Trump Wins in 2020: (With the Popular Vote)

By Victoria Lynch

So why does Trump win in 2020 you ask? Let me count the ways… Besides a red- hot economy, middle-class wages rise. Trump delivers on his promise of job creation. Trump is fighting for Immigration reform. Trump fulfills his campaign promise to appoint conservative Justices.

• Language: English
• Publisher: Fulton Books, Inc.
• Release date: May 22, 2020
• ISBN: 9781633389984

Book preview

cover.jpg

Trump Wins in 2020: (With the Popular Vote)

Victoria Lynch

Copyright © 2019 Victoria Lynch

All rights reserved

First Edition

Fulton Books, Inc.

Meadville, PA

Published by Fulton Books 2019

ISBN 978-1-63338-997-7 (paperback)

ISBN 978-1-64654-022-8 (hardcover)

ISBN 978-1-63338-998-4 (digital)

Printed in the United States of America

Table of Contents

Chapter 1

Chapter 2

Chapter 3

Chapter 4

Chapter 5

Chapter 6

Chapter 7

Chapter 8

Chapter 9

Chapter 10

Chapter 11

Chapter 12

Chapter 13

For Brian, my amazing husband of thirty-four years. Your love, support, and quick intellect have challenged me to go beyond my limits.

For my family and friends. Each of you has shown me love and respect—even when we do not agree.

For the deplorables and irredeemables. A salute to you and the forgotten middle class.

Chapter 1

We Are America

"We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America…" (9/17/1787)

In 2015, I began to focus my attention on the 2016 election. In 2017, I wrote my first book to share some of the insights I noticed, long before the election, that the mood of the country had changed, and there was a pining for new direction and leadership. Most of us have heard the expression The writing is on the wall. My research and observations of rural and suburban America painted a picture that a swift change of leadership was imminent. Once the dust had settled, and the Republican field of candidates emerged, I made a bold prediction: Donald Trump would win the 2016 election. Before Peggy Noonan wrote her chronicles in the Wall Street Journal and won a Pulitzer, I whispered to my inner circle that I saw this coming a mile way. At that time, Trump was a long shot for the Republican nomination, but I caught a glimpse of Trump that made it obvious that many Americans would embrace this political outsider as the people’s champion. Let me make another bold prediction in 2019: Trump will win a second term as president in 2020.

The prognosticators (a.k.a. intellectual and media elites) of politics were in shock after the election. It is not that there weren’t signs of Trump’s potential election; it was that it went against the liberal narrative. First, Trump was a nonpolitician, someone without political background, a brash billionaire from a very blue state, with a reputation for working both sides of the aisle as a Democrat in the 1980s and 1990s and as a Republican in the 2000s.

Second, the most recent attempt by a nonpolitician was Ross Perot, a businessman as well who split just enough of the Republican electorate vote to cost George H. W. Bush a second term at the presidency. Third, Trump was going against the current of American politics, which denounced white male privilege, included ceding leadership to foreign entities, allowing others to take advantage of American intellectual property without reprisal and feigning outrage at the failure to provide equal opportunity to minorities and women while fanning the flames of discord and class warfare. For a moment, these prognosticators and intellectual elites were humbled that they missed the obvious signs that significant portions of Americans were done with being dismissed, talked down to, and considered unworthy of offering their opinions or living their lives with the freedom intended by the Constitution.

However, humbled these groups were after Trump’s election, such a period of reflection was short. By the time of the inauguration, they returned to a long-held attitude that the people who didn’t think like them were unworthy of a voice, naive at best, or an uneducated populace that needed their parental guidance. They protested in the streets for months, they blew up social media, and they targeted any entertainer or anyone who voiced support for the president with threats and made them social outcasts. When I wrote my first book, I would send my draft chapters via e-mail to my editor. Every time I mentioned Trump, red-state America, or other chapter titles in the subject column, my ISP would shut me down. I would have to call up the technical support department, prove to them I was not sending out unauthorized e-mails, change my password, and once, I had to give them excerpts of the chapter to read before I could get my Internet up and running again. It was exhausting, time-consuming as I scratched my head to ask, Is this America? They said that Trump was a trigger word. They honestly said that to me. It happened so often that I moved to another ISP provider, got a new e-mail, and started over from scratch.

