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Nick Givanovic: Treasury Bonds Are “Historically Unattractive” To Leveraged Investors

Nick Givanovic: Treasury Bonds Are “Historically Unattractive” To Leveraged Investors

FromForward Guidance


Nick Givanovic: Treasury Bonds Are “Historically Unattractive” To Leveraged Investors

FromForward Guidance

ratings:
Length:
79 minutes
Released:
May 16, 2024
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck.
Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG.
VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:30) Nick Favors Stocks Over Bonds Until He Sees Data That Say Otherwise
(05:25) Potential For An Bond Auction Failure
(06:44) U.S Government Borrowing: Treasury Bills vs. Treasury Coupons
(21:49) Conditions At Recent Treasury Market Auctions
(25:13) Short Bonds, But Not Wildly Bearish
(26:13) VanEck Ad
(27:14) Is Yield Curve Steepener Trade Positive Carry or Negative Carry?
(28:43) Inflation Volatility Is Bad For Term Premia
(33:13) Bull Steepener vs. Bear Steepener: How Will The Yield Curve Uninvert?
(39:10) Bull Steepeners Usually Occur Faster Than Bear Steepeners (Nick Thinks Bull Steepener Could Be More Likely)
(54:24) Volatility In The Bond Market
(01:02:21) Relative to Bonds, Nick Is Bullish On Stocks
(01:07:49) The Labor Market
(01:09:53) GameStop and the Return of Meme Stocks
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
Released:
May 16, 2024
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Jack Farley interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.