NPR

New Analysis Suggests Months of Social Distancing May Be Needed To Stop Virus

Modelers of epidemics at Imperial College of London now say months of strict social distancing may be needed to prevent overwhelming the U.S. health care system with COVID-19 cases.
The Oculus transportation hub in New York, on Monday. The governors of New York, New Jersey and Connecticut have banned all gatherings of 50 or more people, and said bars, restaurants, casinos and gyms must close.

The United States is facing a grim dilemma: either effectively shut down society for months to prevent transmission of the coronavirus, or see health care systems overwhelmed by people needing treatment for severe infections.

That's the conclusion of a influential new analysis by a well-respected group at Imperial College London that does computer simulations of outbreaks.

Its findings put policy makers in a bind as they think about how to move forward in the weeks ahead, when there's no

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