84 min listen
ELECTION DAY: State of the Vote
FromPoliticology
ratings:
Length:
35 minutes
Released:
Nov 8, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
To unlock subscriber-only content, visit: https://politicology.com/plus
Have you made your plan to vote? Visit https://iwillvote.com/ to make sure you’re registered and find your polling location
This week, Kiel Williams from Decision Desk HQ joins host Ron Steslow to set the table for what to expect in the midterm elections.
Decision Desk HQ are among the most trusted experts in measuring and modeling public opinion and election outcomes. They’re the mathletes behind major outlets like The Economist, Buzzfeed News, VOX Media, Insider, and The New York Times, for election night results and final calls on races.
(01:38) How the generic ballot looks
(02:50) Movement in Senate forecasting
(03:40) The claim that Republicans are gaming polling averages
(07:40) The challenge of polling response bias
(09:30) Races that could indicate a good or bad night for Democrats
(15:53) Whether low turnout still favors Republicans
(22:14) A race that could indicate whether the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision overturning Roe v Wade increased turnout
Follow Decision Desk HQ’s live election results: https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/
Follow Kiel and Ron on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/KielTWilliams
https://twitter.com/RonSteslow
https://twitter.com/decisiondeskhq
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Have you made your plan to vote? Visit https://iwillvote.com/ to make sure you’re registered and find your polling location
This week, Kiel Williams from Decision Desk HQ joins host Ron Steslow to set the table for what to expect in the midterm elections.
Decision Desk HQ are among the most trusted experts in measuring and modeling public opinion and election outcomes. They’re the mathletes behind major outlets like The Economist, Buzzfeed News, VOX Media, Insider, and The New York Times, for election night results and final calls on races.
(01:38) How the generic ballot looks
(02:50) Movement in Senate forecasting
(03:40) The claim that Republicans are gaming polling averages
(07:40) The challenge of polling response bias
(09:30) Races that could indicate a good or bad night for Democrats
(15:53) Whether low turnout still favors Republicans
(22:14) A race that could indicate whether the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision overturning Roe v Wade increased turnout
Follow Decision Desk HQ’s live election results: https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/
Follow Kiel and Ron on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/KielTWilliams
https://twitter.com/RonSteslow
https://twitter.com/decisiondeskhq
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Released:
Nov 8, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
The Republican Party and Race with Tara Setmayer: Ron Steslow sits down with former Republican communications director and Senior Advisor to The Lincoln Project, Tara Setmayer. This wide-ranging conversation touches on the history of the Republican Party’s relationship with race, what has changed from Lincoln to Trump, the reemergence of the confederate flag and our recent ad, “Flag of Treason,” Trump’s response to the George Floyd protests, all of which are happening on the backdrop of the COVID-19 pandemic. You can hear more from Tara on her podcast, “Honestly Speaking with Tara Setmayer. by Politicology