The Numbers Behind Success in Soccer: Discover How Some Modern Professional Soccer Teams and Players Use Analytics to Dominate the Competition
By Chest Dugger
5/5
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About this ebook
What's behind the success of certain professional soccer clubs? Is it money, luck, skill? The answer may surprise you..
The use of analytics in sport is now well embedded. 'Marginal gains', the bedrock upon which the cycling coach Dave Brailsford built his greatest successes are cornerstones of most sports nowadays. But, until recently, that did not apply to the biggest sport in the world. Not in soccer. It was as though this simplest of sports is too complicated for statistics. Or that only one statistic counts, the number of times the ball hits the back of the net. 'The only statistic that counts,' there's an often used and annoying stock term.
However, in the last 10 years, professional soccer clubs of all levels of wealth and stature have bought into analytics. Data analysts are now a major part of every top professional club. They interact with players, advise coaches, examine the strengths and weaknesses of teams, establish likely tactical organization of different sides; even focus on what a referee might allow and penalize.
Here's what's Included In This Book:
The reasons why top spending clubs like PSG and Manchester City don't always win
How Analytics has helped Leicester City overcome the poverty gap in Soccer
How Analytics has revolutionizing soccer training sessions and pre-match strategy sessions
3 Players who were chosen by professional soccer clubs using Analytics
How Modern Analytics fared doing Soccer Predictions for the 2018 World Cup
Analytics settles the great debate: Messi vs Ronaldo
And much more
Even if you've never played soccer in your life, you will find this book informative and engaging.
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Reviews for The Numbers Behind Success in Soccer
1 rating1 review
- Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5Gave me information about soccer behind the scenes that was very interesting.
A must read for every soccer fan and maybe even every analytics person, especially those interested in sports analytics.
Book preview
The Numbers Behind Success in Soccer - Chest Dugger
Dugger
CONTENTS
CONTENTS
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
DISCLAIMER
INTRODUCTION
The History of Analytics
WHAT MAKES A WINNER?
ANALYTICS IN ACTION
EMPLOYING ANALYTICS IN TRAINING
THE KEY METRICS FOR POST ANALYSIS
USING ANALYTICS TO SATISFY SQUAD REQUIREMENTS
THE CHALLENGE OF APPLYING ANALYTICS IN SOCCER
SOCCER’S GREAT DEBATE: MESSI OR RONALDO?
ANALYTICS, SET PIECES AND SET PLAYS
HOW DATA IS COLLECTED
HOW ANALYTICS CAN HELP PREDICT TRENDS
THE NEW BATTLE – TRADITIONALISTS V ANALYSTS
CONCLUSION
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chest Dugger is a soccer fan, former professional and coach, looking to share his knowledge. Enjoy this book and several others that he has written.
Free Gift Included
As part of our dedication to help you succeed in your career, we have sent you a free soccer drills worksheet. This is the Soccer Training Work Sheet
drill sheet. This is a list of drills that you can use to improve your game; as well as a methodology to track your performance on these drills on a day-to-day basis. We want to get you to the next level.
Click on the link below to get your free drills worksheet.
https://soccertrainingabiprod.gr8.com/
DISCLAIMER
Copyright © 2020
All Rights Reserved
No part of this eBook can be transmitted or reproduced in any form including print, electronic, photocopying, scanning, mechanical, or recording without prior written permission from the author.
INTRODUCTION
‘Football is a simple game. Twenty-two men chase a ball for 90 minutes and at the end, the Germans always win.’ – Gary Lineker
Is soccer the most chaotic sport in the world? Is the interplay, the transition of possession, the speed of movement too great to be broken down into constituent elements? The use of analytics in sport is now well embedded. ‘Marginal gains’, the bedrock upon which the cycling coach Dave Brailsford built his greatest successes are cornerstones of most sports nowadays. But, until recently, that did not apply to the biggest sport in the world. Not in soccer. It was as though this simplest of sports is too complicated for statistics. Or that only one statistic counts, the number of times the ball hits the back of the net. ‘The only statistic that counts,’ there’s an often used and annoying stock term. It’s probably, though, not the worst in this traditional old game.
What’s the most annoying phrase in soccer? There are plenty of contenders in this cliché-ridden world. One where the artistic brilliance on the pitch is rarely matched by the prosaic utterings off of it. There are exceptions, of course. In 2018, English speaking audiences often saw their enjoyment of the biggest soccer tournament on the planet, second only to the Olympics in terms of all sporting events, enhanced by the master of the tangential phrase, the commentator Clive Tyldesley. Tyldesley has achieved almost cult status among aficionados with his odd links and bizarre facts.