Since Trump’s election, the media and the cultural elite continue to be very disrespectful and look for any and all means necessary to disrespect the office and undermine his presidency. While this is sad to witness, it is not surprising given the disconnect between the cultural elite and progressives with the rest of America. The president has a Teflon cloak, where apparently, most false allegations, fake news, legal and mudslinging attacks roll right off his back. A great example is the Mueller investigation. In its 2019 final report, which took over two years to complete and cost over $25 million, there was no evidence of collusion between the Trump team and Russians that influenced the 2016 election. Also, no evidence of obstruction of justice was found either. Most Americans saw this debacle as a terrible way to treat a sitting president that eventually led to a black eye to the liberals and progressives, who already had a front-row seat to the president’s impeachment. Based on how the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) warrant was secured to begin the Mueller investigation, collusion and foreign influences impacting our democracy will more likely be found (Clinton Foundation, candidate Clinton, DNC, members of the FBI) where there are no current investigations. This double standard between how the progressives and elites get a free pass, while everyone else gets crucified, does not go unnoticed with most of the American people, especially those self-identifying as independents.

So why am I convinced if Trump chooses to run, he will win in 2020? Trump keeps delivering for middle America and looks for ways to make America great, strong, and respected again—and that makes him formidable. The Democrats continue to undervalue the importance of the middle class. They remain convinced that victory can be attained through the population centers in major metropolitan areas. My past and current research suggests they have not heard or understood the lessons from the 2016 election. They continue to ignore the voices of middle, rural, and suburban America and remained convinced that their extreme social and cultural positions need to be imposed upon all Americans for their own good. As soon as the Democrats came to power in 2019, the extremely left movement of the party flouted these ideals to the public: the Green New Deal, reparations for slavery, abortion redefined as permissible infanticide, open borders, packing the Supreme Court with liberal justices, the abolition of the Electoral College and ICE, free college tuition, the elimination of student debt, Medicare for all, a wealth tax, a 70 percent top marginal income tax rate, a sixteen-year-old voting age, voting rights for ex-felons (Hanson 2019).

Here’s my perceptive observation: The gods of intellectualism, cultural correctness, and elitist privilege are no match for the middle class.

In this introduction, I will suggest that the economic and cultural disconnect between the urban centers and rural and suburban America is key to unpacking the outcomes of both the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections. I provide research, experience, and historical context to present my reasonings. Even as parts of the country continue to struggle to recover from the 2009 to 2011 recession, where millions of Americans lost their homes, pensions, and their jobs, many of our elites (located in our urban centers and bicoastal cities) remain insulated and clueless as to why there continues to be unrest with the status quo.

Who are we? Who is America?

That’s a great question. In my experience, we are generous, competitive, and innovative. We love our freedom, football, and fireworks. We are a land where opportunity meets persistence and grit. We believe in the power of education, and we believe our mistakes will make us smarter and more resilient. We believe in the best in others and are concerned about the prosperity and growth in each of our communities. We love to win. And we love the underdog.

The Civil War and our ensuing struggles for civil rights for black Americans redefined us as a nation committed to the good of all its citizenry. We continue to strive to grant all Americans equal rights in the workplace, access to our universities and housing, which has made us a stronger and better nation. Many of us are immigrants, some are Native, and others came here by force of hand. We are labeled traditionalist, progressives, bicoastal Americans, Midwestern, Southern, Northern, urbanites, suburbanites, rural Americans, legal resident immigrants, legal temporary immigrants. And some are also illegal immigrants.

As we continue to grow and learn from each other, we are enjoying cross-cultural traditions, music, art, cuisine, and more of us are worshipping together on Sundays. Generally, we respect one another, and women and minorities are finding equality within their workplaces and society. Some of us prefer big cities and lots of people and tiny carbon footprints. Others of us prefer wide, open spaces, farms and animals. While still others prefer large malls and generous homesteads. Most us still live in the towns we grew up in, but many of us have moved to other cities for better quality of lives or career advancement. We believe in the American dream and are comfortable with a diverse landscape. We are not a perfect nation, but we are a great one.

As of 2016, our ethnic breakdown looks approximately like this: whites (61%), Hispanics/Latino (17.7%), blacks (12.6%), Asian (4.7%), Native Americans / Native Alaskans / Pacific Islanders / native Hawaiians (1%), biracial (3%).

