The four questions that will decide who wins Biden vs. Trump — Part II
by David Lauter, Los Angeles Times
Jan 07, 2024
4 minutes
WASHINGTON — With a Biden vs. Trump rematch likely, polls forecast another close election.
That's no surprise — four of the last six presidential elections have been tight — and except for a few brief stretches, Congress has also been closely divided for more than two decades.
Trying to guess who will win this far ahead of the voting is a fool's game. But we can predict these four questions will go a long way toward determining the results.
Will voter turnout drop?
Since a low point in 1996, has generally risen as the differences between the two parties have grown. The Trump presidency put that trend into overdrive: — roughly two-thirds of potentially eligible adults.
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