NDCs and renewable energy targets in 2021: Are we on the right path to a climate safe future?

By International Renewable Energy Agency IRENA

This report assesses current climate pledges in light of the challenge ahead, and explores the transformative opportunity offered by renewable energy that can serve as a vehicle for delivering the needed emission reductions.

• Language: English
• Publisher: IRENA
• Release date: Jan 1, 2022
• ISBN: 9789292604981

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© IRENA 2022

Unless otherwise stated, material in this publication may be freely used, shared, copied, reproduced, printed and/or stored, provided that appropriate acknowledgement is given of IRENA as the source and copyright holder. Material in this publication that is attributed to third parties may be subject to separate terms of use and restrictions, and appropriate permissions from these third parties may need to be secured before any use of such material.

Citation: IRENA (2022), NDCs and renewable energy targets in 2021: Are we on the right path to a climate-safe future?, International Renewable Energy Agency, Abu Dhabi.

ISBN: 978-92-9260-414-1

eBook ISBN: 978-92-9260-498-1

About IRENA

The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) is an intergovernmental organisation that serves as the principal platform for co-operation, a centre of excellence, a repository of policy, technology, resource and financial knowledge, and a driver of action on the ground to advance the transformation of the global energy system. IRENA promotes the widespread adoption and sustainable use of all forms of renewable energy, including bioenergy, geothermal, hydropower, ocean, solar and wind energy, in the pursuit of sustainable development, energy access, energy security and low-carbon economic growth and prosperity. www.irena.org

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

This report was developed under the guidance of Rabia Ferroukhi and Ute Collier, and authored by Diala Hawila, Faran Rana and Costanza Strinati (IRENA), and Sandra Lozo (Consultant), with contributions from Hanbit Lee, Abdullah Abou Ali, Simon Benmarraze, Paula Nardone, Inês Jacob, Josefine Axelsson, Omar Marzouk, and Gayathri Prakash (IRENA), Lars Holm, Mary Francis McDaniel, Tina Huang, Betsy Winnike and Maria Urrutia (Boston Consulting Group). Valuable input and review were provided by Elizabeth Press, Paul Komor, Binu Parthan, Divyam Nagpal, Gerardo Escamilla, Kamran Siddiqui and Reem Korban, and editing was provided by Francis Field.

IRENA is grateful for the generous support of the NDC Partnership for the development of this publication under the Climate Action Enhancement Package (CAEP)

Report available online at: www.irena.org/publications

For questions or feedback, email: [e-mail]

DISCLAIMER

This publication and the material herein are provided as is. All reasonable precautions have been taken by IRENA to verify the reliability of the material in this publication. However, neither IRENA nor any of its officials, agents, data or other third-party content providers provides a warranty of any kind, either expressed or implied, and they accept no responsibility or liability for any consequence of use of the publication or material herein.

The information contained herein does not necessarily represent the views of all Members of IRENA. The mention of specific companies or certain projects or products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by IRENA in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned. The designations employed and the presentation of material herein do not imply the expression of any opinion on the part of IRENA concerning the legal status of any region, country, territory, city or area or its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of borders or boundaries.

Contents

Executive Summary

Introduction

1. Overview of NDCs as of November 2021

1.1. Commitments made by high emitters and G20 members

1.2. Climate pledges by least-emitting countries

2. Renewable energy components of NDCs

2.1. Targets for renewable power in NDCs

2.2. Quantification of renewable energy (national) targets beyond NDCs

3. Climate finance and NDCs

3.1. Investments required for the energy transition

3.2. Commitments to redirecting financing from coal

3.3. Commitments to global climate finance financing

References

Figures

Figure 1. NDCs by ambition and share of global emissions

Figure 2. Contribution of NDCs and other pledges to limiting global warming

Figure 3. Global CO 2 Global CO2 emissions abatement under IRENA’s 1.5°C Scenario emissions abatement under IRENA’s 1.5°C Scenario and required energy transition solutions

Figure 4. Sectors covered in updated NDCs

Figure 5. Summary of IRENA’s NDC enhancement and implementation support to countries

Figure 6. The role of renewable energy in the energy transition

Figure 7. 2030 Renewable Energy Targets in NDCs

Figure 8. Global renewable power installed capacity in 2020 and 2030: Future projections based on targets vs IRENA 1.5C Scenario

Figure 9. Total investment by technology in the Planned Energy Scenario (PES) and IRENA’s