Stock Trader's Almanac 2019

By Jeffrey A. Hirsch

The best data in the business, updated for 2019

Stock Trader's Almanac 2019 provides the cleanest historical data in the business to give traders and investors an advantage in the market. The 2019 edition is consistent with decades of the Stock Trader's Almanac showing you the cycles, trends, and patterns you need to know in order to invest with minimum risk and maximum profit. Updated with the latest numbers, this indispensable guide is organized in a calendar format to provide monthly and daily reminders, including upcoming opportunities to grab and dangers to avoid. Proprietary strategies include the Hirsch Organization's Best Six Months Switching Strategy, the January Barometer, and the Four-Year Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle, arming you with the tools savvy investors use to achieve their market goals.

Trusted by Barron's, The Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and other respected market authorities, this indispensable guide has helped generations of investors make smart market moves. This new edition provides the same level of invaluable guidance, with the latest data straight from the vault.

• Access the most trusted historical market data available
• Identify patterns and trends you won't find anywhere else
• Get advance notice about upcoming risks and opportunities
• Bring accuracy to your forecasting and confidence to your investing

Analytical tools are essential to successful investing, but they're only as useful as the data is accurate. Even the most beautifully designed model cannot forecast accurately based on incomplete, misleading, or inaccurate numbers; data quality is the bedrock of your entire investing strategy, and when it comes to data, cleanliness is next to profitability. Get the edge this year with the best data in the business, plus a wealth of valuable strategies in the Stock Trader's Almanac 2019.

• Language: English
• Publisher: Wiley
• Release date: Sep 28, 2018
• ISBN: 9781119529323

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Copyright © 2019 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.

Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey.

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ISBN: 978-1-119-52931-6 (paper)

ISBN: 978-1-119-52928-6 (ePDF)

ISBN: 978-1-119-52932-3 (ePub)

This Fifty-Second Edition is respectfully dedicated to:

Arthur D. Cashin, Jr.

Art is a Managing Director of UBS Financial Services, Inc., and is the Director of Floor Operations for UBS at the New York Stock Exchange. When he appears on CNBC, we all turn up the volume or take the TV off mute and scoot a little closer to hear what this wise, learned, and experienced Wall Street guru has to say about the market and get our daily dose of clever Wall Street repartee. Art has been on the trading floor for 50 years, so we have grown up together, so to speak.

Art has been a great friend and colleague over the years. He always has an eye on seasonality, cycles and patterns in the mix. His calm presence, wit and wisdom are a daily tonic in the rain of market commentary. We have all stood on his shoulders and learned immeasurably from him. It is a privilege and a joy to read his daily missives; they are like manna from heaven.

CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION TO THE FIFTY-SECOND EDITION

2019 OUTLOOK

2019 STRATEGY CALENDAR

JANUARY ALMANAC

FEBRUARY ALMANAC

MARCH ALMANAC

APRIL ALMANAC

MAY ALMANAC

JUNE ALMANAC

JULY ALMANAC

AUGUST ALMANAC

SEPTEMBER ALMANAC

OCTOBER ALMANAC

NOVEMBER ALMANAC

DECEMBER ALMANAC

DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATABANK

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2019

RECENT DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2019

S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2019

RECENT S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2019

NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2019

RECENT NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2019

RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2019

RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2019

DECENNIAL CYCLE: A MARKET PHENOMENON

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION/STOCK MARKET CYCLE: THE 185-YEAR SAGA CONTINUES

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS BULL and BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1900

STANDARD & POOR’S 500 BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1929 NASDAQ COMPOSITE SINCE 1971

A TYPICAL DAY IN THE MARKET

THROUGH THE WEEK ON A HALF-HOURLY BASIS

TUESDAY MOST PROFITABLE DAY OF WEEK

NASDAQ STRONGEST LAST 3 DAYS OF WEEK

S&P DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1952

NASDAQ DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1971

MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO S&P STOCKS

MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO NASDAQ STOCKS

NOVEMBER, DECEMBER AND JANUARY: YEAR’S BEST THREE-MONTH SPAN

NOVEMBER THROUGH JUNE: NASDAQ’S EIGHT-MONTH RUN

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1901

S&P 500 ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1930

NASDAQ ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1971

RUSSELL 1000 ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1979

RUSSELL 2000 ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1979

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY POINT CHANGES SINCE 1950

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950

STANDARD & POOR’S 500 MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950

STANDARD & POOR’S 500 MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950

NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1971

NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1971

RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979

RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1979

RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979

RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1979

10 BEST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT

10 WORST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT

10 BEST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT

10 WORST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT

10 BEST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT

10 WORST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT

10 BEST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT

10 WORST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT

10 BEST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT

10 WORST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT

STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION

PORTFOLIO AT START OF 2019

ADDITIONAL PURCHASES

ADDITIONAL PURCHASES

SHORT-TERM TRANSACTIONS

LONG-TERM TRANSACTIONS

INTEREST/DIVIDENDS RECEIVED DURING 2019

BROKERAGE ACCOUNT DATA 2019

WEEKLY PORTFOLIO PRICE RECORD 2019 (FIRST HALF)

WEEKLY PORTFOLIO PRICE RECORD 2019 (SECOND HALF)

WEEKLY INDICATOR DATA 2019 (FIRST HALF)

WEEKLY INDICATOR DATA 2019 (SECOND HALF)

MONTHLY INDICATOR DATA 2019

PORTFOLIO AT END OF 2019

IF YOU DON’T PROFIT