PowerPlay: Engine Wars in Commercial Aviation - Part I - GE Aviation, Pratt & Whitney, Rolls Royce, Safran
By Rajat Narang
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About this ebook
When the Wright Brothers dreamed of flying like birds; a powered, heavier-than-air flying machine, known as the Wright Flyer, powered by a 12 Hp gasoline engine made of Aluminum block; effectively enabled them to realize their dream in 1903 while also ushering in the 'Age of Flight' for humans. That rudimentary machine & engine paved the way for the development of larger piston engines & propeller powered fighters which proved to be instrumental during the World War I & II and later gave way to the emergence of turbojets (during the final years of World War II) and ultimately had their metamorphosis into turbofans by the middle of the last century.
The initial human quest to fly like birds, thus, quickly & effectively turned into the need to move from Point A to Point B efficiently & in the quickest possible way, via air, especially in the post war-era. It got a tremendous impetus following the onset of the Jet Age in the 1950s propelled by the turbofans powered commercial jets. However, the jet age, too, like earlier, brought with it multiple, high stakes Technology Wars and R&D Dogfights for market domination & supremacy fought bitterly among the major aircraft OEMs as well as Engine manufacturers. These contests effectively translated into lasting victories, leading to establishment of duly sustained market dynasties for some, while some others lost their early-mover advantages, way & initial market successes completely by failing to capitalize on them owing to parallaxes, average strategic choices & moves which were further accentuated by unfavorable market forces & headwinds and some real,outright blunders.
This is the analysis-based story of those complex strategy choices, decisions & moves made by leading turbofan engine OEMs of the era (since the dawn of the jet age) amid the heat of the raging battles and the myopic errors caused by the prevailing fog-of-war and their eventual outcomes & repercussions. The analysis also factors in the critical & pivotal role played by the prevailing market forces, macroeconomic trends and lastly chance which collectively proved to be the presiding, ultimate judges with their judgments & verdicts ultimately determining the fates as well as destinies of engine programs as well as the OEMs producing them.
It is also the story of path-breaking innovations, products & technologies, some of which, aided by the prevailing favorable market forces, disrupted the commercial aviation market fundamentally while carving a niche for themselves initially & ultimately going on to virtual market dominance. However, there were some others as well, which, despite of being disruptive, were way ahead of their time and were ultimately discarded by the market forces owing to being out of alignment with current market realities of the time only to re-emerge, reincarnated in an entirely new form now, to solve complex sustainability challenges and to shape a new, sustainable future for commercial aviation, chosen to be resurrected, ironically, by the very same market forces which had once sealed their fates…
Part 1 of the two-part book series analyzes the Aviation era starting with the Dawn of Jet Age to the End of Cold War while Part 2's coverage ranges from the Onset of the Globalization Era to the Post-Pandemic Revenant.
Note: It is not a technical book and traces, analyzes & chronicles the evolutionary journey of aircraft engines in commercial aviation (since the dawn of the jet age) from the market side with the strategy perspective presented in a highly comprehensible, simple to understand language as well as manner.
Rajat Narang
Rajat Narang is the Co-Founder and Partner of a niche Research Firm pivoted on the Global Aerospace & Defense Industry for over a decade now apart from being a serial Author and active Podcaster. He has authored over 2000+ syndicated research reports (across industries & sectors) and has authored around 8 books on Commercial & Military Aviation and Leadership. The end users of his reports have been senior executives of leading Commercial & Military Aviation OEMs led by Airbus, Boeing, Bombardier, Embraer, Gulfstream, Dassault, Textron Aviation and their supplier base, including, engine OEMs and T1 suppliers such as GE Aviation, Rolls Royce, Pratt & Whitney, Safran & Spirit Aerosystems. His reports have also been leveraged by the U.S. Air Force, Lockheed Martin Corporation, BAE Systems, General Dynamics Land Systems and Korean Aerospace Industries (KAI) on the defense side of A&D. His educational background includes a Masters in Business Administration (MBA) in International Business with Business Strategy as the core pivot followed by a Masters in Political Science with specialization in International Relations. His podcasts “Birds of Fray: Top Gun Maverick” and “M.S. Dhoni: Leadership Masterclass from the Master of the Craft” are available on most leading global platforms, including, Amazon Music, Spotify and Apple & Google Podcasts and have a substantial following. Bitten early by the A&D, Strategy & Leadership bugs while growing up, he has been actively following, tracking & pursuing them for almost 2 decades now.
