Sustainable Profitability in a Disrupted Legal Market
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About this ebook
Authors Norman Clark and Lisa Walker Johnson demonstrate that although the traditional factors influencing profitability remain valid, new strategies must be adapted in order to meet new financial realities. Key topics include:
•Changes in the legal services industry
•Pricing, productivity and cost management
•Staff compensation
This report highlights what sustainable profitability really means and how it can be achieved in any law firm.
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Sustainable Profitability in a Disrupted Legal Market - Norman K Clark
Sustainable
Profitability
in a Disrupted
Legal Market
Authors
Norman K Clark and Lisa M Walker Johnson
Managing director
Sian O’Neill
Sustainable Profitability in a Disrupted Legal Market is published by
Globe Law and Business Ltd
3 Mylor Close
Horsell
Woking
Surrey GU21 4DD
United Kingdom
Tel: +44 20 3745 4770
www.globelawandbusiness.com
Printed and bound by CPI Group (UK) Ltd, Croydon CR0 4YY, United Kingdom
Sustaining Profitability in a Disrupted Legal Market
ISBN 9781787422667
EPUB ISBN 9781787422674
Adobe PDF ISBN 9781787422681
Mobi ISBN 9781787422698
© 2019 Globe Law and Business Ltd except where otherwise indicated.
The rights of Norman K Clark and Lisa M Walker Johnson to be identified as authors of this work have been asserted by them in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any material form (including photocopying, storing in any medium by electronic means or transmitting) without the written permission of the copyright owner, except in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988 or under terms of a licence issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency Ltd, 6–10 Kirby Street, London EC1N 8TS, United Kingdom (www.cla.co.uk, email: licence@cla.co.uk). Applications for the copyright owner’s written permission to reproduce any part of this publication should be addressed to the publisher.
DISCLAIMER
This publication is intended as a general guide only. The information and opinions which it contains are not intended to be a comprehensive study, or to provide legal advice, and should not be treated as a substitute for legal advice concerning particular situations. Legal advice should always be sought before taking any action based on the information provided. The publishers bear no responsibility for any errors or omissions contained herein.
Table of
contents
Seismic shifts in the legal services industry
1.Introduction
2.Will the law firm of the future be a computer?
3.A diagnostic approach
The six classic drivers
1.Introduction
2.Old questions turned upside down
3.Diagnostic tools in a change-ready professional culture
Pricing – classic driver #1
1.A thought experiment: £10 per hour
2.Are your fees low enough to be competitive and high enough to be profitable?
3.Low pricing: an unsustainable strategy
4.Are your fees high enough?
5.Value, not price
6.An agenda for a value conversation
7.Escaping the squeeze
Productivity – classic driver #2
1.A thought experiment: the 80-hour day
2.Are you working too hard?
3.Is the billable hour obsolete?
4.What is the magic number?
5.Variation in productivity
6.The overproductive partner
7.Moving beyond the billable hour
8.Disruptive productivity
Realisation – classic driver #3
1.A thought experiment: collecting every penny
2.Leaving money in the street
3.Realisation as a diagnostic indicator
4.Better profits through better realisation
Cost management – classic driver #4
1.A thought experiment: operating a law firm for £50 per hour
2.Cost management in context
3.The temptation to slash costs
4.Pitfall number 1: not knowing what it costs to produce a legal service
5.Pitfall number 2: overinvestment in multiple offices
6.Pitfall number 3: not keeping up with the technology
7.Pitfall number 4: ignoring partner performance issues
8.Pitfall number 5: slashing costs without managing risks
Staff compensation – classic driver #5
1.A thought experiment: associate compensation in 2030?
2.Are associates becoming inherently unprofitable?
3.Looking through the wrong end of the telescope
4.It’s not about the money
5.Improving associate profitability now
6.Money into the bottomless pit
Leverage – classic driver #6
1.A thought experiment: 40-to-1 leverage?
2.Finding the fulcrum
3.Technology, workflow leverage and the future of the law firm
Being the change
1.Introduction
2.Change-challenged or change-ready?
3.Paradigm shifts in the legal services industry
4.Is your law firm trudging silently towards oblivion?
