The Enabling Environment for Disaster Risk Financing in Nepal: Country Diagnostics Assessment
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The Enabling Environment for Disaster Risk Financing in Nepal - Asian Development Bank
1
Introduction
1.1 Background
1. Disasters delay long-term development and hamper efforts to reduce poverty in the developing member countries of the Asian Development Bank (ADB). Disasters set back development, directly damaging and destroying infrastructure and disrupting related economic activities and the provision of services. They place countries on lower long-term growth trajectories, push vulnerable communities deeper into poverty, and force adjustments in both short and longer-term development targets and goals. They can place significant fiscal strain on governments, businesses, and individual households, particularly if financial preparedness arrangements are limited. Delays and shortages in the availability of funding can significantly exacerbate the consequences of direct physical losses, extending the time taken to rebuild. Government officials, policymakers, and insurance regulators from developing countries across Asia and the Pacific have therefore expressed the need to strengthen their financial preparedness for disasters, smoothing the cost of disasters over time and ensuring the timely availability of post-disaster funding.¹ A strong enabling environment for disaster risk financing (DRF), including for the stimulation of commercial risk transfer markets and reliable reinsurance protection, is a priority prerequisite for achieving these objectives.
2. Enhanced financial preparedness for disasters is an ADB priority. The ADB technical assistance (TA) project, Strengthening the Enabling Environment for Disaster Risk Financing (ADB 2015), under which this document is prepared, is consistent with ADB’s Operational Plan for Integrated Disaster Risk Management, 2014–2020, which supports the development of DRF instruments and wider DRF strategies for households, businesses, and governments, enhancing the public and private financial management of residual disaster risk.
² It is also consistent with the 2017 Review of the 2011 Financial Sector Operational Plan (ADB 2017d), which calls for building capabilities in emerging and innovative finance areas such as DRF.
3. ADB’s holistic approach to DRF is reflected in this TA. ADB strongly advocates an integrated approach to disaster risk management (DRM), seeking to strengthen disaster resilience, both through disaster risk reduction and the enhanced management of residual risk. ADB is seeking to enhance financial preparedness for disasters as part of broader efforts to strengthen disaster resilience. It is doing so in close coordination with governments; global and regional DRF initiatives;³ national financial authorities and standard-setting bodies such as the International Association of Insurance Supervisors, the International Organization of Securities Commissions, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, and the Financial Stability Institute; and the insurance industry. Disaster risk reduction efforts should be the first option for consideration in addressing disaster risk, tackling the root causes of the issue. DRF solutions should also conform to international financial standards and be designed around the context of broader disaster resilience, financial stability, and financial inclusion, incorporating incentives for disaster risk reduction. This approach should lead to the development and implementation of financially sustainable, scalable DRF strategies and solutions. ADB applies a risk-layered approach to support the appropriate selection of DRM options, including DRF instruments (section 1.2).
4. This country diagnostics assessment identifies areas of improvement to promote an enhanced enabling environment for DRF in Nepal. The country diagnostics assessment is expected to facilitate the development and implementation of appropriate instruments for different layers of risk. It identifies areas of improvement to enhance the enabling environment for public sector DRF solutions as well as for insurance, reinsurance, and capital market (IRCM) solutions.
5. Recommendations based on the assessment are comprehensively presented at the end of each section on a particular area of relevance. The recommended activities and measures to enhance the enabling environment for key public sector DRF instruments, as well as IRCM solutions, are presented at the end of each section on public sector instruments and on the particular area of relevance.
1.2 Risk-Layering Approach
6. Disaster resilience begins with risk reduction, that is, acting to reduce levels of loss in the event of natural hazards. However, disaster risk cannot be eliminated, so financial preparedness for disasters needs to be enhanced, seeking to ensure that sufficient financing is available to support timely relief, early recovery, and reconstruction efforts.