Let’s consider some data on America. The US census has been conducted every ten years since 1790. April 1 is designated as Census Day, and as of the 2010 census, we were about 310,000,000 strong. The law mandates that a census be taken every ten years in order to decide how many representatives should be elected from each state. In addition to allocation of seats to the House of Representatives, census data collected helps the state and local governments plan and develop more meaningful public safety and emergency-preparedness plans. In addition, the census provides the roadmap for a more equitable distribution of the more than $675 billion per year in federal funds spent on schools, hospitals, roads, public works, and other vital programs. The Census Bureau is a part of the Department of Commerce. Census data is meaningful to each of us.

There is some debate as to whether the question about citizenship should appear on the census. At issue is whether the Census Bureau should honor a request from the Justice Department that all 2020 forms and census takers ask whether each member of every household is a US citizen. There are very different mind-sets held by each dominant political party that reflects their long-term growth strategies and reveals a bit about their core values. Democrats want to exclude the requirement that the census is limited to only US citizens. This would potentially give the bicoastal states (CA and NY) that harbor many illegal immigrants additional congressional representation (congressional redistricting) and access to a higher percentage of federal monies allocated for schools, infrastructure, hospitals, etc. In the 2010 census, NYC lost two congressional seats while California stayed neutral based on the populations of US citizens. Democrats also believe that the only plausible explanation is that the government wants to depress participation among immigrant groups. Republicans tend to favor the 2020 proposed wordage that only supports data collected from the census based on US citizens only. This wordage will allow for more of the voices of rural Americans to be heard and counted toward monies and resources vastly missing in those underfunded areas. Republicans believe this wording levels the playing field that has been so biased toward federal money allocations drastically toward larger metropolitan areas at the expense of the smaller US cities and towns. According to a 2014 Pew Research Center study of Census Bureau data, the nation’s illegal immigrants live in just twenty metropolitan areas. About 1 million in the New York and Los Angeles areas; 575,000 in Houston; and 475,000 in Dallas.

Historical perspective: Have you ever heard the phrase, A system of checks and balances?

The original framers of the Constitution created three separate branches of the government: the legislative branch (Congress), the executive branch (president), and the judicial branch (Supreme Court). In order to make sure that one branch didn’t become too powerful, the Constitution has checks and balances that enable each branch to keep the others in line (Ducksters.com n.d.).

Separation of powers. The powers of the government are balanced between the three branches. Each branch has different powers. For example, the Congress makes laws, sets the budget, and declares war. The president appoints judges, has veto power, is commander in chief of the military, and can grant pardons. Finally, the Supreme Court interprets the law and can declare a law unconstitutional (Ducksters.com n.d.).

The Tenth Amendment of the Constitution says, The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people. The framers believed that any remaining powers (unsaid or not inherent at the time) are to be kept by the states and the people. This allows the states and the people to keep the power of the federal government in check through the Constitution. The people are the ultimate check and balance.

Essentially, the US is a democratic republic where the citizens vote for their lawmakers to represent them in Congress. You have heard it said that the pen is mightier than the sword. I would add that might be true, but the vote is mightier than the pen.

I mentioned earlier about violent protests from the left after Trump won the 2016 election. Trump won 306 electoral votes while Hillary won 232 electoral votes. From a historical lens, there have been several occasions when a US president was elected without most of the popular vote.

I want to emphasize that both Democrats and Republicans have benefitted substantially from the electoral college:

John Quincy Adams, federalist (1824). Did not win the popular or electoral vote. His opponent was Andrew Jackson. Neither candidate won the electoral votes needed to win; the decision then went to Congress who voted Adams to the presidency.

Zachary Taylor, Whig (1848). Taylor secured 47.4% of the popular vote. Won with 163 electoral votes.

James Buchanan, Democrat (1856). Buchanan secured 45.3% of the popular vote. Won with 174 electoral votes.

Abraham Lincoln, Republican (1860). Lincoln secured 39.8% of the popular vote. Won with 180 electoral votes. His was a four-way contest, and his victory set the stage for the Civil War.

Rutherford B. Hayes, Republican (1876). Hayes secured 47.9% of the popular vote. Won with 185 electoral votes.

Benjamin Harrison, Republican (1888). Harrison secured 47.9% of the popular vote. Won by 233 electoral votes.

Grover Cleveland, Democrat (1892). Cleveland secured 46% of the popular vote. Won by 277 electoral votes.

Woodrow Wilson, Democrat (1912). Wilson secured 41.9% of the popular vote. Won by 435 electoral votes.

Richard Nixon, Republican (1968). Nixon secured 43.4% of the popular vote. Won 301 electoral votes.

