A Time Traveller's Guide to Our Next Ten Years

By Frans Cronje

Picture South Africa ten years from now: Are the angry poor rising up and seizing land and businesses? Or has economic reform created jobs and growth? Is an increasingly desperate government clamping down on freedoms? Or do the middle classes still braai in suburban bliss?

South Africa is at a tipping point, and small shifts in political and economic conditions can bring about dramatic changes. Unemployment, slow growth, threats to freedom of speech, and poor education can send the country in any direction.

Leading scenario planner Frans Cronje identifies the key trends that will shape our future. Will South Africa follow the Narrow Road, the Wide Road, the Rocky Road or the Toll Road? His four scenarios for the country are sobering, sometimes shocking, but also hopeful.

• Language: English
• Publisher: Tafelberg
• Release date: Apr 1, 2014
• ISBN: 9780624068679

Frans Cronje

Frans Cronje is 'n scenariobeplanner en die uitvoerende hoof van Suid-Afrika se vernaamste navorsingsinstituut oor beleidsake, die IRV. In 2007 het hy die Sentrum vir Risiko-ontleding by die IRV gevestig, wat beleidmakers, strategiese beplanningspanne en maatskappye adviseer oor kort-, middel- en langtermyn- strategiese besluite vir Suid-Afrika. Hy het oor die afgelope jare talle van Suid-Afrika se belangrikste buitelandse en binnelandse beleggers, sowel as regeringsagentskappe en talle groot buitelandse regerings, van raad bedien en vir hulle scenario's uitgestippel. Sy eerste boek, A Time Traveller's Guide to Our Next Ten Years, is in 2014 gepubliseer. Cronje het by St John's College in Houghton, Johannesburg, skoolgegaan en aan die Universiteit van die Witwatersrand studeer. Sy PhD in scenariobeplanning het hy aan die Noordwes-Universiteit behaal. Voordat hy by die IRV aangesluit het, het hy in die VSA gewoon en gewerk en 'n jaarlange ekspedisie van Kaapstad na Kaïro voltooi.