30 min listen
Positive Thinking: Conditional Probability, Bayes' Theorem, and the Base-Rate Fallacy
FromThe Math Club
Positive Thinking: Conditional Probability, Bayes' Theorem, and the Base-Rate Fallacy
FromThe Math Club
ratings:
Length:
25 minutes
Released:
Jun 29, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
In this episode, Noah's certain that he has a disease because he tested positive on a test that's 99% accurate. Does that mean he almost certainly has the disease? Pete's not so sure, and brings up a statistics concept to help shed some light on the numbers. • Our online simulator that you can play with • Submit your puzzle answer here
Released:
Jun 29, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (53)
Much Ado About Nothing: Welcome to The Math Club! In this, our inaugural episode, we start at the origin of all things: Zero. Join us as we explore the special role zero plays in our system of arithmetic and discuss the dazzling way John von Neumann created everything... by The Math Club