8 min listen
EMERGING MARKETS Part 2: EXACTLY When To Buy & Sell | Episode 126
FromSelf Directed Investor Talk: Alternative Asset Investing through Self-Directed IRA's & Solo 401k's
EMERGING MARKETS Part 2: EXACTLY When To Buy & Sell | Episode 126
FromSelf Directed Investor Talk: Alternative Asset Investing through Self-Directed IRA's & Solo 401k's
ratings:
Length:
8 minutes
Released:
Sep 4, 2015
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
Nothing else matters if the real estate you buy declines in value. So EXACTLY when should you buy… and EXACTLY when should you sell? Get ready to have your mind blow, my friends. I’m Bryan Ellis. This is Episode 126.------Hello, SDI Nation! I look forward to greeting you every single day, my friends! Welcome to Self Directed Investor Radio, the PODCAST OF RECORD for savvy, self-directed investors like you!I’ve got something special for you today, my friends. We’re going to talk about a scientific and astoundingly accurate way to PREDICT THE FUTURE when it comes to real estate values. No, we’re not going to get deep into the weeds on science or math, because as it turns out, this MARKET PREDICTOR is actually about PSYCHOLOGY – the psychology of all of the other people in the market who will drive up, or drive down, the prices of real estate. So get ready to have your mind opened up and some earth-shaking knowledge poured into it!But first…Folks, I’m going to brag for just a moment, and I think you’ll be ok with it, because I’m bragging on YOU!You folks have made this show grow so much, so quickly… I’m just amazed. Last month was, far and away, the biggest month for this show, which was true for each of the preceding months as well. And yesterday was the biggest day for this show ever, eclipsing a record that had been set about a week prior, which eclipsed a record that had been set about a week prior. The point is: This show is BOOMING, and it’s ALL because of YOU! This show has more listeners than radio stations in many good-sized markets… and we’re barely 6 months old!So, THANK YOU… and I’d like to extend a PARTICULAR thanks to those of you who actually spread the word about this show to your friends and colleagues. Those of you who do that have a particularly special place in my heart, and I’m so very, very, very grateful to you.I guess I’ll move on from gushing over you guys for now… but one final time… THANK YOU. And remember – there are now 126 regular episodes and few special episodes, and every single one of them is worth your listening to and freely available at SDIRadio.com!So, onward to the mind-blowing stuff!YESTERDAY, which, by the way, was one of the most popular episodes of this show of all time, revealed one of two ways to analyze real estate markets. This works for stocks too, but that’s not the best game in town, so we’ll focus on real estate.The way you learned yesterday is called “Fundamental Analysis”, in which the astute investor considers factors like population growth and interest rates and unemployment and other such factors to determine whether there’s a rational case for the value of real estate to go up.The idea is to buy into a market on the basis of a factor or combination of factors that’s not widely known. And there’s real value to fundamental analysis, no doubt about it. But some people criticize fundamental analysis. They’ll tell you that fundamental analysis isn’t worthwhile because there’s no clear tie from those factors to property values. For example, everybody thinks that changing interest rates have a big impact on real estate prices, but history shows that’s simply not true with any consistency, so interest rates really aren’t a useful way to directly predict changes to real estate value. And there’s some truth to that. If you have little-known knowledge about a market that should lead to appreciation, who’s to say that the market actually just doesn’t care about your reasoning? That’s always a risk with fundamental analysis, which leads to the other way to pick strong markets… and even more importantly it’s also a way to TIME your entry to and exit from markets.That other method is called Technical Analysis. The basic idea is that we use past pricing history to predict future valuation. An astoundingly simplified version of it is this: Let’s imagine that in Poughkeepsie, New York, real estate values crash by 15% in January of every 5th year, but that the average
Released:
Sep 4, 2015
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
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