"Finally we got a slowdown in the momentum of inflation," says Alfonso Peccatiello, publisher of financial newsletter The Macro Compass. And he says most of this reduction comes from energy prices and commodities. He believes the Fed's tool is one big hammer, "that consists of a combination of raising interest rates and reducing the balance sheet." Peccatiello continues on, touting long-term bonds as a good bet because, "the Federal Reserve and ECB are willing to choke the economy right now." As winter approaches, "Putin will probably squeeze [energy prices] for Europe even further," Peccatiello concludes.