Vision of the Future: The Global Energy Perspective: Energy, #1
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About this ebook
VISION OF THE FUTURE
A Global Energy Perspective
- Future Oil Crisis
- Potential Solutions
- Likely outcomes
- Different forms of energy systems
Are you interested in shaping the future long into the second half of the 21st century?
This book will clarify several problems at once. What is viable and what is not on a grander, strategic energy level. It will reveal the probable future of energy. We consider the evidence of resource depletion; potential solutions, challenges we face in implementing the solutions; and outline 3 possible energy economies, that will be mixed to hopefully solve the loss of economically available fossil fuels.
The book covers the following topics:
Resource Expiration & the Exponential Problem
EROIE and the dominance of Oil based fuels
Potential Solutions to the loss of Oil
Implication of Failing to find a solution
Behavioral Solutions
Climate Change - What does it teach us about transition
Why is the Media NOT highlighting the coming oil crisis?
The book will challenge many of your long-held beliefs. For example, many people who have read this book, have commented that they believed that 'exponential growth' was commonly understood as rapid growth. This is in fact incorrect. Exponential growth as we shall note, can be applied to anything that has a doubling time. Every percentage rise undergoes exponential growth. When we apply this to consumption rates it seriously undermines the belief that many people have that oil will last forever, or for thousands of years.
The book will also look at subjects such as Net Energy, which is based upon Energy Return on Investment of Energy. If you don't understand this, consider coal mining. We must use energy to extract energy. Most of that energy is from oil or secondary sources such as electricity (often generated by burning different kinds of fossil fuels like gas, or hydroelectricity, etc., etc.) Net Energy tells us the likely possibility of maintaining civilization in the face of using more resources to extract resources to meet our energy demands.
How difficult it is to replace fossil fuels and what is required to do so, over the next 50 years just with oil. This book examines 3 types of energy economies, each with a different slant. These economies represent potential models of future development.
We analyze and understand how energy systems can be measured. This kind of economic and civilization viable assessments are not taught at the university.
This book is an introduction to The Energy of the Future book.
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Vision of the Future - Energy Consortium
Vision of the Future
The Global Energy Perspective
––––––––
by Energy Consortium
VISION OF THE FUTURE
THE GLOBAL ENERGY PERSPECTIVE
BY ENERGY CONSORTIUM
***
All material contained herein is Copyright
Copyright © Energy Consortium 2023
***
Paperback ISBN: ISBN: 979-8-3759400-9-0
ePub ISBN: 979-8-2150378-7-4
***
Written by Energy Consortium
Published by Royal Hawaiian Press
Cover art by Tyrone Roshantha
Publishing Assistance by Dorota Reszke
***
For more works by this author, please visit:
www.royalhawaiianpress.com
***
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system without prior written permission of the Author. Your support of Author’s rights is appreciated.
Table of Contents
1. Exponential
2. Importance of Oil
3.1 Part 1
3.2 Part 2
4. Implications
5. Behavioral
6. Climate Change - what does it teach us about transition?
7. How Africa might change the world
8. Why are the media ignoring this problem?
9. Beyond Earth: Can we find a Solution in Outer Space
Exponential
When the Europeans entered the western part of America, they must have thought the world and its resources were limitless. Humans are very tiny creatures compared with the Earth. Who would have imagined in the eighteen seventies that human economic activity one day will change the composition of the Earth's atmosphere?
Earth is a spaceship, very much like a spaceship. It has limited resources. We need to conserve its resources, recycle them, and find new innovative ways to make sure we don't overshoot our spaceship ability to keep the life support system healthy. That is essentially the subject that the bigger picture is going to look at today.
We will carry you on a hopefully swift and pleasant journey. Taking a look at the one thing that really matters above all else to human survival, energy. In essence there is a question, how will human civilizations operate without their primary fuel?
The cosmologist Carl Sagan in his epic TV series called The Pale Blue Dot, summed up planet Earth and live on it could be envisioned as a thin film of life on a solitary lump of rock and metal. To understand what Sagan was talking about, we need to scale the earth down to something we understand. If the earth was the size of an apple, the skin of the apple would represent the entire known life in the universe. This skin, a layer of life is what we call the biosphere.
Humans, though, mistreat the biosphere, their life support system. They do this using the take, make and throwaway system of economic production. Let us know, pause for a moment and consider what the goal of humanity is and what allows us to achieve this goal.
At times when people were religious, many humans believed the survival of the human soul beyond death was the ultimate purpose. Scientific knowledge has replaced his goal with a new one; the survival of the human species. Human growth and survival have been regulated by our access to energy.
Throughout our history, we have been hunter gatherers, horticulturalist, and agriculturalists with the invention of technology such as steam powered diesel engines. We have become industrialized, largely divorced from nature.
The Russian physicist’s Kardashev’s scale, the human ability to harness energy by comparing us with a supposed alien civilization that has harnessed all of that planet's available energy. He called this a type one civilization. The civilizations on Earth are only a type zero-point seven civilization on this scale. Type two, a civilization that is able to harness all of the power available from a single star like our sun. This, then, is the objective of humanity to become a solar civilization.
Humans mistreat our biosphere by acting rather like a plague species, like plague species, though we do not die often masked right away after the feast, but instead carry-on populating and feasting. Let us look at the current process used by humans to service their demands. We can call this the take make a system.
And although we recycle much, the general outline here is still quite accurate. Firstly, we take the resources, sometimes using violence or we just eradicate areas of life or force native tribes to leave. We ship the resources vast distances, process them in factories and transport them again. In the meantime, we advertise and sell the products that they're made into creating or satisfying consumer demand at all stages.
There is waste, waste from production and waste after the products have ended their lifespan. Some of this waste goes for recycling, but