The BRICS and the Financing Mechanisms They Created: Progress and Shortcomings
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The book provides an assessment of BRICS cooperation, focusing on the new financing mechanisms created by the BRICS, the monetary fund and the development bank. It is shown that Brazil, Russia, India and China, joined later by South Africa, share common traits that led them to cooperate in the reform of the international financial architecture, especially the G20 and the IMF. After 2012, in light of the difficulty of having advanced countries agree to move from “tinkering at the margins” to fundamental reform of the Bretton Woods institutions, the BRICS decided to establish their own monetary fund, named the BRICS Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA), and their own development bank, named the New Development Bank (NDB). The book describes the difficult negotiations among the BRICS between 2012 and 2014. Some of these difficulties revealed the weaknesses that would lead the CRA and the NDB to make slow progress in the first years of their existence. The book provides an overview of the strong points and weaknesses of the initial phase of these financing mechanisms. It ends with a discussion of the future of the BRICS, highlighting that joint action by the five countries is likely to remain an important feature of the international landscape in the decades to come.
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The BRICS and the Financing Mechanisms They Created - Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr.
The BRICS and the Financing
Mechanisms They Created
The BRICS and the Financing
Mechanisms They Created
Progress and Shortcomings
Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr.
Anthem Press
An imprint of Wimbledon Publishing Company
www.anthempress.com
This edition first published in UK and USA 2022
by ANTHEM PRESS
75–76 Blackfriars Road, London SE1 8HA, UK
or PO Box 9779, London SW19 7ZG, UK
and
244 Madison Ave #116, New York, NY 10016, USA
Copyright © Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr. 2022
The author asserts the moral right to be identified as the author of this work.
All rights reserved. Without limiting the rights under copyright reserved above,
no part of this publication may be reproduced, stored or introduced into
a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means
(electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise),
without the prior written permission of both the copyright
owner and the above publisher of this book.
British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library.
Library of Congress Control Number: 2021946884
ISBN-13: 978-1-83998-206-4 (Hbk)
ISBN-10: 1-83998-206-3 (Hbk)
This title is also available as an e-book.
CONTENTS
A Brief Note
1.Introduction
2.The BRICS Come Together
BRICS coordination in the IMF
BRICS excessively cautious, Brazil often the main engine
Common traits of the BRICS
3.Contingent Reserve Arrangement—CRA, the Monetary Fund of the BRICS
Brazil and China take the lead
Work on the CRA begins
Main issues involved in the negotiation of the CRA
To what extent should the CRA be linked to the IMF?
Other sticking points in the negotiations
Developments after the Fortaleza and Ufa Summits
4.The New Development Bank—NDB, Origins and Negotiations
The NDB begins in Shanghai
Governance and first steps
General strategy and plans for expansion of membership
Internal problems of the NDB
Political setbacks
The NDB achieves results but fails to live up to expectations
5.Whither the BRICS? Final Considerations
References
Index of Names
A Brief Note
Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr. is a former executive director at the IMF in Washington DC for Brazil and other countries (2007–15), Brazilian delegate at G20 meetings (2007–14), Brazilian delegate at BRICS meetings and negotiations (2008–15), and vice president of the New Development Bank in Shanghai (2015–17).
This book is based on a paper prepared for the Global Development Policy Center of Boston University that was concluded in November 2020 and updated in January 2021. The views expressed are solely those of the author.
Chapter 1
Introduction
The BRICS formation—Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa—has been operating since 2008 on a continuous basis and became early on a permanent and widely recognized feature of the international political and economic landscape. This was hardly surprising since it comprises five of the most important emerging market countries. The four original members, together with the United States, are among the group of only five countries that are on the lists of 10 largest territories, populations, and GDPs of the world.¹ South Africa, which joined the group in 2011, is one of the most important countries in sub-Saharan Africa.
This book begins with an overview of the BRICS as a cooperation mechanism from 2008 to the present days, examining its strong points and weaknesses. Emphasis is placed on economic and financial aspects, and especially on international governance issues, one of the most important original reasons for the creation of the BRICS. The overview describes how the BRICS were formed, their common traits, and challenges that arose during coordination efforts among the four and later five countries, including disclosure of episodes that illustrate the nature of the difficulties we encountered along the way. BRICS coordination in the IMF and some observations on the future of the group are also provided in the book, against the background of a world fractured by geopolitical tensions, and marked by the crisis of multilateralism, growing concerns with climate challenges, and the pandemic of 2020.
