Forecasting transformative AI: what's the burden of proof?

FromCold Takes Audio

Start listening View podcast show

Forecasting transformative AI: what's the burden of proof?

FromCold Takes Audio

ratings:

Length:

29 minutes

Released:

Aug 17, 2021

Format:

Podcast episode

Description

This is the second of 4 posts summarizing hundreds of pages of technical reports focused almost entirely on forecasting one number: the year by which transformative AI will be developed.https://www.cold-takes.com/forecasting-transformative-ai-whats-the-burden-of-proof/

Released:

Aug 17, 2021

Format:

Podcast episode

Titles in the series (50)

Amateur read-throughs of blog posts on Cold-Takes.com, for those who prefer listening to reading. Available on Apple, Spotify, Google Podcasts, and anywhere else you listen to podcasts by searching Cold Takes Audio.

Skip carousel

All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild by Cold Takes Audio
15 min listen
Digital People Part 1 - intro by Cold Takes Audio
11 min listen
Summary of history (empowerment and well-being lens) by Cold Takes Audio
18 min listen
Are we "trending toward" transformative AI? (How would we know?) by Cold Takes Audio
16 min listen
How to make the best of the most important century? by Cold Takes Audio
22 min listen
Digital People Part 3 - Implications by Cold Takes Audio
13 min listen
The Duplicator by Cold Takes Audio
15 min listen
Forecasting Transformative AI, Part 1: What Kind of AI? by Cold Takes Audio
18 min listen
Digital People Part 2 (optional) - FAQ by Cold Takes Audio
25 min listen
This Can't Go On by Cold Takes Audio
16 min listen
AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the ”Experts,” Stand by Cold Takes Audio
19 min listen
Has Life Gotten Better? by Cold Takes Audio
9 min listen
Forecasting transformative AI: the ”biological anchors” method in a nutshell by Cold Takes Audio
29 min listen
Why AI alignment could be hard with modern deep learning (guest post by Ajeya Cotra) by Cold Takes Audio
29 min listen
Call to Vigilance by Cold Takes Audio
6 min listen
Forecasting transformative AI: what's the burden of proof? by Cold Takes Audio
29 min listen
Rowing, Steering, Anchoring, Equity, Mutiny by Cold Takes Audio
22 min listen
Unraveling the evidence about violence among very early humans by Cold Takes Audio
24 min listen
Falling everyday violence, bigger wars and atrocities: how do they net out? by Cold Takes Audio
14 min listen
Did life get better during the pre-industrial era? (Ehhhh) by Cold Takes Audio
20 min listen
Has Life Gotten Better?: the Post-Industrial Era by Cold Takes Audio
14 min listen
Pre-agriculture gender relations seem bad by Cold Takes Audio
20 min listen
Visualizing Utopia by Cold Takes Audio
21 min listen
Was life better in hunter-gatherer times? by Cold Takes Audio
22 min listen
The Bayesian Mindset by Cold Takes Audio
32 min listen
Why Describing Utopia Goes Badly by Cold Takes Audio
18 min listen
Future-Proof Ethics by Cold Takes Audio
27 min listen
Minimal-trust investigations by Cold Takes Audio
20 min listen
Debating myself on whether “extra lives lived” are as good as “deaths prevented” by Cold Takes Audio
20 min listen
Stakeholder Management and Cost Disease by Cold Takes Audio
18 min listen

More Episodes from Cold Takes Audio

Skip carousel

What AI companies can do today to help with the most important century by Cold Takes Audio
18 min listen
Jobs that can help with the most important century by Cold Takes Audio
31 min listen
Spreading messages to help with the most important century by Cold Takes Audio
20 min listen
How we could stumble into AI catastrophe by Cold Takes Audio
29 min listen
Transformative AI issues (not just misalignment): an overview by Cold Takes Audio
25 min listen
Racing Through a Minefield: the AI Deployment Problem by Cold Takes Audio
21 min listen
High-level hopes for AI aligment by Cold Takes Audio
24 min listen
AI safety seems hard to measure by Cold Takes Audio
22 min listen
Why Would AI "Aim" To Defeat Humanity? by Cold Takes Audio
46 min listen
The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine by Cold Takes Audio
21 min listen
Nonprofit Boards are Weird by Cold Takes Audio
25 min listen
AI Could Defeat All Of Us Combined by Cold Takes Audio
24 min listen
Useful Vices for Wicked Problems by Cold Takes Audio
25 min listen
Ideal governance (for companies, countries and more) by Cold Takes Audio
18 min listen
Debating myself on whether “extra lives lived” are as good as “deaths prevented” by Cold Takes Audio
20 min listen
The Wicked Problem Experience by Cold Takes Audio
15 min listen
Learning By Writing by Cold Takes Audio
16 min listen
Defending One-Dimensional Ethics by Cold Takes Audio
26 min listen
Future-Proof Ethics by Cold Takes Audio
27 min listen
Stakeholder Management and Cost Disease by Cold Takes Audio
18 min listen
Reader reactions and update on "Where's Today's Beethoven" by Cold Takes Audio
18 min listen
Why it matters if "ideas get harder to find" by Cold Takes Audio
11 min listen
Where's Today's Beethoven? by Cold Takes Audio
37 min listen
The Bayesian Mindset by Cold Takes Audio
32 min listen
Visualizing Utopia by Cold Takes Audio
21 min listen
Why Describing Utopia Goes Badly by Cold Takes Audio
18 min listen
Minimal-trust investigations by Cold Takes Audio
20 min listen
Did life get better during the pre-industrial era? (Ehhhh) by Cold Takes Audio
20 min listen
Falling everyday violence, bigger wars and atrocities: how do they net out? by Cold Takes Audio
14 min listen
Rowing, Steering, Anchoring, Equity, Mutiny by Cold Takes Audio
22 min listen

