83 min listen
E16: Pausing the AI Revolution? With Technologist Jaan Tallinn
From"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis
E16: Pausing the AI Revolution? With Technologist Jaan Tallinn
From"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis
ratings:
Length:
105 minutes
Released:
Apr 13, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
Nathan Labenz dives in with Jaan Tallinn, a technologist, entrepreneur (Kazaa, Skype), and investor (DeepMind and more) whose unique life journey has intersected with some of the most important social and technological events of our collective lifetime. Jaan has since invested in nearly 180 startups, including dozens of AI application layer companies and some half dozen startup labs that focus on fundamental AI research, all in an effort to support the teams that he believes most likely to lead us to AI safety, and to have a seat at the table at organizations that he worries might take on too much risk. He's also founded several philanthropic nonprofits, including the Future of Life Institute, which recently published the open letter calling for a six-month pause on training new AI systems. In this discussion, we focused on:
- the current state of AI development and safety
-Jan's expectations for possible economic transformation
- what catastrophic failure modes worry him most in the near term
- How big of a bullet we dodged with the training of GPT-4
- Which organizations really matter for immediate-term pause purposes
- How AI race dynamics are likely to evolve over the next couple of years
Also, check out the debut of co-host Erik's new long-form interview podcast Upstream, whose guests in the first three episodes were Ezra Klein, Balaji Srinivasan, and Marc Andreessen. This coming season will feature interviews with David Sacks, Katherine Boyle, and more. Subscribe here:
Apple Podcasts: bit.ly/3z8TldL
Spotify: bit.ly/40letd0
LINKS REFERENCED IN THE EPISODE:
Future of Life's open letter: https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments/
Eliezer Yudkowsky's TIME article: https://time.com/6266923/ai-eliezer-yudkowsky-open-letter-not-enough/
Podcast: Daniela and Dario Amodei on Anthropic- https://podcasts.apple.com/ie/podcast/daniela-and-dario-amodei-on-anthropic/id1170991978?i=1000552976406
Zvi on the pause: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/on-the-fli-ai-risk-open-letter
TIMESTAMPS:
(0:00) Episode Preview
(1:30) Jaan's impressive entrepreneurial career and his role in the recent AI Open Letter
(3:26) AI safety and Future of Life Institute
(6:55) Jaan's first meeting with Eliezer Yudkowsky and the founding of the Future of Life Institute
(13:00) Future of AI evolution
(15:55) Sponsor: Omneky
(17:20) Jaan's investments in AI companies
(24:22) The emerging danger paradigm
(28:10) Economic transformation with AI
(33:48) AI supervising itself
(35:23) Language models and validation
(40:06) Evolution, useful heuristics, and lack of insight into selection process
(43:13) Current estimate for life-ending catastrophe
(46:09) Inverse scaling law
(54:20) Our luck given the softness of language models
(56:24) Future of Language Models
(1:01:00) The Moore’s law of mad science
(1:03:02) GPT-5 type project
(1:09:00) The AI race dynamics
(1:11:00) AI alignment with the latest models
(1:14:31) AI research investment and safety
(1:21:00) What a six month pause buys us
(1:27:01) AI’s Turing Test Passing
(1:29:33) AI safety and risk
(1:33:18) Responsible AI development.
(1:41:20) Neuralink implant technology
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
- the current state of AI development and safety
-Jan's expectations for possible economic transformation
- what catastrophic failure modes worry him most in the near term
- How big of a bullet we dodged with the training of GPT-4
- Which organizations really matter for immediate-term pause purposes
- How AI race dynamics are likely to evolve over the next couple of years
Also, check out the debut of co-host Erik's new long-form interview podcast Upstream, whose guests in the first three episodes were Ezra Klein, Balaji Srinivasan, and Marc Andreessen. This coming season will feature interviews with David Sacks, Katherine Boyle, and more. Subscribe here:
Apple Podcasts: bit.ly/3z8TldL
Spotify: bit.ly/40letd0
LINKS REFERENCED IN THE EPISODE:
Future of Life's open letter: https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments/
Eliezer Yudkowsky's TIME article: https://time.com/6266923/ai-eliezer-yudkowsky-open-letter-not-enough/
Podcast: Daniela and Dario Amodei on Anthropic- https://podcasts.apple.com/ie/podcast/daniela-and-dario-amodei-on-anthropic/id1170991978?i=1000552976406
Zvi on the pause: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/on-the-fli-ai-risk-open-letter
TIMESTAMPS:
(0:00) Episode Preview
(1:30) Jaan's impressive entrepreneurial career and his role in the recent AI Open Letter
(3:26) AI safety and Future of Life Institute
(6:55) Jaan's first meeting with Eliezer Yudkowsky and the founding of the Future of Life Institute
(13:00) Future of AI evolution
(15:55) Sponsor: Omneky
(17:20) Jaan's investments in AI companies
(24:22) The emerging danger paradigm
(28:10) Economic transformation with AI
(33:48) AI supervising itself
(35:23) Language models and validation
(40:06) Evolution, useful heuristics, and lack of insight into selection process
(43:13) Current estimate for life-ending catastrophe
(46:09) Inverse scaling law
(54:20) Our luck given the softness of language models
(56:24) Future of Language Models
(1:01:00) The Moore’s law of mad science
(1:03:02) GPT-5 type project
(1:09:00) The AI race dynamics
(1:11:00) AI alignment with the latest models
(1:14:31) AI research investment and safety
(1:21:00) What a six month pause buys us
(1:27:01) AI’s Turing Test Passing
(1:29:33) AI safety and risk
(1:33:18) Responsible AI development.
(1:41:20) Neuralink implant technology
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Released:
Apr 13, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
E6: The Computer Vision Revolution with Junnan Li and Dongxu Li of BLIP and BLIP2: As recently as January 2021, the challenge of "interpreting what is going on in a photograph" was considered "nowhere near solved." Today's guests Junnan Li and Dongxu Li changed that with their publication and open-sourcing of BLIP, which delivered state-of-the-art performance on image captioning and other vision-language tasks. BLIP became the #18 most-cited AI paper of 2022, and now Junnan and Dongxu are back with BLIP-2, this time showing how small models can harness the power of existing foundation models to do multi-modal tasks. We talked to Junnan and Dongxu about their research and how they see the trend toward connector models shaping the future. We talked to Junnan and Dongxu about their research and how they see the trend toward connector models shaping the future. by "The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis