Our next guest is Paul Goodwin, Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath, United Kingdom.Paul is a fantastic speaker, well-known for his research in judgemental forecasting, and author of numerous books. This conversation developed into several exciting tracks. We discussed uncertainty and human perception, a combination of statistical models (especially in spreadsheets) and judgments, and their use in the current forecasting software.Paul recommends Principles of Business Forecasting by Keith Ord, Robert Fildes and Nikolaos Kourentzes.