RFK Jr. is popular, but he’s probably not going to win. Here’s why.
More Americans identify as independents (42%) than as Democrats (30%) or Republicans (28%). And as the two major parties coalesce around their prospective nominees, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, a majority of voters say they would like a third choice.
Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is riding that wave of discontent, averaging 15% support in national polls and preparing to announce a running mate next week. The group No Labels is also pressing ahead with plans to field a “unity ticket” that it says will provide voters with a “moderate” choice. Other candidates running outside the two-party system include the Green Party’s Jill Stein and independent Cornel West.
Yet those mounting third-party bids for the White House face daunting hurdles. They must
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