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China’s Deflation Trap | Brian McCarthy On The Popping Of The World’s Biggest Bubble Ever

China’s Deflation Trap | Brian McCarthy On The Popping Of The World’s Biggest Bubble Ever

FromForward Guidance


China’s Deflation Trap | Brian McCarthy On The Popping Of The World’s Biggest Bubble Ever

FromForward Guidance

ratings:
Length:
85 minutes
Released:
Feb 9, 2024
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

Finally, you can easily access Bitcoin in a low-cost ETF with the VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL). Visit https://vaneck.com/HODLFG to learn more. VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/hodlprospectus/
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Use code FG10 to get 10% off Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit in March: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2024-london
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Timestamps;
(00:00) Introduction
(00:35) The Chinese Financial System Is A Giant Ponzi Scheme
(05:17) The Property Bubble In China Is Popping (It's Still In Early Stages)
(11:21) How The Chinese Banking System Works: Window Guidance > Forward Guidance
(27:02) VanEck Ad
(37:52) Views On The Chinese Stock Market
(38:12) The Chinese Yuan (RMB) Must Be Devalued In Order To Stimulate The Chinese Economy
(47:11) U.S. China Trade Policy, Under President Biden and Under President Trump
(52:03) Much Of China's Bank Equity Is "Going To Be Wiped Out"
(57:32) Why Would Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Not Stimulate Its Economy And Avoid Major Slowdown?
(01:04:25) McCarthy's Long-Term Thesis On China: "They Will Go The Japan Path"
(01:11:37) China's FX Reserves
(01:14:06) Why Can't China Reinflate The Property Bubble?
(01:17:31) Closing Thoughts On China
(01:19:46) Macro Implications Of China's Slowdown On Global Economy

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
Released:
Feb 9, 2024
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Jack Farley interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.