Critical Materials For The Energy Transition
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Critical Materials For The Energy Transition - International Renewable Energy Agency IRENA
© IRENA 2021
Unless otherwise stated, material in this publication may be freely used, shared, copied, reproduced, printed and/or stored, provided that appropriate acknowledgement is given of the author(s) as the source and IRENA as the copyright holder. Material in this publication attributed to third parties may be subject to separate terms of use and restrictions, and appropriate permissions from these third parties may need to be secured before any use of such material.
ISBN: 978-92-9260-362-5
eBook ISBN: 978-92-9260-389-2
Citation: Lyons, M., P. Durrant and K. Kochhar (2021), Reaching Zero with Renewables: Capturing Carbon, International Renewable Energy Agency, Abu Dhabi.
About IRENA
The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) serves as the principal platform for international co-operation, a centre of excellence, a repository of policy, technology, resource and financial knowledge, and a driver of action on the ground to advance the transformation of the global energy system. An intergovernmental organisation established in 2011, IRENA promotes the widespread adoption and sustainable use of all forms of renewable energy, including bioenergy, geothermal, hydropower, ocean, solar and wind energy, in the pursuit of sustainable development, energy access, energy security and low-carbon economic growth and prosperity. www.irena.org
Acknowledgements
This working paper was authored by Martina Lyons, Paul Durrant and Karan Kochhar under the guidance of Dolf Gielen. The paper benefited from valuable inputs provided by IRENA colleagues Michael Taylor on costs, Simon Benmarraze, Paula Nardone and Josefine Axelsson on NDCs, and Seungwoo Kang and Aravind Ganesan on BECCS.
The working paper benefited from the technical review provided by Eve Tamme (Climate Principles), Alex Joss (UNFCCC Climate Champions team), Mai Bui (Imperial College London), Sanna O’Connor-Morberg and Kash Burchett (Energy Transition Commission) and Wolfgang Schneider (European Commission). Valuable feedback and review were also received from IRENA colleagues Herib Blanco, Francisco Boshell, Pablo Carvajal, Remi Cerdan, Paul Komor and Carlos Ruiz. The report was edited by Francis Field.
For further information or to provide feedback: publications@irena.org
Disclaimer
The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of IRENA. This publication does not represent IRENA’s official position or views on any topic.
The Technical Papers series are produced as a contribution to technical discussions and to disseminate new findings on relevant topics. Such publications may be subject to comparatively limited peer review. They are written by individual authors and should be cited and described accordingly.
The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of IRENA or all its Members. IRENA does not assume responsibility for the content of this work or guarantee the accuracy of the data included herein.
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Title PageCONTENTS
Figures
Tables
Boxes
Abbreviations
Executive summary
1. The role of carbon capture
2. The current status of carbon capture, transportation, utilisation and storage
3. The future role of CCS, CCU and CDR
4. Actions required in the next 10 years
References
Annexes
Annex A: CCS, CCU and CDR, and their roles in emissions reduction
Annex B: CO2 Capture – status and potential
Annex C: Status and potential for the transportation of CO2
Annex D: Status and potential for CO2storage
Annex E: Status and potential for CO2 utilisation
Annex F: Status and potentials for CDR technologies (BECCS & DACCS)
References
FIGURES
FIGURE 1: Total investments by technology in IRENA’s Planned Energy Scenario (PES) and 1.5°C Scenario (2021–2050)
FIGURE 2: Carbon cycle
FIGURE 3: The scale of global carbon capture installed capacity required
FIGURE 4: Carbon chain
FIGURE 5: Share of commercial, pilot and demonstration projects for CCS, DACCS and BECCS
FIGURE 6: Technology readiness levels of CO 2 capture technologies
FIGURE 7: Commercial availability of CO 2 capture technologies
FIGURE 8: Avoidance costs of CO 2 capture for selected capture technologies as reported by a variety of scientific publications
FIGURE 9: Cost estimates for onshore and offshore storage
FIGURE 10: The role of CCS, CCU and BECCS across sectors
FIGURE 11: Costs of production via carbon route, as a percentage of renewable pathway
FIGURE 12: Share of CO 2 capture, utilisation and/or storage by sector by 2050
FIGURE 13: Share of BECCS by sector in 2050
FIGURE 14: Actions required in the next 10 years
FIGURE 15: CCS plants, 2010–2020
FIGURE 16: The declining importance of fossil fuels (fossil fuel primary supply, 2018–2050 in the 1.5°C Scenario)
FIGURE 17: Costs of production via carbon route as a percentage of renewable pathway
FIGURE 18: CO 2 concentration per source
FIGURE 19: Post-combustion
FIGURE 20: Pre-combustion
FIGURE 21: Oxy-combustion
FIGURE 22: Direct air capture with chemical solvent
FIGURE 23: Non-exhaustive list of CCS/CCU projects in fossil fuel power generation at different stages of operation
FIGURE 24: LCOE of CCGT and supercritical coal-fired power plants for commissioning in 2025 in Australia and the United States
FIGURE 25: Non-exhaustive list of CCS/CCU projects from natural gas processing in different stages of operation
FIGURE 26: Cement production and components
FIGURE 27: Non-exhaustive list of CCS/CCU projects in cement sector at different stages of operation
FIGURE 28: List of CCS and CCU projects in the iron and steel sector at different stages of development
