Computational Intelligence for Sustainable Transportation and Mobility: Volume 1
By Deepak Gupt and Suresh Chavhan
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Computational Intelligence for Sustainable Transportation and Mobility - Deepak Gupt
An Intelligent Vehicular Traffic Flow Prediction Model Using Whale Optimization with Multiple Linear Regression
Hima Bindu Gogineni¹, E. Laxmi Lydia², *, N. Supriya³
¹ Department of Computer Applications, Vignan's Institute of Information Technology (Autonomous), Visakhapatnam, India
² Computer Science and Engineering, Vignan's Institute of Information Technology (Autonomous), Visakhapatnam, India
³ Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Raghu Institute of Technology, Visakhapatnam, India
Abstract
At present, vehicular traffic flow prediction is treated as a crucial issue in the intelligent transportation system. It mainly focuses on the estimation of vehicular traffic flow on roadways or stations in the subsequent time interval ahead of the future. Generally, traffic flow prediction comprises two major stages, namely feature learning and predictive modeling. In this view, this paper introduces an Intelligent Vehicular Traffic Flow Prediction (IVTFP) model to effectively predict the flow of traffic on the road. The proposed IVTFP model involves two main stages, namely feature selection (FS) and classification. At the first level, the whale optimization algorithm (WOA) is applied as a feature selector called WOA-FS to select the useful subset of features. Next, in the second level, the multiple linear regression (MLR) technique is utilized as a prediction model to forecast the traffic flow. The performance of the IVTFP model takes place on the benchmark Brazil dataset. The simulation outcome indicated the effective outcome of the IVTFP model, and it ensured that the application of the WOA-FS model helps attain improved classification outcomes.
Keywords: Classification, Computational Intelligence, Feature Selection, Predictive Modeling, Traffic Flow Prediction.
* Corresponding author E. Laxmi Lydia: Computer Science and Engineering, Vignan's Institute of Information Technology (Autonomous), Visakhapatnam, India; E-mail: elaxmi2002@yahoo.com
Introduction
In transportation management, traffic flow examination is a significant job. When the exact prediction of traffic flow is not processed, then no smart transportation can be operated. Massive studies have concentrated on this detection. The traditi-
onal traffic flow prediction models are classified into 3 classes such as (1) ARIMA method, (2) Probabilistic model, and (3) Non-parametric model. The ARIMA method [1] aims to identify patterns of temporal difference of traffic flow as well as the actual application of this detection. The Probabilistic model is used to develop and examine traffic flow. Finally, in the Non-parametric method, authors have depicted that they usually perform better by capturing in-deterministic as well as tedious nonlinearity of traffic time series. The representative models are Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Local Weighted Learning (LWL) [2-6].
Traffic flow prediction is one of the severe issues in transportation systems. It mainly focuses on evaluating the flow of traffic in specific time intervals. Time intervals are described as short-term intervals that vary from 5 to 30 mins. In an operational examination, the Highway Capacity Manual recommends applying 15 mins time interval. There are 2 kinds of data employed in traffic flow prediction. Initially, the data are gathered by sensors on all roads using an inductive loop method. The main job is to detect traffic flow on all lanes and roads. The alternate type of data is accumulated from the beginning and terminal end of the road. It is named entrance-exit station data. Despite detecting traffic flow on all roads, the other operation is examining traffic flow in all stations, particularly at the existing station.
The steps involved in traffic flow prediction are Feature learning and Predicting model learning. Initially, It is aware of the feature presentation method that filters and chooses the topmost representative features from traffic flow sequence F of each station. The traffic flow sequence is converted into feature space g(F) → X. Prediction task fi, T +1 is denoted by Y. In this point, feature learning is often a hand-crafted objective. Few vital aspects of transportation are speed, the volume of flow, density, and many other aspects that are determined from actual data and applied as variables for forecasting. Furthermore, time-series features are used in the prediction mechanism.
Short-term predicting the traffic flow is a vital computation. Deep learning (DL) is a type of Machine Learning (ML) that is named as a nested hierarchical approach that has Conventional Neural Networks (CNN). Karlaftis and Vlahogianni [2] offer a review of NN models implies that model training is highly costlier with prominent upgrading. Besides, DL has minimum efficiency and identifies a sparse approach that is extended continuously. Also, various analytical models were developed in traffic flows modeling [6-11]. Such models can process better performance on extraction as well as state evaluation. The caveat is very complex to execute on massive scale networks. Bayesian models are highly effective in managing greater-scale transportation network state estimation issues.
Westgate et al. [3] define ambulance traveling duration stability under the application of noisy GPS for path travel time as well as single road segment traveling time distributions. A dynamic Bayesian network (BN) develops physical innovations to collect immediate changes on traffic parameters. Statistical and ML approaches for traffic detection were related in Smith and Demetsky [4]. Sun et al. [5] presented a Bayes network model, in which the conditional possibility of a traffic status on the provided road, with topological components on a road network, has been determined. The final possibility distribution is a combination of Gaussians. Bayes networks to evaluate travel times are recommended by Horvitz et al. that are ultimately designated as commercial objects, which lead to Inrix, a traffic data organization. An ML approach in support vector machine (SVM) predicts the travel times and projects a Fuzzy NN (FNN) model for reporting nonlinearities in traffic information.
Rice and van Zwet [6] discuss that a linear association among next traveling times as well as presently evaluated conditions with time-varying coefficients regression method to detect traveling times. Integrated Auto-regressive Moving Average (ARIMA) as well as Exponential Smoothing (ES) for traffic prediction. A Kohonen self-organizing map is projected as the primary classification model. Van Lint [7] reports realistic attribute and enhance the superiority by upgrading Kalman filter. A model in predicting the queue lengths at managed intersections, which depends upon travel time data calculated by GPS modules. Ramezani and Geroliminis [8] merge the traffic flow shockwave examination along with Data Mining (DM) models. Oswald et al. [9] presented a non-parametric model which generates good estimation when compared to parametric approaches because of the potency of capturing spatial-temporal correlations as well as non-linear