Bill Clinton, Democrat (1992). Clinton secured 43% of the popular vote. Won by 370 electoral votes.

Bill Clinton, Democrat (1996). Clinton secured 49% of the popular vote. Won by 379 electoral votes. Clinton is the only president in modern history, who was elected twice, and never received most of the popular vote.

George W. Bush, Republican (2000). Bush secured 47.8% of the popular vote. Won by 271 electoral votes.

Donald Trump, Republican (2016). Trump secured 46.1% of the popular vote. Won by 306 electoral votes.

The reason for the brief history reminder is to help us notice the direct relationship between the census data collected and the electoral college. The electoral college consists of 538 electors nationwide. It is also defined specifically in our Constitution (Article II, Section 1, Clause 2). It was established in 1787.

The census informs the electorate by determining the allocation of members to the House of Representatives.

In short, the number of representatives to be elected to Congress fluctuates depending on the population data reflected by each state as reported in the census. Based on the 2010 census, 438 members are assigned to Congress and 100 members to the Senate until 2020 when a new census will be taken. The combined total, 538, is the same amount of votes available in the electoral college.

By law, 270 electoral votes, with or without the majority, are required to win a presidential election. While many of the original framers of the Constitution felt a popular vote would be ideal, the majority consensus determined that an electoral process would best protect the election process from corruption, intrigue, cabals (political cliques), or disproportionate influence of one state over others. If no candidate received the required electoral vote, the House of Representatives would choose the president from among the top candidates.

After a presidential election, the state electors meet in their respective capitals, usually the first part of December and officially to cast their vote for the president-elect and vice president-elect of the US. The votes are certified by the fifty states and then sent to DC to Congress and formally acknowledged by a joint meeting of the Senate and Congress early January. The elected president and vice president are then inaugurated on January 20.

So why does Trump win in 2020, you ask? Let me count the ways…

C:\Users\Fulton Books 1\AppData\Local\Microsoft\Windows\INetCache\Content.MSO\9F0AD495.tmp

For those who think 2016 was an anomaly, 2020 will bring another surprise. In a rally in Orlando, Florida, President Trump made a point that resounded with the crowd. They went after my family, my business, my finances, my employees, almost everyone that I’ve ever known or worked with, but they are really going after you.

For every insult, slight, and degrading comment made to him or about him, his supporters feel the liberals are also mocking them. If you doubt how deeply this sentiment runs, look at the picture. It was taken in July 2019 in (what some would call) middle America, well, before the election cycle kicks into high gear. President Trump’s supporters are energized and hungry to see Trump in office for another four years.

We visited Italy in May of 2019, celebrating our thirty-fourth anniversary. On our last night in Rome, we took an Uber from the Spanish Steps to our hotel. It was a twenty-minute trip. When we got in the cab, with broken English, the Uber driver asked if we were Americans. We nodded yes. He then caught us off guard by asking if we liked President Trump. I gave him a thumbs up. In broken English, he mentioned that six of ten Americans who rode in his Uber liked President Trump. The second thing he said was President Trump is very intelligent and brilliant. I did not expect a conversation, or that unsolicited level of interest in American politics six thousand miles from home.

Trump is still winning on issues Americans care about most: the economy, jobs, safety abroad, borders’ security, and greater access to the American dream for all. Perhaps these articles in the Washington Post, The Hill, and RealClearPolitics may shed some insight. Let’s take it from the top:

Trump delivers for the Rust Belt. Manufacturing jobs grew at the fastest rate in twenty-three years, and the unemployment rate for Americans without a high school diploma reached the lowest point ever recorded. The Wall Street Journal reports that wages rose 3.1 percent—the biggest jump since 2009—and that low-skilled workers are among the biggest beneficiaries (Thiessen 2018).

Tough immigration enforcement. A week into his presidency, he signed a revised executive order suspending the US refugee program and entry for travelers from six mostly Muslim countries. After a contentious court battle, a version of Trump’s ban was left standing. He stepped up raids on immigrants in the country illegally, especially on violent illegal immigrant offenders (Conradis 2017). Trump rescinded the DAPA (Deferred Action for Parents of Americans and Lawful Permanent Residents) program. He is targeting MS-13 gangs. He is holding the line with migrant caravans as he continues to seek ways to fund our unprotected southern border.

Strikes a masterful blow against ISIS. Knocking the hell out of ISIS and making them pay. He struck Syria again and eliminated the