Summary of Leonard Mlodinow's The Drunkard's Walk
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#1 The role of chance in our lives is not limited to extreme circumstances. The outline of our lives is constantly being influenced by a variety of random events, along with our responses to them, which determines our fate.
#2 The human response to uncertainty is complex, and it is often the case that different parts of the brain come to different conclusions and apparently fight to determine which one will dominate.
#3 The world is filled with randomness, and it is a rare skill to be able to make wise assessments and choices in the face of uncertainty. We will examine the role of chance in the world around us, the ideas that have been developed over the centuries to help us understand that role, and the factors that often lead us astray.
#4 The most difficult aspect of understanding the role of randomness in life is that many of the consequences that follow from those principles are counterintuitive. The reason is that in any series of random events, an extraordinary event is most likely to be followed by a more ordinary one.
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Summary of Leonard Mlodinow's The Drunkard's Walk - IRB Media
Insights on Leonard Mlodinow's The Drunkard's Walk
Contents
Insights from Chapter 1
Insights from Chapter 2
Insights from Chapter 3
Insights from Chapter 4
Insights from Chapter 5
Insights from Chapter 6
Insights from Chapter 7
Insights from Chapter 8
Insights from Chapter 9
Insights from Chapter 10
Insights from Chapter 11
Insights from Chapter 1
#1
The role of chance in our lives is not limited to extreme circumstances. The outline of our lives is constantly being influenced by a variety of random events, along with our responses to them, which determines our fate.
#2
The human response to uncertainty is complex, and it is often the case that different parts of the brain come to different conclusions and apparently fight to determine which one will dominate.
#3
The world is filled with randomness, and it is a rare skill to be able to make wise assessments and choices in the face of uncertainty. We will examine the role of chance in the world around us, the ideas that have been developed over the centuries to help us understand that role, and the factors that often lead us astray.
#4
The most difficult aspect of understanding the role of randomness in life is that many of the consequences that follow from those principles are counterintuitive. The reason is that in any series of random events, an extraordinary event is most likely to be followed by a more ordinary one.
#5
The idea that harsh criticism improves our behavior or performance is an example of a widespread misconception about random processes. People’s intuition about randomness fails them in such situations.
#6
We often underestimate the effects of randomness. Our stockbroker recommends that we invest in the Latin American mutual fund that beat the pants off the domestic funds five years running. But few of us question whether he has enough data to give such advice.
#7
The Hollywood game is not fair, and the rewards and punishments are not deserved. The path from green light to opening weekend is so vulnerable to unforeseeable and uncontrollable influences that educated guesses about an unmade film’s potential aren’t much better than flips of a coin.
#8
The most important skill of a studio head