Hearing him discuss the oil industry as hosts Russia stepped out to play lowly ranked Saudi Arabia in the opening game of the 2018 world cup was a veritable joy. As was his solo discussion as he debated at great length (with himself) the challenges that would face the originally named Neymar Jr if he sought to provide his father, Neymar Sr, with an appropriate father’s day present. (The Brazil v Switzerland match becoming an annoying irrelevance as the complex debate developed).
But these are rarities, gems that shine even brighter for their sparseness, in the general world of football debate. On the one side we have the aforementioned banality of commentators balanced by the tunnel visioned debates from fans. (Take a look on Twitter to see quite how myopic conversations become). But leading the field in the league of the lamentable line is, of course, the pundit. Audiences outside of the UK might not be too familiar with the comedy heaven that is ‘The Fast Show’, but get on to google (other search engines are, of course, available), type in the search bar ‘The Fast Show Ron Manager’ and sit back in delight as the comedian Paul Whitehouse takes the inane, meaningless rumblings of the average pundit to new, hysterical, heights.
Which leads us back neatly to the most annoying phrase in soccer. ‘He’s a top, top player’ is up there, and if we asked the former pro whether he was developing a stutter, or meant that the soccer genius in question was at the head of the subset of soccer stars we might call ‘top’ he would no doubt look askance, his jaw drop, and in a panic unleash a tirade of other pointless phrases. ‘A game of two halves’, ‘textbook finish’, ‘lacking bottle’, ‘it only takes a second to score,’ (which is not only a cliché, but an incredibly inaccurate one, since the time it takes the ball to cross the line and enter ‘the onion bag’ is just a fraction of a single second. While, at not quite the same time, any build up leading to the goal is a much more intricate process. As, we hope, this book will demonstrate.)
But top of this inimitable collection of the inane, so to speak, surely must be the incredibly annoying and fantastically inaccurate ‘it evens itself out over the season.’ Whatever ‘it’ might be, it definitely does not. Those fine Barcelona teams of the late noughties committed nth illegal nudges in every game. They won possession by fouling an opponent. But (because it was only a small foul, and they are, after all, Barcelona) were rarely penalized for it. That cheating – it is nothing else, although many pundits like to employ the euphemism ‘professionalism’ – did not come back to bite them, and the post-match analysis would never claim it would. Soccer matters even themselves out, it seems, does not apply to the best.
And so, it goes on. A player being sent off by an overzealous referee generally means loss of the game, especially if it happens before half time. That does not mean in the return fixture the disadvantaged side will have the problem evened up by the particular official running that game. The ‘offside goal’ or the legitimate one disallowed by VAR will not be equalized over the season.
Take Bournemouth AFC, for example. This tiny club based on the south coast of England was close to extinction a few seasons ago. Then they appointed a clever young manager, Eddie Howe, to lead them forward. He did, incredibly, and Bournemouth won promotion after promotion until they enjoyed season after season in the top flight of English football. While the likes of Manchester United were able to count on the income generated by 75000 fans filling Old Trafford, Bournemouth’s tiny Vitality Stadium could accommodate a mere 12000. But still the team survived, often starting out on fire and in the top third of the league until injuries took their toll on Bournemouth’s tiny squad, season on season, and the team would drift to mid table, still an astonishing achievement for a club so small. Then, in the Covid 19 chaos of the 2019 2020 season, the English Premier League introduced VAR. Or, at least, their own strangely subjective version of it.
Bournemouth ended up being relegated by just a single point, despite an amazing effort to win their last game away to Everton, 3-1. It marked the end of a genuine fairytale (another term which could easily win our ‘most annoying phrase’ competition.) It also marked the end of Eddie Howe’s reign. He resigned just after the season ended.
But VAR is very unpopular in England. Too often decisions appear to favor bigger teams, or give decisions diametrically opposing other ones happening on the same day in different grounds. Plenty of people decided to look in more detail at how the decisions impacted on games. It turned out that Bournemouth had dropped thirteen points as a result of VAR decisions which appeared wrong, or at least inconsistent. Those additional thirteen points (along with the ones dropped by their opponents as a result of changes to the score line) would have seen Bournemouth ending up, as usual, in mid table. Certainly, rarely had they played badly during the season, and it had seemed, as commentators and pundits claimed with ever increasing desperation, to be just a matter of time before ‘they got the results their play deserved’, or ‘things evened