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Liz Ann Sonders: There's No Such Thing As A Typical Interest Rate Cutting Cycle

Liz Ann Sonders: There's No Such Thing As A Typical Interest Rate Cutting Cycle

FromForward Guidance


Liz Ann Sonders: There's No Such Thing As A Typical Interest Rate Cutting Cycle

FromForward Guidance

ratings:
Length:
59 minutes
Released:
Mar 12, 2024
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

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Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, returns to Forward Guidance to share her investment outlook on U.S. equities. Sonders notes that a handful of large cap stocks have been leading the S&P 500 index higher, while the majority of stocks have been underperforming the index. While this so-called “breadth weakness” occurred at or near stock market peaks of 1999 and 2000, Sonders notes that breadth is strengthening. The phrase “Magnificent 7” is near-meaningless since, as of mid-March, the Mag7 includes both the best performing stock in the S&P 500 (Nvidia) and the worst performing stock (Tesla). Sonders argues that there is no such thing as a “typical” Fed interest rate cutting cycle, and that slower cutting cycles have tended to coincide alongside more bullish stock market action than fast cutting cycles. Filmed on March 4, 2024.
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Use code FG10 to get 10% off Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit in March: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2024-londonTimestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:24) The Rally In S&P 500 Has Been Ferocious, The Rally In Average Stocks Has Not
(04:22) Large Cap Stocks Are Leading The S&P 500 Higher... Smaller Names Have Performed Less Well
(09:31) Earnings Growth Is Very Strong (Unlike In 2000)
(12:16) Companies' Earnings Guidance Is Less Specific Than Pre-2020
(16:47) Economic Outlook In U.S.: Rolling Re-acceleration
(20:13) Labor Market Situation Has Been "Mirror Image" Of What Normally Happens
(22:05) This Economic Cycle Has Been An "Orange" Compared To History's "Apples"
(22:29) VanEck Ad
(24:53) There Is No Such Thing As A "Typical" Fed Rate Cutting Cycle
(30:57) Slower Cutting Cycles Have Been Somewhat More Bullish Than Rapid Cutting Cycles
(36:27) Artificial Intelligence (AI)
(43:17) Quality As A Factor
(45:39) Momentum Has Been "Best Performing Factor Year-To-Date"
(49:37) Size and Value As Factors

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
Released:
Mar 12, 2024
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Jack Farley interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.