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#14 Hidden Markov Models & Statistical Ecology, with Vianey Leos-Barajas

#14 Hidden Markov Models & Statistical Ecology, with Vianey Leos-Barajas

FromLearning Bayesian Statistics


#14 Hidden Markov Models & Statistical Ecology, with Vianey Leos-Barajas

FromLearning Bayesian Statistics

ratings:
Length:
49 minutes
Released:
Apr 22, 2020
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

I bet you love penguins, right? The same goes for koalas, or puppies! But what about sharks? Well, my next guest loves sharks — she loves them so much that she works a lot with marine biologists, even though she’s a statistician! 
Vianey Leos Barajas is indeed a statistician primarily working in the areas of statistical ecology, time series modeling, Bayesian inference and spatial modeling of environmental data. Vianey did her PhD in statistics at Iowa State University and is now a postdoctoral researcher at North Carolina State University.
In this episode, she’ll tell us what she’s working on that involves sharks, sheep and other animals! Trying to model animal movements, Vianey often encounters the dreaded multimodal posteriors. She’ll explain why these can be very tricky to estimate, and why ecological data are particularly suited for hidden Markov models and spatio-temporal models — don’t worry, Vianey will explain what these models are in the episode!
Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work at https://bababrinkman.com/ (https://bababrinkman.com/) !
Links from the show:
Vianey on Twitter: https://twitter.com/vianey_lb (https://twitter.com/vianey_lb)
Hidden Markov Models in the Stan User's Guide: https://mc-stan.org/docs/2_18/stan-users-guide/hmms-section.html (https://mc-stan.org/docs/2_18/stan-users-guide/hmms-section.html)
Tagging Basketball Events with HMM in Stan: https://mc-stan.org/users/documentation/case-studies/bball-hmm.html (https://mc-stan.org/users/documentation/case-studies/bball-hmm.html)
HMMs with Python and PyMC3: https://ericmjl.github.io/bayesian-analysis-recipes/notebooks/markov-models/
The Discrete Adjoint Method -- Efficient Derivatives for Functions of Discrete Sequences (Betancourt, Margossian, Leos-Barajas): https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.00326 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.00326)
Vianey will be doing an HMM 90-minute introduction at the International Statistical Ecology Conference in June 2020: http://www.isec2020.org/ (http://www.isec2020.org/)
Stan for Ecology -- a website for the ecology community in Stan: https://stanecology.github.io/ (https://stanecology.github.io/)
LatinR 2020 -- 7th to 9th October 2020: https://latin-r.com/ (https://latin-r.com/)
Migramar -- Science for the Conservation of Marine Migratory Species in the Eastern Pacific: http://migramar.org/hi/en/ (http://migramar.org/hi/en/)
Pelagios Kakunja -- Know, educate and conserve for a sustainable sea: https://www.pelagioskakunja.org/ (https://www.pelagioskakunja.org/)

Book recommendations:
Hidden Markov Models for Time Series: https://www.routledge.com/Hidden-Markov-Models-for-Time-Series-An-Introduction-Using-R-Second-Edition/Zucchini-MacDonald-Langrock/p/book/9781482253832 (https://www.routledge.com/Hidden-Markov-Models-for-Time-Series-An-Introduction-Using-R-Second-Edition/Zucchini-MacDonald-Langrock/p/book/9781482253832)
Handbook of Mixture Analysis: https://www.routledge.com/Handbook-of-Mixture-Analysis-1st-Edition/Fruhwirth-Schnatter-Celeux-Robert/p/book/9781498763813 (https://www.routledge.com/Handbook-of-Mixture-Analysis-1st-Edition/Fruhwirth-Schnatter-Celeux-Robert/p/book/9781498763813)
Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning: http://users.isr.ist.utl.pt/~wurmd/Livros/school/Bishop%20-%20Pattern%20Recognition%20And%20Machine%20Learning%20-%20Springer%20%202006.pdf (http://users.isr.ist.utl.pt/~wurmd/Livros/school/Bishop%20-%20Pattern%20Recognition%20And%20Machine%20Learning%20-%20Springer%20%202006.pdf)



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Released:
Apr 22, 2020
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Are you a researcher or data scientist / analyst / ninja? Do you want to learn Bayesian inference, stay up to date or simply want to understand what Bayesian inference is? Then this podcast is for you! You'll hear from researchers and practitioners of all fields about how they use Bayesian statistics, and how in turn YOU can apply these methods in your modeling workflow. When I started learning Bayesian methods, I really wished there were a podcast out there that could introduce me to the methods, the projects and the people who make all that possible. So I created "Learning Bayesian Statistics", where you'll get to hear how Bayesian statistics are used to detect black matter in outer space, forecast elections or understand how diseases spread and can ultimately be stopped. But this show is not only about successes -- it's also about failures, because that's how we learn best. So you'll often hear the guests talking about what *didn't* work in their projects, why, and how they overcame these challenges. Because, in the end, we're all lifelong learners! My name is Alex Andorra by the way, and I live in Paris. By day, I'm a data scientist and modeler at the https://www.pymc-labs.io/ (PyMC Labs) consultancy. By night, I don't (yet) fight crime, but I'm an open-source enthusiast and core contributor to the python packages https://docs.pymc.io/ (PyMC) and https://arviz-devs.github.io/arviz/ (ArviZ). I also love https://www.pollsposition.com/ (election forecasting) and, most importantly, Nutella. But I don't like talking about it – I prefer eating it. So, whether you want to learn Bayesian statistics or hear about the latest libraries, books and applications, this podcast is for you -- just subscribe! You can also support the show and https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats (unlock exclusive Bayesian swag on Patreon)! This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Podcorn - https://podcorn.com/privacy