The San Francisco Giants didn't just lose to the Los Angeles Dodgers last night—they were embarrassed, again, by their rivals. The Giants-Dodgers rivalry has been one-sided since the Dodgers defeated the SF Giants in the NLDS in 2021. Last night, the San Francisco Giants lost 9-1 despite having their ace, Logan Webb, on the mound.
A couple of trends have emerged for the Giants. Their strikeout rate as an offense is the highest by far of any major league team. The good news is that it's likely not going to stay that way, since several players are simply striking out at a much higher rate than their career averages, and we should expect them to regress toward the mean. Also, the Giants have managed to be among the league leaders in key offensive metrics like wRC+, wOBA, OBP, SLG, and ISO despite the high K rate. However, in addition to the strikeouts, the run scoring has been very inconsistent.
On the pitching side, the only things holding the Giants back are a high HR/FB ratio and a low left-on-base percentage—two metrics that are slow to stabilize, particularly the HR/FB ratio. The Giants led the majors with the fewest home runs allowed in each of the last two seasons, but this year so far they're near the top. That very likely won't last, and their other numbers (like K%, BB%, and GB%) look strong.
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The best daily San Francisco Giants podcast. Whether the Giants are winning championships or retooling for another title run, Locked On Giants host Ben Kaspick—a lifelong Giants fan and former contributor for RotoGraphs and Beyond the Box Score—breaks down every game, rumor, and transaction in a way that's data-driven and rational but also simple, passionate, and accessible to all.
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