FiveThirtyEight's politics editor Sarah Frostenson joins the podcast to talk about the state of the Democratic primary one week before the 2020 Iowa caucuses.  We discuss what's changed and what hasn't over the past year, how FiveThirtyEight's primary forecast model works, and how much importance Iowa really has. If you enjoy the podcast, please rate and subscribe, and consider supporting us at patreon.com/neoliberalproject. Patrons get access to exclusive bonus episodes, our sticker-of-the-month club, and community Slack.  Become a supporter today! Follow us at: https://twitter.com/ne0liberal https://www.instagram.com/realneoliberal/ https://www.facebook.com/groups/1930401007051265/