America's New Destiny in Space
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About this ebook
Glenn Harlan Reynolds
Glenn Reynolds is the Beauchamp Brogan Distinguished Professor of Law at the University of Tennessee. He has written numerous books and articles on space law and policy, and has served as Executive Vice President of the National Space Society, and on a White House advisory committee on space policy.
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America's New Destiny in Space - Glenn Harlan Reynolds
On May 24, 2020, my friend and best-selling science fiction author, Steve Stirling, wrote on Facebook:
Universal note: in only three days, astronauts will launch from American soil in an American spaceship, for the first time since 2011.
And for the first time ever, it will be on a reusable booster.
And down in Boca Chica, TX, work proceeds at an incredible pace on multiple iterations of the Starship prototype – SN6 is now under construction, while SN5 gets the finishing touches and SN4 prepares to do its hop test.
That’s the reusable interplanetary transport that will give us the Solar System the way the Iberian caravels of the 1400s gave us the World Ocean and began the modern world.
High-level testing this year, and commercial launches to LEO [Low Earth Orbit] in 2021, if all goes well.
That’s 150 tons or 100 people to LEO, at $1.5 million/$2 million a pop, and the same amounts to anywhere in the Solar System with orbital refueling, which is part of the package.
By then SpaceX plans to be building 3 of them a week.
I suspect that in the long term, that will be what 2020 is remembered for; the pandemic will be a footnote.
His statement struck a chord with me. I’ve been following space developments my entire life. I’m old enough – just – to remember the Gemini and Apollo missions. It’s become clear to me that we’re in a new and very different phase of space development, one that is likely to be faster, cheaper, and much more sustainable than those that came before. It is also likely to be much more consequential in the long term.
In this short book, I will talk about how we got to this point, what we’re doing now, and what’s likely to come next. I will also talk about why space exploration matters and which subjects deserve special attention over the coming years.
The Three Phases of Spaceflight
We’re entering into a new and different phase of spaceflight, and I think that’s an important concept to grasp. Initially, we had what you might call the visionary
phase of spaceflight. That was followed by the command-economy
phase (or perhaps we should call it the steroidal
phase for reasons I’ll get to later), which was followed by what now promises to be spaceflight’s sustainable
phase.
In the earliest days of the initial visionary phase, vision was all there was. People were thinking about spaceflight long before they did it. Leaving aside fanciful tales, the first serious thought about spaceflight took place in the late nineteenth century with such works as Jules Verne’s novel From the Earth to the Moon, which was published in 1867, and Edward Everett Hale’s story The Brick Moon, published in Atlantic Monthly in 1869, which concerned an artificial navigation satellite.
The first serious scientific work (as opposed to fiction) was