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Reviews for PowerPlay
1 rating1 review
- Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5A concise, easy to read, and outstanding book detailing the aviation propulsion industry with emphasis on the GE/PrattWhitney competition. Little coverage of Rolls Royce.
Book preview
PowerPlay - Rajat Narang
Power Play:
Engine Wars in Commercial Aviation – Part I – GE Aviation, Pratt & Whitney, Rolls Royce, Safran
From the Dawn of Jet Age to the End of Cold War
9000rpm Logo.png@9000RPM Publishing Works
Copyright © 2023 Rajat Narang
All rights reserved.
The right of Rajat Narang to be identified as the author of this work has been asserted in accordance with the Copyright Act, 1957. This work is further protected under Berne Convention for Protection of Literary and Artistic Works, 1886 and the Universal Copyrights Convention.
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form or by any electronic or mechanical means including information storage and retrieval systems without obtaining prior written permission. The content is being provided for personal utilization only and redistribution or further circulation in any form or by any means, including, storage on publicly accessible web pages is strictly prohibited.
Published by: @9000RPM Works
Cover Page Design: Canva.com
Cover Image Credits: Nikita Grishin, Image ID: 10320757
Image Source: Pexels.com
Disclaimer
The Author does not have any kind of financial investments, direct business associations or financial stakes of any sort in any of the companies included & mentioned in this work. It does not promote or endorse any particular company or industry player & its products over others in any manner whatsoever. The overall scope & directional reference compass of this work primarily is the global narrow body aircraft market with focus on relative, comparative analysis from a longitudinal strategy perspective under the purview of the prevailing strategic & operating context.
The analysis has been purely anchored on factual evidences available in the public domain based information sources and utmost effort has been made to ensure fair play to present the most objective view of reality against the backdrop & in light of the available facts rather than taking a biased view skewed towards any of the industry behemoths covered. The approach taken, thus, is intended to clearly avoid the scope for straying towards the dark zone marked by deception, subterfuge & sabotage tactics, black ops, undercover missions, propaganda and/or shows of mudslinging.
The opinions expressed throughout are purely author’s personal and the views & judgments presented are neither directed or targeted at anyone nor meant as pontification of any sort and are solely based on objective assessment of prevailing situations, decisions & outcomes. The names of engines, airplane programs, products, systems and/or brand names mentioned wherever through the work are intellectual property of their respective owners and their mention has been done only & purely for information & creative purposes and it does not indicate or reflect and should not be construed as any kind of promotion or endorsement of any kind.
The lenses used to view and analyze the series of events & key junctures have primarily been of strategy rather than just history which invariably led to limiting the scope for deep dives to areas & angles relevant from the strategy perspective. It is also not intended as a technology/technical guide with the inclusion of some technical aspects & performance parameters for analysis done purely from the relative strategy perspective.
The information and facts contained herein are believed to be correct at the time of publication but cannot be guaranteed. All the information presented has been derived from reliable sources, reasonably verified & has been presented purely & solely for informational purposes only. The views expressed throughout are based on broad analysis & assessments only and thus should not be substituted for professional advice & opinion of any kind prior to decision-making. The author expressly disclaims any and all liability to any person or entity pertaining to potential outcomes or consequences of any decisions or actions taken based on the contents of this publication.
The analysis presented cites quotes, comments, statements and very short excerpts from public reports; derived from public domain based information sources; originating from & pertaining to industry leaders, senior company executives, industry & company analysts, journalists, aviation authorities, industry bodies & other authority figures from the commercial aviation industry with reference to particular situational contexts with citations, proper attribution & due credits provided under fair terms of use. The incorporation of these has been done throughout purely to provide readers with actual prevailing viewpoints, opinions & industry stakeholders’ take on the specific operating and/or strategic context being analyzed as contextual evidences for the lines of analysis presented, angles of view taken and positions adopted on strategy moves as well as inferences & conclusions drawn. The approach has also been taken for the readers to be able to fairly construct the contours of the subject matter clearly, review them, be able to form their own unbiased judgments, opinions & viewpoints and be able to explore the subject further by treading along the provided pathway & digging deeper.
