Diverse, Disillusioned, and Divided: Millennial Values and Voter Engagement in the 2012 Election
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About this ebook
With nearly two-thirds of younger Millennials (age 18-24) registered to vote, college-age Americans are a significant voting bloc. As the second installment of a two-part study, Public Religion Research Institute’s new 2012 survey gives voice to their voting preferences and voter engagement, views of the current state of government, and perspectives on affirmative action programs.
Robert P. Jones
Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) is a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization dedicated to research at the intersection of religion, values, and public life. PRRI’s mission is to help journalists, opinion leaders, scholars, clergy, and the general public better understand debates on public policy issues and the role of religion and values in American public life by conducting high quality public opinion surveys and qualitative research. As members of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), the American Political Science Association (APSA), and the American Academy of Religion (AAR), our research team follows the highest research standards of independence and academic excellence. PRRI is a member organization of the National Council on Public Polls, an association of polling organizations established in 1969, which sets the highest professional standards for public opinion researchers. PRRI is also a supporting organization of the Transparency Initiative at AAPOR, an initiative to place the value of openness at the center of the public opinion research profession. As a research organization, PRRI does not take positions on, nor do we advocate for, particular policies. Research supported by its funders reflects PRRI’s commitment to independent inquiry and academic rigor. Research findings and conclusions are never altered to accommodate other interests, including those of funders, other organizations, or government bodies and officials.
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Diverse, Disillusioned, and Divided - Robert P. Jones
Diverse, Disillusioned, and Divided:
Millennial Values and Voter Engagement in the 2012 Election
Analysis by Robert P. Jones, Ph.D., Daniel Cox, and Juhem Navarro-Rivera
Copyright 2012 Public Religion Research Institute, Inc. and Georgetown University’s Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs.
Smashwords Edition
Acknowledgements
The Millennial Values and Voter Engagement Survey is a joint study by the Public Religion Research Institute and Georgetown University’s Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs. The joint survey was made possible by a generous grant from the Ford Foundation. The authors are grateful to Dr. Thomas Banchoff, director of Georgetown University’s Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs, for his collaboration on the survey and insightful analysis. The authors would like to thank Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux for her substantial research and editorial assistance, and Cristina Stanojevich for her extensive assistance with the report graphics, layout, and cover. We would also like to thank Rabinowitz-Dorf Communications and Erin Taylor of the Berkley Center for providing communications outreach for the survey release.
copyright Public Religion Research Institute, Inc. and Georgetown University’s Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs
Robert P. Jones, Ph.D., CEO
027 Massachusetts Ave NW, 3rd Floor
Washington, DC 20036
http://www.publicreligion.org/
Thomas Banchoff, Ph.D., Director
3307 M St. NW, Suite 200
Washington, DC 20007
http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/
Smashwords Edition, License Notes
Thank you for downloading this free ebook. Although this is a free book, it remains the copyrighted property of the author, and may not be reproduced, copied and distributed for commercial or non-commercial purposes. Please encourage others to download their own copy at Smashwords.com, where they can also discover other works by this author. Thank you for your support
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Millennials and the 2012 Election
Affirmative Action
The Efficacy of Democratic Participation
Social Issues
Appendix 1: Survey Methodology
Appendix 2: Comparisons to the General Public
Appendix 3: About PRRI and the Authors
Executive Summary
Voter Registration and Engagement
Nearly two-thirds (66%) of younger Millennials (age 18-25) say they are currently registered to vote, compared to about 6-in-10 (61%) who reported being registered to vote in March 2012. White younger Millennials (71%) are significantly more likely to report being registered to vote than black younger Millennials (60%) or Hispanic younger Millennials (53%).
Between March and September, however, there was little change in younger Millennials’ self-reported probability of voting. Half (50%) of younger Millennials currently report that they are absolutely certain to vote in the 2012 presidential election, compared to 46% in March.
Younger Millennials whose parents took them to the voting booth on Election Day when they were growing up are much more likely to be registered to vote (84%) and are more likely to say they are absolutely certain that they will vote in the upcoming election (66%).
The 2012 Election and the Candidates
At this point in the campaign, Obama holds a 16-point lead over Romney among younger Millennial voters (55% vs. 39%). Obama’s lead among these voters has increased significantly since March, when he held a modest 9-point lead over a generic Republican candidate (48% vs. 39%).
There are, however, substantial racial and ethnic divisions in voter preferences. Black younger Millennial voters overwhelmingly support Obama