5.Playing a poor hand well
Notes
About the authors
Seismic shifts in the legal services industry
1. Introduction
The legal services industry is changing; and for most law firms the greatest challenge of all is to remain competitive and profitable in legal markets that are being disrupted by unprecedented levels of competition. Purchasers of legal services, sophisticated and otherwise, are demanding better and more responsive service, and legal expertise tailored to their specific situations and objectives. They demand more but increasingly are unwilling to pay more. Advanced law practice technology and the introduction of artificial intelligence into law firms are accelerating this process by creating higher expectations.
2. Will the law firm of the future be a computer?
This report is about law firm profitability, not artificial intelligence; but the impact of advanced technology and artificial intelligence cannot be ignored. Inexpensive global technology has become the most significant factor in the disruption of the legal services industry. It also is the most important factor in developing a strategy for sustainable profitability in any law firm, regardless of size, location or practice specialty. Artificial intelligence is not just a bigger, faster computer. Its distinguishing characteristic is its ability to learn, in other words to perform many – perhaps most – of the tasks currently performed by highly paid lawyers. Artificial intelligence will be as much a part of the law firm of the future as desks and paper. So, will the law firm of the future be a computer? No, but technology will fundamentally change the way that legal service providers make money.
The World Economic Forum has published an important article on the impact of automation on jobs in the mid-2010s. It has important implications for law firms, especially small ones. In One. That’s how many careers automation has eliminated in the last 60 years
,¹ Sarah Kessler points out that only one of the 270 occupations listed in the 1950 US Census has since been eliminated by automation: elevator operator. However, a McKinsey study suggests that automation could replace up to 35% of professional services jobs.²
Notwithstanding increased awareness in the legal profession of the threats and, more importantly, the opportunities that advanced technology and artificial intelligence present, the dominant responses amongst law firms worldwide continue to be denial, distinguishing and deferral.
Typical reactions to advanced technology and artificial intelligence
• Denial: The legal profession is fundamentally different from elevator operators and factory workers. This will not affect us very much.
• Distinguishing: This will affect the big firms, but not small ones like us. This is probably important in big markets like the US or the UK, but it will not have much impact in a small market like ours. This will affect law firms with commodity practices like intellectual property or collections; but it will not significantly change the way that high-end legal services like ours are delivered.
• Deferral: We will figure out what we need to do when the need arises, probably five or 10 years from now.
As Brian Sheppard of the Seton Hall University School of Law observed in 2015, this reaction is not surprising, especially because of the perceived threat to traditional levels of law firm profitability:
It should come as no surprise that many legal services providers are wary of these innovations. Not only must they cope with clients who are unwilling to pay pre-recession rates, they might eventually have to contend with competition from non-lawyers and machines. Some commentators suspect that lawyers, at least certain types of lawyers, could become extinct.³
Responses by managing partners and chairpersons of 398 US law firms, including 45% of the 500 largest, to a survey conducted in 2018 reveal that even in the face of unmistakably disruptive changes in the legal market, most law firms are reluctant to change. In 69% of law firms, partners resist most change efforts. The survey report comments:
Clearly, there was no extinction event that made law firms irrelevant after the recession … Few firms have taken full advantage of the disruption as an opportunity to run with it to distinguish themselves from competitors. Being a thought leader and early adopter of new methodologies and technologies is a clear differentiator that few law firms have embraced.⁴
All this leads to four important forecasts concerning the impact of legal practice technology and artificial intelligence on law firm operations and continued profitability, not far in the future but now:
• Law firms should look at artificial intelligence as a tool to improve productivity, not just operating costs. As with traditional approaches to work process re-engineering in law firms, the principal effects that artificial intelligence will have on the profitability of law firms will come from greater fee-earner productivity, especially for partners and other senior lawyers, rather than from reduced costs. Significant cost reductions will happen, but it is exponentially increased productivity that will have the greater impact on profitability.
Inexpensive global technology has become the most significant factor in the disruption of the legal services industry. It also is the most important factor in developing a strategy for sustainable profitability.
• Most jobs in law firms will not be eliminated, but they will be transformed. Law firms that assume that artificial intelligence will eliminate some clerical and administrative jobs are, at best, only half-correct. Many of the functions now performed by junior associates, trainees and paralegals, such as research, preliminary analysis of a matter and document preparation, will be substantially reduced almost to the point of elimination.