In or Out: A Practical Guide to Decision Making
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About this ebook
Do you have trouble making decisions in all areas of your life? Discover a practical system for making decisions quickly and effectively to achieve everything you dream.
Do you feel like you have one foot in and one foot out of your jobs, relationships, and social engagements? Are your big and small life decisions weighing you down in equal measure? Author and podcaster A.I. Shoukry spent years looking into the decision-making process. He's helped hundreds of people figure out how to make the smallest and the largest decisions in their life a breeze. And now he's here to help you do the same.
In this book, you'll get exclusive access to his toolkit, with decision tools for balanced decision making, a balanced life equation, a balancing matrix, and personal balancing matrix scorecard.
Inside "In or Out," you'll:
· See how to easily make decisions that affect your daily life and your work.
· Understand the philosophy and motives behind your decisions to achieve your dream life.
· Make wise decisions based on your values and principles.
· Discover a simple, smart decision-making process.
· Explore more than 15 decision tools that help you make decisions.
· Know how to make decisions during a crisis, under uncertainty, and in groups.
· Recognize and overcome your brain's limitations when making decisions.
· Have an exit strategy and start making decisions proactively.
· Stop procrastinating and make your decisions become a reality.
Making decisions can be stressful, time-consuming, and lead to missed opportunities or disastrous outcomes. "In or Out" will help you handle decisions with ease and control your future, making decisions that align with your goals and objectives. You'll learn the meaning of a balanced, happy life, and how to make decisions that create your happy life.
"In or Out" is a landmark book for making the important decisions in your life. If you like expert advice, easy-to-follow instructions, and a down-to-earth teacher, then you'll love A.I. Shoukry's fantastic resource.
Buy "In and Out" to make the best decision of your life today!
BONUS: Get instant access to Decisions In or Out Companion Workbook
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In or Out - A. I. Shoukry
In or Out
A Practical Guide to Decision Making
––––––––
By
A. I. Shoukry
First published by A. I. Shoukry in 2018
Copyright © A. I. Shoukry, 2018
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be
reproduced, stored or transmitted in any form or by any means,
electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or
otherwise without written permission from the publisher. It is
illegal to copy this book, post it to a website, or distribute it by
any other means without permission.
A. I. Shoukry asserts the moral right to be identified as the
author of this work.
A. I. Shoukry has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy
of URLs for external or third-party Internet Websites referred to
in this publication and does not guarantee that any content on
such Websites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate.
Designations used by companies to distinguish their products
are often claimed as trademarks. All brand names and product
names used in this book and on its cover are trade names,
service marks, trademarks and registered trademarks of their
respective owners. The publishers and the book are not
associated with any product or vendor mentioned in this book.
None of the companies referenced within the book have
endorsed the book.
First edition
Paperback ISBN: 9781976702044
Dedication
I dedicate this book to my beautiful wife Heba, the best decision I ever made. To my lovely kids Aisha, Mohamed, and Malak, who were the best decision my wife and I ever made.
To my inspiring mom, Dr. Mona, former dean of the Faculty of Economics at Cairo University, who taught me to read and encouraged me to write. And to my father, the legend surgeon, who taught me discipline and how to be a surgeon.
I pray to have a small place in your hearts—I know I was a very tough decision for you to make. However, tough decisions always come with rewards.
May this book be a little present for you.
- Ahmed, Cairo, Egypt, December 2017
Contents
Dedication
PREFACE
What This Book Is About
Section One Pre-decision
Chapter One Pre-decision
Why Do We Struggle to Make a Decision?
Who Makes Decisions?
Summary
Chapter Two Hard Internal Decision Factors
The Two Cognitive Systems
Motivation
Moral Theories
Moral Principles
Religions
Core Values
Summary
Chapter Three Soft Internal Decision Factors
Intentions
Interests and Harms
Objectives and Goals
Personal Vision and Mission
The Body
Summary
Chapter Four External Factors
Communication with the World
Time
Activity
Resources
Location
Summary
Chapter Five Our Limitations
Big Decisions Influenced by Others
The Limitations We Encounter
How to avoid our limitations and biases
Summary
Section Two The Decision Process
Chapter Six The Process
What is the decision-making process?
Stage 1: Identifying
Stage 2: Exploring
Summary
Chapter Seven Decision-Making Tools
Leap Forward
Think Goals
Positioning
The Pull Perspective
SWOT Analysis
Two Axis Matrix
The Pareto Principle
Payoff Table
Decision Trees
Balance Sheets
Consequence Table
Summary
Chapter Eight Balanced Decision Making
A Balanced Life
Balanced Life Equation (BLE)
Exploratory Balanced Decision-Making Tools
Quantification Balanced Decision-Making Tools
Chapter Nine Special Situations
Decision making in crisis
Group decision making
Uncertain situations
Summary
Section Three Post-decision
Chapter Ten Decision Execution
Tips for Executing Decisions
Procrastination
Follow up
Conquer
The Morning After
Summary
Chapter Eleven The Decision Maker
How to make decision making a habit
Proactive Decision Making
Happiness
Final Words
Appendices
Balancing System 1.0 Software
Decisions: In or Out Companion Workbook
Decision Making Process Sheets
Acknowledgments
About the Author
References
PREFACE
Are you in or are you out? How many times have you asked yourself this simple question? Do you get a straight answer? Probably not—that’s why you’re holding this book. In or out of a relationship? In or out of a job? In or out of the next outing? Plenty of the decisions we make are simply in or out
choices. The Brexit question was in or out. Trump’s election was an out of the system
vote.
