53 min listen
(NEW) State of the Vote: 48 Days to Go
FromPoliticology
ratings:
Length:
33 minutes
Released:
Sep 27, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
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State of the Vote is back! In our first episode of 2022, Scott Tranter and Kiel Williams from Decision Desk HQ join Ron Steslow to break down the biggest movement in polling and modeling, where it’s happening, in what races, and why.
Decision Desk HQ are among the most trusted experts in measuring and modeling public opinion and election outcomes. They’re the mathletes behind major outlets like The Economist, Buzzfeed News, VOX Media, Insider, and The New York Times, for election night results and final calls on races.
(02:00) The election environment
(03:54) The historical trend in midterms
(05:36) Overview of Senate Elections
(08:00) Why Ron Jonson has a 90 percent chance of winning his Senate race
(11:43) What’s moving the needle in Nevada
(14:00) Why Republicans are gaining ground in the Iowa 3rd congressional district
You should check out Decision Desk HQ: https://decisiondeskhq.com/
Follow Scott, Kiel and Ron on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/stranter
https://twitter.com/KielTWilliams
https://twitter.com/RonSteslow
https://twitter.com/decisiondeskhq
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
State of the Vote is back! In our first episode of 2022, Scott Tranter and Kiel Williams from Decision Desk HQ join Ron Steslow to break down the biggest movement in polling and modeling, where it’s happening, in what races, and why.
Decision Desk HQ are among the most trusted experts in measuring and modeling public opinion and election outcomes. They’re the mathletes behind major outlets like The Economist, Buzzfeed News, VOX Media, Insider, and The New York Times, for election night results and final calls on races.
(02:00) The election environment
(03:54) The historical trend in midterms
(05:36) Overview of Senate Elections
(08:00) Why Ron Jonson has a 90 percent chance of winning his Senate race
(11:43) What’s moving the needle in Nevada
(14:00) Why Republicans are gaining ground in the Iowa 3rd congressional district
You should check out Decision Desk HQ: https://decisiondeskhq.com/
Follow Scott, Kiel and Ron on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/stranter
https://twitter.com/KielTWilliams
https://twitter.com/RonSteslow
https://twitter.com/decisiondeskhq
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Released:
Sep 27, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
Russian Bounties, Election Security, and COVID-19 Spikes—The Weekly Roundup: Host Ron Steslow breaks down this week’s pressing stories with fellow Lincoln Project co-founders Steve Schmidt and Reed Galen and Lincoln Project Executive Director Sarah Lenti. Together, they discuss: the Russian Bounties scandal, election security, and the spike in COVID-19 cases. by Politicology