Since its creation 12 years ago, the BRICS have gone through different phases. Viewed from the angle of financial cooperation—the one adopted in this book—three broad phases can be distinguished. In the first phase, from 2008 to 2011, the BRICS focused mainly on working together in the G20, the IMF, and the World Bank to attempt to bring about a reform of the international financial architecture, and especially of the Bretton Woods institutions. This seemed to work well initially with the displacement of the G7 by the G20 as the main forum for international economic and financial cooperation and given the commitments made at the G20 to reform the IMF and the World Bank. Some progress was made in the IMF, notably in the 2010 quota and governance reform. By 2011 or even earlier, however, it became clear to the BRICS that progress in the Washington institutions would be slow and patchy. Americans and Europeans showed great reluctance to relinquish their privileged positions in the IMF and the World Bank. Allowing a truly decisive increase in the role of the BRICS and other emerging market and developing nations in the IMF and the World Bank was something they were not really ready to contemplate.
Without abandoning efforts, at least not at first, to reform the Bretton Woods institutions, the BRICS moved to create their own financing mechanisms in parallel. Naturally, both objectives were perfectly compatible, given that the creation of new mechanisms was aimed in part at increasing our leverage in the reform of the international financial architecture. Phase 2 of the BRICS process, from 2012 to 2014, corresponds to the negotiation between the five countries, at times exceedingly difficult, of a development bank and a monetary fund. The negotiations were eventually successful and the treaties creating the development bank and the monetary fund of the BRICS were signed during the Fortaleza BRICS Summit in Brazil, in July 2014. Ratification and approval by Parliaments or other State bodies occurred quickly and a year later, at the Ufa Summit in Russia, in July 2015, the BRICS Leaders could announce that the two financial mechanisms were entering into force.
Phase 3, from 2015 to the present day, corresponds to the implementation of these financial initiatives. I will argue that this implementation has largely been a disappointment so far. The monetary fund was held back by the conservatism of some of the central banks of the BRICS, notably of Brazil, that were somewhat frightened at the prospect of committing reserves to mutual support. The development bank was hampered partly by bad choices made by the countries for the first administration but perhaps chiefly by political developments that undermined the quality and strength of the BRICS process. I refer mainly to political developments in Brazil, since 2016 and especially since 2019, that undermined the country’s commitment to the BRICS, and to the increasing conflicts between China and India, leading to skirmishes on the border in 2017 and again in 2020. The conflict between Russia and the West over Ukraine and Crimea also had negative spillovers for the BRICS, specifically for the multilateral development bank they created.
The book will address the main features of the financing institutions or mechanisms created by the BRICS in response to the difficulties in moving forward with the reform of the Bretton Woods institutions. As mentioned, two financing mechanisms were created by the BRICS: a monetary fund, named the BRICS Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA), and the New Development Bank (NDB), commonly known as the BRICS bank. I will cover the complicated negotiations between the BRICS countries from 2012 to 2014, as well as the first five years of existence of the CRA and the NDB since the entry into force of the treaties signed in Fortaleza. The book deals more with the development bank than with the monetary fund, the NDB being the more important of the two.
What follows is based essentially on my practical experience with the BRICS process, initially as executive director at the IMF in Washington, DC, and as Brazilian delegate to the G20 and BRICS meetings. Subsequently, from 2012 to 2014, I was a participant for Brazil in the negotiations that led to the establishment of the CRA and the NDB. I worked especially on the former. Then I moved to China to become one of the founding members of the NDB. From July 2015 to October 2017, I held the position of Brazilian vice president of the NDB, headquartered in Shanghai. Thus, for most of the period covered by this book what is here presented is an insider’s account of the BRICS process and of the CRA and NDB—a reexamination, with the benefit of hindsight, of what was accomplished, as well as the limitations and shortcomings of the progress we were able to make. A lot was achieved, as I will show, and if a negative tone prevails here and there, this is perhaps due to the fact that results are being assessed against the high aspirations that people like me—the idealists
so to speak—pursued when we started out on this journey in 2008.
This book is based on a paper originally prepared for the Global Development Policy Center of Boston University. A number of people read and criticized preliminary versions. I thank Chris Humphrey, Gustavo Tavares da Costa, Pedro Fachada, Danny Bradlow, Kevin Gallagher and, especially, Sergio Xavier Ferreira, Greg Chin, Jonnas Esmeraldo de Vasconcelos, Aleksei Mozhin, and Hector Torres for corrections, comments, and suggestions, with the usual caveat that the responsibility for views expressed and remaining errors and omissions is mine exclusively. What the reader will find in this book is a mixture of analysis—economic, of international relations, and multilateral organizations—with narratives of negotiation processes, highlighting occasionally backstage incidents and controversies that are revealing of the nature of the BRICS grouping and of the stance taken by the participating countries. The book is based mostly on official documents (including many that were not publicly available, but that I have now posted on my webpage), my own personal