The presented content contains generic information only and is not suitable for addressing specific or particular circumstances of any specific case or scenario. The content, thus, is not intended to be used as a basis for taking decisions of commercial or any other nature. The authors and the publisher disclaim all liabilities originating from the outcomes of the application of the contents in real-life scenarios without duly conducting thorough due diligence and without seeking professional advice & opinion from relevant subject matter experts.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Sincere thanks, due regards and special acknowledgements to all the well known as well as unsung aviation engineers, airplane designers, test pilots & pilots, adventurers, entrepreneurs, industry personnel, enthusiasts and aerospace journalists, analysts as well as publishers who have dedicated their lives to shaping the industry’s evolution through time, those doing it at the moment and the ones yet to come to take on the mantle and steer this wonderful journey forward!
Let’s keep the ‘Spirit of Adventure’ going!
Table of Contents
Chapter I
The ‘Jet’ Engine Saga
Chapter II
An ‘Extraordinary’ Decade
Chapter III
The ‘Early’ Power Plays
Chapter IV
The Coronation of the ‘Queen’
Chapter V
The ‘Unprecedented’ Turbulence
Chapter VI
The Genesis of an ‘Icon’
Chapter VII
The ‘Bees’ follow the ‘Queen’
Chapter VIII
A ‘Heavenly’ Match
Chapter IX
The ‘Noisy’ Affair
Chapter X
The ‘Breakthrough’
Chapter XI
The ‘Transformational’ Decade’ - I
Chapter XII
The ‘Transformational’ Decade - II
Chapter XIII
The ‘Uncharted’ Flight Path
Chapter XIV
The End of an ‘Era’
Chapter XV
The ‘Battle of Medium-Thrust Engines’
Chapter XVI
The ‘Phantom Plane’ with ‘Alien Tech’
Bibliography
About the Author
Other Titles from the Author
Basic Functioning of Jet Engines & Key Terms
How does the Turbofan Engine Work: Key Components & Functioning
https://aeroreport.de/en/good-to-know/how-does-a-turbofan-engine-work-the-structure-of-an-engine
https://cs.stanford.edu/people/eroberts/courses/ww2/projects/jet-airplanes/how.html
Airplane Turbofan Engine Operation & Malfunctions - Basics
https://skybrary.aero/sites/default/files/bookshelf/1622.pdf
Bypass Ratio (BPR): In a turbofan (bypass) engine, the bypass ratio is a comparison or ratio between the mass flow rate of air drawn into the engine (through the fan disk that goes around the engine core but not to the gas generator) with the mass flow rate of the air that goes through the engine core, including, the gas generator. In an engine with a bypass ratio of 10:1, for every 11 units of air drawn into the engine, 10 will bypass the engine core and 1 will go through it, as per Skybrary.
Engine Pressure Ratio (EPR): EPR is the total pressure ratio across a jet engine, measured as the ratio of the total pressure at the exit of the propelling nozzle divided by the total pressure at the entry to the compressor.
Fan Pressure Ratio (FPR): A ratio of the fan’s discharge pressure to the fan’s inlet pressure.
Thrust-specific Fuel Consumption (TSFC): TSFC or SFC for thrust engines (e.g. turbojets, turbofans, ramjets, rockets, etc.) is the mass of fuel needed to provide the net thrust for a given period e.g. lb/(h·lbf) (pounds of fuel per hour-pound of thrust).
Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF): MTBF is the average time between repairable failures of an engine or its parts. The metric is used to track both the availability and reliability of a product. A higher MTBF value indicates a more reliable engine.
Mean Time Between Removals (MTBR): A ratio calculated by dividing the total engine flying hours accrued in a period (Time on Wing) by the number of incidents of engine removals (scheduled as well as unscheduled) that occurred during the same period.
