Here are the movies that could — and should — earn Oscar nominations for best picture

Flying home from the Toronto International Film Festival, I was talking about this year's Oscar race with an editor from another publication. He told me his boss believed that "Jojo Rabbit," the strange, slapstick story of a Hitler Youth member coming to realize the awful truth of his hateful beliefs, would win best picture.

I shook my head, incredulous. My reply: "Pfffft. It's not even going to be nominated."

Four days later, the Toronto festival announced that "Jojo Rabbit" had won its coveted People's Choice Award, prompting me to rewrite the introduction of an early look at this year's awards season landscape