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The Bond Market Sell-Off Was Duration, Not Credit Risk | Ben Santonelli

The Bond Market Sell-Off Was Duration, Not Credit Risk | Ben Santonelli

FromForward Guidance


The Bond Market Sell-Off Was Duration, Not Credit Risk | Ben Santonelli

FromForward Guidance

ratings:
Length:
55 minutes
Released:
Nov 6, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

On Todays episode, Ben Santonelli Portfolio Manager at Polen Capital joins the show for a discussion on the state of the high yield bond market.

Expecting further weakness in the high yield space, but nothing outside the normal credit cycle, Ben explains where he is finding the best opportunities as "debt investors can now generate equity type returns". To hear all this & more, you'll have to tune in!
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(03:49) Debt Investors Are Generating Equity Type Returns
(05:38) Default Rates Will Increase In 2024 & Beyond
(12:41) Loan-to-Value (LTV): Investing In High Quality Businesses
(20:05) Loan Demand Has Declined Since 2022
(22:35) Liquidity
(31:00) Credit Spreads Are Still Tight
(35:35) Credit's Performance During A Recession
(39:20) The Weakness In Credit Is Mostly Margin Compression
(46:46) If Interest Rates Remain Higher For Longer, We Will See Refinancing Issues
(50:41) Wages & Labor
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
Released:
Nov 6, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Jack Farley interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.