7. Governments can draw on an array of instruments to support enhanced financial preparedness. These instruments are ideally applied using a risk-layering approach, breaking disaster risk down according to the frequency of occurrence of different types of hazard events of varying severity and associated levels of loss, and designing bundles of instruments targeting differentiated layers of risk (ADB 2014b). Governments should select the most appropriate instruments for each layer of risk, based on a range of factors including the scale of funding needed, the speed with which disbursement is required, and the relative cost-effectiveness of alternative instruments for specific layers of risk.
8. DRF instruments for residual risk begin with risk retention instruments for more frequent, less damaging events (Figure 1). These include annual contingency budget allocations, disaster reserves, and contingent financing arrangements, all of which are put in place before disasters strike. After a disaster strikes, governments can also reallocate budgets, increase borrowing, and raise taxes to provide additional resources.
Figure 1: Layered Approach to Disaster Risk Financing
Source: Asian Development Bank (2013b).
9. Market-based risk transfer solutions provide more cost-efficient financing for medium-level risks, generating higher levels of loss but less frequently. These include insurance, reinsurance, and insurance-linked securities (such as catastrophe bonds), and are taken out in anticipation of disasters. In the event of major disasters, governments also appeal to the international community for assistance.
10. DRF is not only a government responsibility: the private sector and individuals should be encouraged and enabled to be financially prepared for potential disasters. A similar risk-layering approach is applicable. Decisions on reduction, retention, and transfer of disaster risk should be made by households and businesses within the structure of this broader framework, selecting appropriate instruments for each layer of risk. The insurance sector is called on to play an important role in this by developing tailor-made products suitable to the Nepal context.
11. The availability and assortment of instruments selected for a DRF strategy depend on a range of factors. The most appropriate bundle of instruments depends on (i) the scale of resources required at each layer of loss relative to the scale of resources to which each instrument can facilitate access to; (ii) the speed with which funds are required relative to the disbursement speed of each instrument; (iii) the marginal cost of each instrument; (iv) individual country circumstances, including prevailing macroeconomic circumstances; (v) the scale of potential events relative to gross domestic product (GDP); (vi) government economic, fiscal, and monetary goals and objectives; (vii) access to international finance markets; and (viii) the market-based cost of borrowing (ADB 2013b). For example, if probable maximum losses from extreme events are low relative to GDP, then a country is better able to retain risk. A country with a low level of indebtedness can rely on post-disaster borrowing than one with a higher level of indebtedness. The effectiveness of disaster risk transfer instruments also depends crucially on the availability of well-developed and sound domestic insurance and capital markets. Cultural and religious dimensions are important, while it should also be noted that government policy can potentially crowd out the private insurance sector.
1.3 Country Diagnostics Methodology
1.3.1 Diagnostics Tool
12. A diagnostics tool was developed to conduct both the Nepal diagnostics assessment and diagnostics for three additional countries under the TA. The tool, a series of questions, seeks to identify gaps between international best practice and the country situation. It assesses the current state of the enabling environment for DRF in each country, gaps in best practice, and opportunities for enhancement.
13. The diagnostics tool draws on a modified version of the W&W Development Framework.⁴ This framework was refined to provide a methodology for assessing the DRF landscape and its enabling environment. It focuses on six areas of relevance for the development of disaster insurance and capital market solutions:
14. The diagnostics tool generates an overview of current policies and mechanisms for DRF. It identifies enabling conditions for the effective use of well-established DRF instruments and existing related barriers or gaps; sets policy priorities for implementing reforms and introducing new DRF instruments; and provides the basis for new or deeper engagement on DRF by governments, regulators, and development partners, as part of broader DRM and/or public financial management dialogue. The findings of the diagnostic can feed directly into the development of DRF strategies to enhance financial preparedness.
15. The tool focuses on assessment of disaster risk transfer instruments, covering both sovereign and nonsovereign instruments. Governments can play an important role in providing an adequate enabling environment for nonsovereign insurance, such as homeowner and commercial property insurance, business interruption cover, and crop insurance. In the process, these instruments can reduce the contingent liability falling on government in the event of a disaster. Tools used for self-insurance or disaster risk retention by government are mentioned in this assessment, but are not addressed in any