The Atlantic

The Republican Primary’s Trump Paradox

The GOP race is shaping up into a contest between one big Trump and many small non-Trumps—just like in 2016.
Source: Illustration by The Atlantic. Source: Getty.

For years, Republican presidential primaries have been chaotic affairs.

In 2008, Rudy Giuliani looked like a prohibitive front-runner until his disastrous decision to forsake campaigning in the calendar’s first two states (an indicator of judgment issues to come) created openings for Mike Huckabee and eventually John McCain. In 2012, things got so weird that Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, and Herman Cain all led the field at various points. Then 2016 was even weirder—the earliest debate saw 17 participants in two tiers—and culminated in Donald Trump’s stunning victory.

. In one corner was Trump, making his attempt at a comeback from an election loss he still hasn’t

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