Related podcast episodes

Skip carousel

Ford’s EV Strategy, Intel’s Subsidy Win, Twilio’s Uncertain Future, and Alphabet’s Growth-Stage Investing: Ford preps for its next big fight in the EV market. Intel on the verge of a $10B subsidy win. Twilio's customer data business under review. A peek inside Alphabet's $7 billion growth-stage investing arm, CapitalG. Join us for the latest news and insi... by Simply Tech
13 min listen
PSW #769 - Kate Stewart: Over the last few years, the trend to use Open Source has been migrating into safety-critical applications, such as automotive and medical, which introduces system-level analysis considerations. In a similar fashion, these components are now being... by Security Weekly Podcast Network (Audio)
175 min listen
Americans Are Getting Less Trustful of Artificial Intelligence by The AI Daily Brief (Formerly The AI Breakdown): Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis
9 min listen
#2211 Nuance / Avatar / Groq & Maxeler / PolyCoder / Mobileye by AI News
4 min listen
ESW #313 - Pablo Zurro, Travis Howerton: Fortra's Core Security has conducted it's fourth annual survey of cybersecurity professionals on the usage and perception of pen testing. The data collected provides visibility into the full spectrum of pen testing’s role, helping to determine how... by Security Weekly Podcast Network (Audio)
148 min listen
Defensive Security Podcast Episode 222: https://www.csoonline.com/article/3285982/data-protection/4-reasons-why-cisos-must-think-like-developers-to-build-cybersecurity-platforms.html https://www.csoonline.com/article/3287655/phishing/stop-training-your-employees-to-fall-for-phishing-attacks.... by Defensive Security Podcast - Malware, Hacking, Cyber Security & Infosec
52 min listen
Architecture and Design Trends Report 2024: The panel discussion in this episode is one half … by The InfoQ Podcast
44 min listen
Deep in the heart of data // Carl Steinbach // MLOps Coffee Sessions #22 by MLOps.community
56 min listen
Fri Feb-23-2024: The Year of the Enterprise Browser | NVIDIA Earnings | Syncro CEO Transition: Today's episode discusses the rise of enterprise browsers in cybersecurity for 2024, highlighting the importance of built-in security features and the need for advanced measures due to increased hacking threats targeting browsers. Companies like Palo Alto Networks and Island are at the forefront of developing these browsers, with Atakama also beta-testing a product for managed services providers. Additionally, NVIDIA and N-Able earnings, Syncro CEO, and MSPX are covered, along with Friday Big Ideas. Stay tuned for pushback from a listener at the end. by Business of Tech
12 min listen
Thurs Jan 02 2020: SMB data, US Military bans, and Google Health: Today Lenovo with some insight into SMB work experience Two bans in the US military AND Google Health with an AI advancement against cancer by Business of Tech
5 min listen
Thur Apr 2 2020: BoA outlook, Backup Data, HP Relief, and Zoom Responds: Today New Economic Data from Bank of America Backup insights from Acronis HP offers relief programs AND Zoom responds to security concerns by Business of Tech
5 min listen
A 2022 Mid-Year Cloud Update by The Cloudcast
55 min listen
Other Considerations for Applying Security into Critical Infrastructure Systems - Kate Stewart - PSW #769: Over the last few years, the trend to use Open Source has been migrating into safety-critical applications, such as automotive and medical, which introduces system-level analysis considerations. In a similar fashion, these components are now being... by Security Weekly Podcast Network (Video)
62 min listen
Mon Nov 16 2020: Chromebooks Up, Ransomware vs industry, and do you own your computer?: Three things to know today Quarterly PC Sales data exposes the next thing Which industries are most susceptible to ransomware AND macOS security implications are bigger than the headlines by Business of Tech
6 min listen
WWDC24 expectations, Neumann bids $500m for WeWork, Microsoft Bing's chief exits by Discover Daily by Perplexity
6 min listen
Peering Issues, Internet Resilience, and Cloud Outage News | Pulse Update: Recent changes appeared to trigger a series of ev… by Cisco Podcast Network
14 min listen
Dealing with the Burden of Bad Bots - Sandy Carielli - ASW #270: Where apps provide something of value, bots are sure to follow. Modern threat models need to include scenarios for bad bots that not only target user credentials, but that will also hoard inventory and increase fraud. Sandy shares her recent research... by Security Weekly Podcast Network (Video)
34 min listen
