The Atlantic

The FBI’s Next Set of Crime Data Is Going to Be a Big Mess

National crime estimates in the next few years will carry more uncertainty than ever before.
Source: Paul Spella / The Atlantic; Getty

Crime—particularly the spike in murder that the country has seen over the past two years—is thought to be weighing heavily on the minds of voters, with November’s midterm elections no longer all that far away. When the FBI reports national crime estimates for 2021 this fall, they have the potential to be a Big Deal, politically speaking. If murders are still way relative to a few years ago, as most experts anticipate, the Republicans are sure to blame Democrats both as the party in power.

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