Discover this podcast and so much more

Podcasts are free to enjoy without a subscription. We also offer ebooks, audiobooks, and so much more for just $11.99/month.

#41 Thinking Bayes, with Allen Downey

#41 Thinking Bayes, with Allen Downey

FromLearning Bayesian Statistics


#41 Thinking Bayes, with Allen Downey

FromLearning Bayesian Statistics

ratings:
Length:
64 minutes
Released:
Jun 14, 2021
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

Let’s think Bayes, shall we? And who better to do that than the author of the well known book, Think Bayes — Allen Downey himself! Since the second edition was just released, the timing couldn’t be better!
Allen is a professor at Olin College and the author of books related to software and data science, including Think Python, Think Bayes, and Think Complexity. His blog, Probably Overthinking It, features articles on Bayesian probability and statistics. He holds a Ph.D. from U.C. Berkeley, and bachelors and masters degrees from MIT.
In this special episode, Allen and I talked about his background, how he came to the stats and teaching worlds, and why he wanted to write this book in the first place. He’ll tell us who this book is written for, what’s new in the second edition, and which mistakes his students most commonly make when starting to learn Bayesian stats. We also talked about some types of models, their usefulness and their weaknesses, but I’ll let you discover that.
Now for another good news: 5 Patrons of the show will get Think Bayes for free! To qualify, you just need to go the form I linked to in the 'Learn Bayes Stats' Slack channel or https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats (the Patreon page) and enter your email address. That’s it. After a week or so, Allen and I will choose 5 winners at random, who will receive the book for free!
If you’re not a Patron yet, make sure to check out https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats (patreon.com/learnbayesstats) if you don’t want to miss out on these goodies!
And even if you’re not a Patron, I love you dear listeners, so you all get a discount when you go buy the book at https://www.learnbayesstats.com/buy-think-bayes (https://www.learnbayesstats.com/buy-think-bayes) (unfortunately, this only applies for purchases in the US and Canada).
Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work at https://bababrinkman.com/ (https://bababrinkman.com/) !
Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!
Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Brian Huey, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, Adam Bartonicek, William Benton, Alan O'Donnell, Mark Ormsby, Demetri Pananos, James Ahloy, Jon Berezowski, Robin Taylor, Thomas Wiecki, Chad Scherrer, Nathaniel Neitzke, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Elea McDonnell Feit, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Joshua Duncan, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, George Ho, Colin Carroll, Nathaniel Burbank, Michael Osthege, Rémi Louf, Clive Edelsten, Henri Wallen, Jonathan Sedar, Hugo Botha, Vinh Nguyen, Raul Maldonado, Marcin Elantkowski, Tim Radtke, Adam C. Smith, Will Kurt, Andrew Moskowitz, John Johnson and Hector Munoz.
Visit https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats (https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats) to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)
Links from the show:
Give LBS a 5-star rating on Podchaser: https://www.podchaser.com/learnbayesstats (https://www.podchaser.com/learnbayesstats)
Buy Think Bayes at a 40% discount with the code LBS40 (expires on July 31; only applies for purchases in the US and Canada): https://www.learnbayesstats.com/buy-think-bayes (https://www.learnbayesstats.com/buy-think-bayes)
Think Bayes 2 online: http://allendowney.github.io/ThinkBayes2/index.html (http://allendowney.github.io/ThinkBayes2/index.html)
Allen's blog: https://www.allendowney.com/blog/ (https://www.allendowney.com/blog/)
Allen on Twitter: https://twitter.com/allendowney (https://twitter.com/allendowney)
Allen on GitHub: https://github.com/AllenDowney (https://github.com/AllenDowney)
Information theory, inference and learning algorithms, David MacKay: https://www.inference.org.uk/itila/ (https://www.inference.org.uk/itila/)
Statistical Rethinking, Richard McElreath: http://xcelab.net/rm/statistical-rethinking/ (http://xcelab.net/rm/statistical-rethinking/)
Released:
Jun 14, 2021
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Are you a researcher or data scientist / analyst / ninja? Do you want to learn Bayesian inference, stay up to date or simply want to understand what Bayesian inference is? Then this podcast is for you! You'll hear from researchers and practitioners of all fields about how they use Bayesian statistics, and how in turn YOU can apply these methods in your modeling workflow. When I started learning Bayesian methods, I really wished there were a podcast out there that could introduce me to the methods, the projects and the people who make all that possible. So I created "Learning Bayesian Statistics", where you'll get to hear how Bayesian statistics are used to detect black matter in outer space, forecast elections or understand how diseases spread and can ultimately be stopped. But this show is not only about successes -- it's also about failures, because that's how we learn best. So you'll often hear the guests talking about what *didn't* work in their projects, why, and how they overcame these challenges. Because, in the end, we're all lifelong learners! My name is Alex Andorra by the way, and I live in Paris. By day, I'm a data scientist and modeler at the https://www.pymc-labs.io/ (PyMC Labs) consultancy. By night, I don't (yet) fight crime, but I'm an open-source enthusiast and core contributor to the python packages https://docs.pymc.io/ (PyMC) and https://arviz-devs.github.io/arviz/ (ArviZ). I also love https://www.pollsposition.com/ (election forecasting) and, most importantly, Nutella. But I don't like talking about it – I prefer eating it. So, whether you want to learn Bayesian statistics or hear about the latest libraries, books and applications, this podcast is for you -- just subscribe! You can also support the show and https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats (unlock exclusive Bayesian swag on Patreon)! This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Podcorn - https://podcorn.com/privacy