on the do’s and do not’s of buying your first home. From planning for the big step even years ahead of time, all the way to the nitty-gritty of getting your keys. If you’ve felt clueless about where to start, you are not alone because the real estate industry has either ignored first-time home buyers or handed them off to novice agents with little training or expertise – and that sucks for you. So get the info, including the dirty little secrets of real estate that will help protect you; as well as the crucial tips to help you plan for the entire process step by step. Tools, tips, and techniques, from my personal experience working with over 115 successful first-timers (as of July 2021), and hear success stories from some of the over 500 listeners all over the country that used this podcast to guide them to their dream.The real estate industry thinks first-time buyers suck, but I don’t. Get the ultimate “How To” that nobody with a clue is giving first-time home buyers. You deserve the truth. You deserve to be treated like the valued consumer that you are. If you’re sick of high rents, listen and you may find out you don’t have to be a renter as long as you think. Cut through the BS and end your confusion. You can do this!