Preface
The Wright Brothers’ dream of flying like birds in their powered Wright Flyer was realized in 1903 by a 12 Hp, all Aluminum gasoline engine generating a thrust output of mere 100 pound force. Humanity, thus, has made giant strides & taken multiple technological leaps within a span of a century and two decades since then with today’s giant aviation turbofan engines capable of generating over 100,000 pound force thrust levels. The journey from 100 lbf of thrust to 100,000 lbf of thrust, thus, has been fascinating indeed and full of technological challenges & hurdles for the mankind.
The biggest technological leap, however, was made in the 1930s, in form of the transition from piston powered engines to gas turbines, and was provided by the raging crucibles of war and the extremely powerful forces of competition, as usual, with the World War II proving to be the most fertile ground for germination of seeds of radical technological evolution. This was the tipping point for aviation and arrived in form of the development of gas turbines for military aviation applications in the late 1930s across both Germany and the Great Britain and quickly & effectively culminated into full scale commercial production & introduction of jet powered fighter aircrafts in 1944 by both sides delivering game changing capabilities.
The concept of gas turbines was there in theory for a long time with patents being granted for it as early as the 18th century. However, it was not realized until the third decade of the 20th century with the commissioning of the first constant flow industrial gas turbine in the U.S. at an oil refinery based in Pennsylvania in 1936.
Gas turbines, essentially, use kerosene as fuel, unlike piston engines, which run on regular gasoline and generate huge amounts of power for a broad range of applications, including, aviation, marine ships, power generation, aircraft APUs and even transmissions of tanks, with the U.S. Army’s M1A1 Abrams being a prominent example. However, they are fuel guzzlers and meant for large applications primarily as they can’t match the fuel efficiency of gasoline or diesel powered internal combustion engines used routinely for automotive applications. It was a huge problem during the early years of their development which was ultimately tackled & resolved by the engineers.
The jet engine heralded the dawn of commercial aviation’s jet age in the post World War II years which effectively brought in a revolution in air travel with the possibility of reaching any part of the globe from anywhere within 24 hours becoming an operational reality.
Rolls Royce, GE Aviation and Pratt & Whitney were the early pioneers in the development of commercial jet engines from their military counterparts and have remained as the top players in the global commercial aviation propulsion market even after 7+ decades of its existence. This is the analysis-based story of those complex strategy choices, decisions & moves made by these leading turbofan engine OEMs amid the heat of the raging battles and the myopic errors caused by the prevailing fog-of-war and their eventual outcomes & repercussions. The analysis also factors in the critical & pivotal role played by the prevailing market forces, macroeconomic trends and lastly chance which collectively proved to be the presiding, ultimate judges with their judgments & verdicts ultimately determining the fates as well as destinies of engine programs as well as the OEMs making them.
It is also the story of path-breaking innovations, products & technologies, some of which, aided by the prevailing favorable market forces, disrupted the commercial aviation market fundamentally while carving a niche for themselves initially & ultimately going on to virtual market dominance. However, there were some others as well, which, despite of being disruptive, were way ahead of their time and were ultimately discarded by the market forces owing to being out of alignment with current market realities of the time only to re-emerge, reincarnated in an entirely new form now, incredibly, to solve complex sustainability challenges and to shape a new, sustainable future for commercial aviation, chosen to be resurrected, ironically, by the very same market forces which had once sealed their fates…
The book has been structured as a Two-Part series with Part 1 analyzing the era starting from the Dawn of Jet Age to the End of Cold War while the Part 2’s coverage ranges from the Onset of the Globalization Era to the Post-Pandemic Revenant.
Hope it proves to be useful…
Chapter I
jet_engine-removebg-preview.pngThe ‘Jet’ Engine Saga
It was January 30, 1933 and a man, who was a former corporal and had fought for Germany in World War I, had just made his way into the Reichstag as the new chancellor of Germany. His name was Adolf Hitler and he was being hailed as a savior by the German people, who had been somehow looking for a miracle of hope. They had been reeling under the pressure of severe economic hardships & pressures, following the outbreak of the ‘Great Depression’, with the situation further exacerbated by the demands being made by the allies of Germany, which included reparations for having waged the war (WWI). All of it, collectively, had caused a subsequent, massive economic meltdown and de-valuation of the German currency under the reign of Field Marshal Hindenburg who had been