Dealing with the Burden of Bad Bots - Sandy Carielli - ASW #270: Where apps provide something of value, bots are sure to follow. Modern threat models need to include scenarios for bad bots that not only target user credentials, but that will also hoard inventory and increase fraud. Sandy shares her recent research... by Application Security Weekly (Video)
34 min listen
WBSP179: Grow Your Business by Understanding Oracle’s Capabilities, an Objective Panel Discussion and Weekly Digital Transformation News Stories by WBSRocks: Business Growth with ERP and Digital Transformation
65 min listen
What Was Old Is New Again - BSW #216: The shift away from web application security, caused by the pandemic and the focus on remote workforces, resulted in an increased number of web vulnerabilities, as shown in the latest Acunetix by Invicti Web Application Vulnerability Report. In this... by Security Weekly Podcast Network (Audio)
60 min listen
Inbox: Zero Trust - Ryan Noon - ESW #223: Ryan Noon joins ESW team this week to chat through the significance of recent hacks (namely: SolarWinds and Hafnium), unpack growing enterprise demand for a “digital seatbelt,” and illuminate why Material takes a fresh approach to email security:... by Security Weekly Podcast Network (Video)
32 min listen
Inbox: Zero Trust - Ryan Noon - ESW #223: Ryan Noon joins ESW team this week to chat through the significance of recent hacks (namely: SolarWinds and Hafnium), unpack growing enterprise demand for a “digital seatbelt,” and illuminate why Material takes a fresh approach to email security:... by Enterprise Security Weekly (Video)
32 min listen
WBSP146: Grow Your Business by Preparing for Enterprise Security Issues, a Live Interview w/ a Panel of Experts by WBSRocks: Business Growth with ERP and Digital Transformation
63 min listen
What’s a CNAPP: Cloud-Native Application Protection Platform? [CyberWire-X] by CyberWire Daily
32 min listen
What’s a CNAPP: Cloud-Native Application Protection Platform? [CyberWire-X] by CyberWire Daily
32 min listen
Thu Feb-29-2024: Mid-Market Challenges, PyRIT Toolkit, ASCII AI, CompTIA PIA Leadership Change: On today's episode of the Business of Tech podcast, key topics include the struggles of mid-market tech companies, the introduction of Microsoft's Pirate toolkit for enhancing AI security, the rise of fractional CAIOs for steering AI strategies, and updates from ASCII, CompTIA, PIA, and SILENCE laboratories. Market data from Canalys reveals a projected 20% growth in worldwide cloud service spending for 2024, with significant contributions from Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. by Business of Tech
13 min listen
$Thu Feb-29-2024: Mid-Market Challenges, PyRIT Toolkit, ASCII AI, CompTIA PIA Leadership Change: On today's episode of the Business of Tech podcast, key topics include the struggles of mid-market tech companies, the introduction of Microsoft's Pirate toolkit for enhancing AI security, the rise of fractional CAIOs for steering AI strategies, and updates from ASCII, CompTIA, PIA, and SILENCE laboratories. Market data from Canalys reveals a projected 20% growth in worldwide cloud service spending for 2024, with significant contributions from Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud.$
Let That Sink In - ESW #196: This week, first we talk Enterprise News, discussing Checkmarx Announces GitLab Integration, Panaseer Automates IRM with Archer Integration, How Attivo Networks Strengthens Active Directory Defense, Elastic Security 7.9 delivers a major milestone... by Security Weekly Podcast Network (Audio)
97 min listen
Mon Apr 26 2021: The Florida company with the IP addresses, new SolarWinds analysis, and ISG's data on IT services: Three things to know today A worlds largest block of IPs from a company you haven’t heard of The SolarWinds analysis continues AND ISG’s data on IT services Want to get the show on your podcast app, or get the... by Business of Tech
6 min listen
Tue May 12 2020: Kaseya, IDC and IDG weigh in, and perspectives and opportunity in office space: Today Three new surveys all with a piece of the story.. AND Perspectives on office space. by Business of Tech
5 min listen
Fri Apr 30 2020: Device growth and employee stress, plus lessons from Basecamp: Two things to know today Device trends and employee trends – where the two collide AND Have you been following Basecamp? You should. Want to get the show on your podcast app, or get the written... by Business of Tech
5 min listen

Discover this podcast and so much more

Forecasting transformative AI: what's the burden of proof?

Forecasting transformative AI: what's the burden of proof?

Description

Titles in the series (50)

More Episodes from Cold Takes Audio

Related podcast episodes