Tropical Storm Elsa is crossing West Central Cuba with 65 mph winds. It will emerge into the Florida Straits tonight and the pass to the west of Key West Florida Tuesday morning. From there the center will track northward just off the Florida West Coast. Landfall along the Florida Coastal Bend is likely early Wednesday morning. Rain appears to be the biggest risk with 4 to 6 inches of rain forecast for parts of southwest Florida and 2 to 4 inches elsewhere. The track calls for Elsa to move northeast along I-95 and then emerge off the Mid Atlantic coast later Thursday or Friday. Latest model runs show a track further north up the coast and we examine that possibility.  
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