When I was in third grade, I had to make a tough decision: what to wear for the costume party the next day in school. Yes, at that time it was a difficult decision to make, as I had to choose between two characters. As a child, I wanted to do both, which is impossible—you can’t wear two costumes for two characters at the same time.
When I think back today, that decision had a significant impact on my life. I was very stressed; I even cried, but the tears didn’t solve the problem, and I had to make a decision.
My mom said, Honey, you must choose one, the one that you want most, and the other you can do the following year.
Case solved, I was a pirate that year, and the next year, Superman.
A couple of years later, I still had this confusion whenever I had to choose between two outings. Should I stay at home and order pizza or go out with my friends? Should I play football this weekend or go to the family gathering?
Later, in middle school, I thought of solving this process forever and making my decision process faster and more efficient. I started to search for books and resources to read on the process of decision making.
Egypt holds an annual international book fair, and back then there was no internet and no e-books, so it was the only way to get up-to-date books. I went there searching for a book on psychology and how the human mind works. I found The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making¹, and thought I have found my solution!
I started to read the book to understand the process of decision making. I learned about mind delusion, selective perception, memory and hindsight biases, context dependence, and many other things.
Later, in high school, it was 1995, and the internet was on the rise. We had an Apple Macintosh computer with a dial-up modem and 2.4kb/sec speed attached to it. I started to learn the HyperTalk language to program HyperCard stacks, a program for Apple computers. I decided to write a software program to help me in the decision-making process for daily life problems. I called it Balancing System 1.0
as version number 1.
22 years passed, and I resumed my life, became an academic, surgeon, politician, writer, and podcaster who makes decisions while taking breaths in morning runs.
I am now 40 years old, the age of wisdom
as they say, the age when you are fully matured. One day, I was reflecting, pretending to be wise, thinking about my decisions over the last 4 decades. I took a pen and started to write down my lost opportunities and the decisions that I should have made.
The thought suddenly came into my mind: what happened to those decision-making programs I had uploaded when I was 18 years old? I searched the internet and was surprised to find a program on archive.org—it was my decision-making tool. I was proud and happy and immediately blogged about it. A couple of days later, I thought why not write a small e-book about it?
It all started as 5k e-book trial, which turned my life upside down in the last couple of months. It felt like the book sabotaged me. I woke up at 6am every day to write, I wrote at work, and I wrote before sleeping. I started to do research into decision making and found that many of the books I already owned were in fact on decision-making tools, psychology, behavior science, statistics, and algorithms. It turned out that these years I had been obsessed with how humans behave. I had read tons of bestselling books, research papers, and textbooks on decision making.
I was glad that as an associate professor, I knew how to do proper research, and on the other side as a politician, I understood real life experience, and together this showed me how and why people behave and decide the way they do.
What This Book Is About
There are many books on decision making, many of them written by esteemed psychologists, managers, behavior scientists, statisticians, and even Nobel laureates; however, these books are written from a specific angle. They are dry on the personal side and sometimes too complicated even for academics.
This book is a personal journey through the process of decision making and a practical guide to help you understand:
On what basis people do make decisions?
Why do we prefer one choice over another?
Why and when do we choose in?
Why and when do we choose out?
Are you having difficulty making decisions? This book will guide you through the decision-making process. By the end of this book, you will know what factors you should consider while making any decision and be able to evaluate the outcomes and overcome your limitations.
You will learn how to make balanced decisions, and how to make a great decision based on your principles and values, not someone else’s. You will get tools, tables, and examples to help you make decisions in your daily life, relationships, work, and investments.
The book is formed of three sections and 11 chapters:
Section one will discuss the pre-decision stage and is formed of five chapters.
Chapter 1 will explain why we struggle to make decisions, and which parts of us are involved in making the decision.
Chapter 2 will explain the hard internal factors that determine our decisions.
Chapter 3 will explain the soft internal factors that determine our decisions.
Chapter 4 will look at the external factors that determine our decisions.
Chapter 5 will tell you about our limitations as human beings when making decisions.
Section two will discuss the process of decision making and is formed of four chapters.
Chapter 6 will guide you through the decision-making process and explain its stages.
Chapter 7 will give you more than 10 decision tools to help you make any decision easily and effectively.
Chapter 8 will tell you how to make balanced decisions and live a balanced life using the balanced life equation and the balancing matrix decisions tools.
Chapter 9 is on special situations where we have to make decisions in unconventional conditions.
Section three will discuss the post-decision and is formed of two chapters.
Chapter 10 is about the execution of decisions.
Chapter 11 will help you become a decision maker. You will see how to make decisions proactively and learn the meaning of happiness.
So, are you in? Or are you out?
––––––––
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Section One
Pre-decision
Chapter One
Pre-decision
In this chapter, we’ll look at what happens before we make a decision, before we say, in or out
, why we struggle to make a decision, and who is actually making the decision. In the next chapter, we’ll walk through the factors that precede and determine the decision-making process.
Why Do We Struggle to Make a Decision?
We often struggle to make what appears to be a simple decision on the surface. So why is it so hard for us to decide these things? What’s going on under the surface? To understand this better, let’s look back at my Superman or Pirate
dilemma. As simple as the decision was, why was it so hard for me to decide?
Firstly, when we make a decision, it’s important to realize that we are comparing things. So,