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Invasive alien species could cost EU billions by 2040

Without effective management, estimates show the costs of biological invasions in the EU could soar to more than $150 billion by 2040.
A green and yellow insect on a bright green leaf.

The costs of biological invasions in the European Union could soar to more than €142.73 billion (US $150 billion) by 2040, a new study shows.

Biological invasions are a major threat to ecosystems, biodiversity, and human well-being, resulting in ecosystem degradation and causing economic costs in the multi-trillions of euros globally.

A study led by McGill University sheds light on the stark economic cost resulting from biological invasions in the European Union (EU).

The European Union continues to be exposed to thousands of invasive alien species—harmful species introduced by humans from outside of their natural habitat. The European Union (EU) is particularly vulnerable because the region’s volume of economic activity via trade and the transportation of goods increases the risks of biological invasions, according to the study published in Environmental Sciences Europe.

Most invasive alien species are not adequately assessed for their actual and potential economic impacts therefore most cost estimates are grossly underestimated, the researchers say. To fill this gap, the team quantified the economic costs of biological invasions to the EU, while estimating future invasion costs using predictive models.

Their findings are alarming—of the approximately 13,000 invasive alien species known to have established populations in the EU, only 259 (around 1%) have reported costs, showing substantial knowledge gaps in cost assessments regionally.

The researchers’ models projected unreported costs to be potentially 501% higher than currently recorded, reaching a staggering €26.64 billion (US$28 billion) in the EU, led by countries such as Lithuania, Malta, and Czech Republic.

The study’s projections for future estimates reveal a substantial increase in costs, with estimates soaring to more than €142.73 billion (US$150 billion) by 2040 in the absence of effective management.

“Our study reveals a shocking underestimation of the economic costs of biological invasions in the European Union. These costs are not only a huge burden for the European Union’s economy, but also jeopardize the ecological balance and well-being of societies,” says lead author Morgane Henry, a PhD student under the supervision of Brian Leung, a professor in the biology department at McGill University.

“It is imperative that we take immediate action to enhance cost reporting, identify the most concerning economic impacts, and work together on a global scale to address the threat posed by invasive alien species,” she adds.

The researchers warn that policymakers, scientists, and stakeholders should take heed of the implications of the study and collaborate to protect ecosystems, safeguard biodiversity, and ensure the well-being of communities. Otherwise, biological invasions will create an insurmountable financial burden unless the EU and its governments take swift action to address the devastating ecological impact that’s happening.

“The costs are potentially huge, but in most cases we just don’t know. Notably, our fivefold increase in cost estimates included only 1% of species with existing data, by extrapolating to other countries where they are known to have invaded, but where costs have not been estimated yet. We don’t know about the other 99% of the species,” Leung says.

Source: McGill University

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