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#10 Exploratory Analysis of Bayesian Models, with ArviZ and Ari Hartikainen

#10 Exploratory Analysis of Bayesian Models, with ArviZ and Ari Hartikainen

FromLearning Bayesian Statistics


#10 Exploratory Analysis of Bayesian Models, with ArviZ and Ari Hartikainen

FromLearning Bayesian Statistics

ratings:
Length:
44 minutes
Released:
Feb 26, 2020
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

How do you handle your MCMC samples once your Bayesian model fit properly? Which diagnostics do you check to see if there was a computational problem? And isn’t that nice when you have beautiful and reliable plots to complement your analysis and better understand your model?
I know what you think: plotting can be long and complicated in these cases. Well, not with ArviZ, a platform-agnostic package to do exploratory analysis of your Bayesian models. And in this episode, Ari Hartikainen will tell you why.
Ari is a data-scientist in geophysics and a researcher at the Department of Civil Engineering of Aalto University in Finland. He mainly works on geophysics, Bayesian statistics and visualization. 
Ari’s also a prolific open-source contributor, as he’s a core-developer of the popular Stan and ArviZ libraries. He’ll tell us how PyStan interacts with ArviZ, what he thinks ArviZ most useful features are, and which common difficulties he encounters with his models and data.
Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work at https://bababrinkman.com/ (https://bababrinkman.com/) !
Links from the show:
Ari on GitHub: https://github.com/ahartikainen (https://github.com/ahartikainen)
Ari on Twitter: https://twitter.com/a_hartikainen (https://twitter.com/a_hartikainen)
ArviZ -- Exploratory analysis of Bayesian models: https://arviz-devs.github.io/arviz/ (https://arviz-devs.github.io/arviz/)
Introductory paper of ArviZ in The Journal of Open Source Software: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/330402908_ArviZ_a_unified_library_for_exploratory_analysis_of_Bayesian_models_in_Python (https://www.researchgate.net/publication/330402908_ArviZ_a_unified_library_for_exploratory_analysis_of_Bayesian_models_in_Python)
Stan -- Statistical Modeling Platform: https://mc-stan.org/ (https://mc-stan.org/)
GPflow -- Gaussian processes in TensorFlow: https://www.gpflow.org/ (https://www.gpflow.org/)
GPy -- Gaussian processes framework in Python: https://sheffieldml.github.io/GPy/ (https://sheffieldml.github.io/GPy/)



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Released:
Feb 26, 2020
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Are you a researcher or data scientist / analyst / ninja? Do you want to learn Bayesian inference, stay up to date or simply want to understand what Bayesian inference is? Then this podcast is for you! You'll hear from researchers and practitioners of all fields about how they use Bayesian statistics, and how in turn YOU can apply these methods in your modeling workflow. When I started learning Bayesian methods, I really wished there were a podcast out there that could introduce me to the methods, the projects and the people who make all that possible. So I created "Learning Bayesian Statistics", where you'll get to hear how Bayesian statistics are used to detect black matter in outer space, forecast elections or understand how diseases spread and can ultimately be stopped. But this show is not only about successes -- it's also about failures, because that's how we learn best. So you'll often hear the guests talking about what *didn't* work in their projects, why, and how they overcame these challenges. Because, in the end, we're all lifelong learners! My name is Alex Andorra by the way, and I live in Paris. By day, I'm a data scientist and modeler at the https://www.pymc-labs.io/ (PyMC Labs) consultancy. By night, I don't (yet) fight crime, but I'm an open-source enthusiast and core contributor to the python packages https://docs.pymc.io/ (PyMC) and https://arviz-devs.github.io/arviz/ (ArviZ). I also love https://www.pollsposition.com/ (election forecasting) and, most importantly, Nutella. But I don't like talking about it – I prefer eating it. So, whether you want to learn Bayesian statistics or hear about the latest libraries, books and applications, this podcast is for you -- just subscribe! You can also support the show and https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats (unlock exclusive Bayesian swag on Patreon)! This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Podcorn - https://podcorn.com/privacy