FIGURE 29: Non-exhaustive list of CCU and CCS plants in the petrochemicals and chemicals industry
FIGURE 30: Hydrogen use trends, 1980–2018
FIGURE 31: Blue hydrogen CCS projects
FIGURE 32: CO 2 storage resources (millions of tonnes) in major oil and gas fields (excluding saline formations)
FIGURE 33: Storage resource assessment in major countries
FIGURE 34: Overview of some of CO 2 -EOR commercial and demonstration projects (ongoing, completed and planned)
FIGURE 35: Overview of some demonstration projects for CO 2 storage in depleted oil and gas fields
FIGURE 36: Some projects storing CO 2 in saline formations
FIGURE 37: Overview of costs of storage (saline formations and depleted or disused oil/gas fields)
FIGURE 38: Overview of storage costs in Europe
FIGURE 39: CO 2 hubs, clusters and transportation networks in operation or development
FIGURE 40: CO 2 utilisation applications
FIGURE 41: Re-emission of utilised CO 2
FIGURE 42: Non-exhaustive list of ongoing and planned BECCS/BECCU projects
FIGURE 43: Non-exhaustive list of direct air capture projects
TABLES
TABLE 1: Potential for biogenic carbon capture in 2050 in IRENA’s 1.5°C Scenario
TABLE 2: The inclusion of CCS in long-term strategies by G20 countries submitted to the UNFCCC
TABLE 3: Overview of economics and emissions of coal-fired power generation via different methods
TABLE 4: Selection of post- and oxy-combustion technologies to capture CO 2 in cement plants
TABLE 5: Selection of post- and oxy-combustion technologies to capture CO 2 in iron and steel plants
TABLE 6: Overview of performance, cost and readiness levels for capturing carbon from ammonia and methanol production
TABLE 7: Overview of performance, cost and readiness levels for capturing carbon from ethylene production
TABLE 8: Carbon and energy efficiency for different methods of biomass integration
TABLE 9: Comparison of costs of avoided CO 2 for fossil fuel-based CCS and BECCS
TABLE 10: Comparison of biomass-based and CCS routes for the production of ammonia and methanol
TABLE 11: Overview of performance, cost and readiness levels for capturing carbon from standalone hydrogen production
TABLE 12: Capital and CO 2 avoidance costs for DAC from literature
BOXES
BOX 1: BECCS and DACCS
BOX 2: Emissions removal and reduction
BOX 3: Technology readiness level
BOX 4: Three main approaches to capture CO 2
BOX 5: CO 2 hubs, clusters and transportation networks
ABBREVIATIONS
AMP amino-methyl-propanol
ATR auto thermal reforming
BECCS bioenergy with carbon capture and storage
BF-BOF blast furnace–basic oxygen furnace
°C degrees Celsius
CaO calcium oxide
CAPEX capital expenditures
CCGT combined cycle gas turbines
CCS carbon capture and storage
CCU carbon capture and utilisation
CDR carbon dioxide removal
CO2 carbon dioxide
CO2eq carbon dioxide equivalent
CS crude steel
DAC direct air (carbon) capture
DACCS direct air (carbon) capture and storage
DACCU direct air (carbon) capture and utilisation
DRI direct reduced iron
EAF electric arc furnace
ECRA European Cement Research Academy
EIB European Investment Bank
EJ exajoule
EOR enhanced oil recovery
EU European Union
FOAK first-of-a-kind
Gt gigatonnes
Gtpa gigatonnes per year
GW gigawatt
H2 hydrogen
HRC hot rolled coil
IEA International Energy Agency
IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
ktpa kilotonnes per year
kWh kilowatt hour
kWhe kilowatt hours electric
LCOE levelised costs of electricity
LEDS low-greenhouse-gas emission development strategies
LULUCF land use, land-use change, and forestry
MEA monoethanolamine
MDEA methyldiethanolamin
MJ megajoule
MSW municipal solid waste
Mtpa megatonnes per year
MW megawatt
MWh megawatt hour
Nnitrogen
Nm3 normal cubic metre
NDC Nationally Determined Contributions
NGCC natural gas combined cycle
NOx nitrogen oxides
NO2 nitrogen dioxide
O&M operation and maintenance
OPEX operating expenditures
PCC post-combustion capture
PCI Project of Common Interest
PPA power purchase agreement
ppm parts per million
Pz piperazine
RD&D Research, development and demonstration
SO2 sulphur dioxide
SMR steam methane reforming
T&S transport and storage
tCO2 tonne of CO₂
TGR-BF top gas recycled blast furnace
toe tonne of oil equivalent
Tpa tonnes per year
TRL technology readiness level
TWh terawatt hour
UK United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
UNFCCC United Nations Framework Conventions on Climate Change
USC ultra-supercritical
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This technical paper explores the status and potential of carbon capture and storage (CCS), carbon capture and utilisation (CCU) and carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies and their roles alongside renewables in the deep decarbonisation of energy systems. It complements and builds upon the broader discussions on the energy transition in other recent IRENA reports, including the World Energy Transitions Outlook (IRENA, 2021a) and Reaching Zero with Renewables (IRENA, 2020). The paper summarises the status of these technologies in terms of current deployment and costs, potential future roles, and the challenges and prospects for scaling-up their use in the context of the 1.5°C climate change goal and achieving net-zero emissions by 2050. The main report provides an overview of these topics whilst the annexes provide additional resources and more detailed background information, including a discussion of key components, and tables presenting information on existing and planned projects.
The capture and storage of CO2 has a moderate but indispensable role to play in global deep decarbonisation strategies; but the pace of recent progress in validating and deploying CCS, CCU and CDR technologies in multiple sectors falls far short of pathways consistent with the 1.5oC goal.
The